Liam Burge

Or could do neither and be just as clueless as everything else.

I wonder if some people could wake up with a surprise snow fall! Met predicting rain here with 2c.. Could I get lucky?!!?

It's always a now-cast situation with snow for England, especially with setups like this where a shift just 20-30 miles north/south can have big consequences/rewards for IMBY.

Follows in line with what the MetO said in their outlook on Youtube. A 60% chance of a channel-low type scenario happening which would favour South West England + South Wales. It does seem that the GFS is following that scenario again, and in my mind is probably the most likely scenario to happen based on past events.

Okay GFS!! I'd take that in a heart beat. Perfect bullseye for Bristol!

North East and West England and Yorkshire is now in a **Level 3** cold weather alert, with the rest of England being in a **Level 2** cold weather alert. I'm expecting all areas to be in a Level 3 cold weather alert sometime this weekend/early next week as we're looking to see increasingly cold air come in from the North. Snow showers are possible just about anywhere, however it's more likely to be rain the further south you go. We are also looking at the possibility for a low to impact the South-West next week which could cause some disruptive snow or some rain depending on the track.

I don't even need to look at the models this morning!! I'm guessing a run was a cracker.

I mean, this is a model output discussion thread, not a lets throw all our towels thread. Pretty sure most of these comments should just be moved to the moans chat.

Yep, get into the shops before the panic buyers. Can already see how the papers are gonna present this.

Because the main event isn't happening until after 10 days? It's been steadily counting down each day. As you can see by most model runs posted on here, around the 4th or 5th seems to be go which is in around 10/11 days time. However; this signal for around the 4th/5th was showing 5+ days ago, so would have been in around 15/16 days time. The signal is there for something very good for us, and I'm getting excited about the countdown.

Throwing the towel in 10+ days before the event is meant to start? You must be pretty confident! All signs I've seen so far have been pointing to cold from around the 5th of march, so my towel is staying firmly in place.

Around the 5th/6th is when it's expected to become interesting re the effects of the SSW?

Failing to see how this is a 'crud run', please explain instead of just throwing the usual insults at the GFS.

I thought this was the model output thread not the model bashing thread?.. Can we just save the snarky comments until after? Getting bored of seeing so many posts like "GFS junk continues to embarrass itself.." or "Think we might have a 'That GFS' moment on on our hands unfortunately." Is just annoying and serves literally no purpose on this thread.

Once again, the GFS stays consistent with a very cold easterly flow. How many runs in a row has it shown this exact same scenario happen??

GFS has been very consistent on this theme for quite a while now.

Snowing in Bridgwater now. Won't set due to the rain we've just had.

Level 3 alert issued for our area, and the whole of England.

Lets hope this snow warning delivers! I'm up in Bristol currently but going back down to my home town tomorrow afternoon.

Just hoping we can get a few days of dry weather before this cold spell/snap happens. If not, it's going to be an ice rink pretty much everywhere in the south west with standing water / flooding in multiple locations. Also just got issued with this so will add further problems to travel and further increase the height of rivers around here.

Certainly a welcomed upgrade from the GFS this morning. Brings quite the snow storm to my area and most of S/W England. Of course this is only one model run so we'll need to look for consistencies, but it's getting interesting! Paired with what is happening high above us in the stratosphere it's quite the time to be a weather enthusiast.

This rain is mental.

Blitzortung.org - Live Lightning Map MAP.BLITZORTUNG.ORG See lightning strikes in realtime nearby your area. Get free online access to maps of former and current thunderstorms. A contribution by Blitzortung.org and contributors. is what I use.

Just had a massive boom of thunder, my whole room shook. Literally.

o.o