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Eastern Scotland WX

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  1. Eastern Scotland WX
    to sum the next 7 days up for snow risks in Scotland: >The north are guaranteed snowfall and several centimetres to lower levels here with significant more over high ground. > The central belt/Tayside/SE Scotland have the lowest general risk of snow but sky high potential of some really severe snowfalls is set up is just right. > The west will see some snow showers at times but significant snow very unlikely.
  2. Eastern Scotland WX
    As I have compared the frames over the last 24 hours, the crazy low has been slowed down by a couple days and has a weaker approach.
  3. Eastern Scotland WX
    GFS Control is absolutely amazing!
  4. Eastern Scotland WX
    GFS has a cracking band of snow pushing south across the UK at day 5-6
  5. Eastern Scotland WX
    We move onto ECM 12z shortly. Best to anticipate downgrades.
  6. Eastern Scotland WX
    GEM the hero for 12z runs then
  7. Eastern Scotland WX
    Got my popcorn ready for the 12z runs.
  8. Eastern Scotland WX
    For widespread snow you want a very cold easterly or NE flow.
  9. Eastern Scotland WX
    Scrolling through each ECMWF ensemble member and the amount of uncertainty past day 6 is extraordinary. Some push the cold to the west of the UK , others have bit of a stuck low over UK bringing slack cold. Others have violent snowy easterlies. Lots still to play for.
  10. Eastern Scotland WX
    Want east/NErly as Northerlies are the same story everytime usually.
  11. Eastern Scotland WX
    GFS is fantastic lol, nice slack easterly across the UK and it only strengthens later on. Lots of snow showers for the E. Northerly is good but snow risk reduced.
  12. Eastern Scotland WX
    Been a good while since I’ve been in this group. In Aberdeen studying at the moment but back home in Perth tomorrow. Perth needs a E flow , can get away with NE flow but kinda a waste if its all northerly. Think a bit of snow would reach but there be no shovelling knee deep in snow. Fun and anxious times ahead for snow lovers
  13. Eastern Scotland WX
    Fantastic GFS and GEM…
  14. Eastern Scotland WX
    Atmospheric cocaine
  15. Eastern Scotland WX
    GEM at 240h
  16. Eastern Scotland WX
    Jesus Christ, look at GEM!
  17. Eastern Scotland WX
    12z runs about to commence: what we need to see is good cross model agreement towards a scenario such as 06z GFS or 00z GEM.
  18. Eastern Scotland WX
    In 45 minutes time its all happening again
  19. Eastern Scotland WX
    The charts further north..
  20. Eastern Scotland WX
    Not really its primed for low pressure on top of UK rather than to the south or East of UK
  21. Eastern Scotland WX
    GEM already at 150 hours! Looks very good as well.
  22. Eastern Scotland WX
    Will be out like early afternoon ish
  23. Eastern Scotland WX
    The Met Office 10 day trend will be interesting.
  24. Eastern Scotland WX
    Here you go
  25. Eastern Scotland WX
    I’ve never liked the ensemble graphs on Meteociel , prefer Wetterzentrle as you can see clusters.
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