oliverek7

Latest AROME pushing the channel storms further east into London for tomorrow morning

Tower going up around Cambridge to my north

I like AROME at the minute. SE action tomorrow afternoon on last two runs FullSizeRender.mov

Looks like a nice system coming up across the channel then tonight if it doesn’t change again

Little something for the SE in the afternoon? doesn’t look anything special but who knows

I don’t like how all of metcheck’s thunderstorm advisories have the highest risk in the west, even for Wednesday night.... seriously we really need something in the SE. Hope this changes nearer the time.

Nice focus on the SE with this site then! Noticing this along with gfs and arome all hinting at something interesting this evening!

Oh boy imagine if this really does come off... Pretty please??

This is at pure fantasy range at the moment (9 days) but this setup would be reminiscent of last year 24th July

Wind is starting to gust a bit too

Feels soo oppressive here right now. Feels like it’s gonna go bang, first time it’s really felt like this in my area this year really

Shouldn’t have looked this far ahead ? Kent clipper inbound for friday night possibly

Cool to wake up to a bit of activity down in the SE!

Big cell coming from west London now. Looks very heavy

Some decent activity northeast of London ??

Little mammatus forming

Beautiful cloudscapes looking south

Turbulent skies here

What caused these storms to be so intense? Really interesting. Must have been some really tall clouds and strong updrafts to produce that size hail

Meanwhile here in the SE I’m currently scouring the weather models for any sign of another, more successful thundery plume but all to no avail. My bet is that when I’m out of the country for two weeks from the 10th of July (If all goes to plan with the current situation) then Sod’s law the most incredible event will take place that’s my prediction given my luck with storms along with other southerners this year. Additionally, something bizarre that I and some other people have noticed is that big storm events have been taking place on almost the exact same dates each year recently, e.g 27th of may 2017 and 27th of may 2018 both had severe thunderstorms with plume events. Also July 25th 2018 and July 24/25th 2019 both had record breaking temperatures and also storms (albeit last years storm event was much more intense and widespread). So maybe when I get back on the 24th something could be brewing...

Have we forgotten about last year? 23rd of July?

Ugh I feel so defeated . Nature will do whatever the hell it wants I suppose. Still over two months of summer left though hopefully an actual proper plume event will happen and we can get the kind of storms we should be getting here in the south

Im so sure I heard something looks like it should be producing some lightning. Is that my share of today’s storms then lol

Little cell just came up all the way from France. Just heard a rumble from it

ECM wants a Kent clipper tonight ????