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Liam Burge

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Everything posted by Liam Burge

  1. Liam Burge
    Who's ready for some stonking 12z runs?
  2. Liam Burge
    It's not just a small or weak block either. GFS showing a 1060mb high with very cold air just to our west and even getting into the country by the end of the run. Not sure what would shift that high to be honest. Definitely an interesting time to be model watching! I think we'll see a change in the Met's outlook presto.
  3. Liam Burge
    Literally just the start of winter...
  4. Liam Burge
    You're only 15?? You're extremely knowledgeable and your posts always give me something new to learn about how our weather works!!
  5. Liam Burge
    Can almost see the run cheering the easterlies on!!
  6. Liam Burge
    That is beautiful
  7. Liam Burge
    Well, there goes our chances of cold and snow!
  8. Liam Burge
    Heights going towards scandi?
  9. Liam Burge
    Cold starting to creep in! I use theweatheroutlook.
  10. Liam Burge
    That is a strong block. Not getting flattened yet.
  11. Liam Burge
    Well, according to the ESWD there could have possibly been a significant tornado near Derby today. Preliminary rating is F2, and looking at the radar at that current time there does look like something happened just north of Derby around the time estimated here. https://i.gyazo.com/ca9d4bbd08e60b42880f17c641f4eff1.mp4
  12. Liam Burge
    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/research/library-and-archive/library/publications/weather--climate-guides/weather_facts.pdf
  13. Liam Burge
    Think what is more interesting than that is the ending of the outlook! 'Temperatures are expected to be near the seasonal average, perhaps rather cold at times later in the period.'
  14. Liam Burge
    Tonight's weather looks very interesting. The met has issued a yellow warning for rain & wind for the squall feature that is going to be impacting the south west of England and much of wales overnight tonight. Seems like some people could see some quite torrential rain and very gust winds for a small period of time as the squall line goes through.
  15. Liam Burge
    Could be quite interesting. Don't think it'll be that intense but definitely some wind for Northern Ireland / Scotland if this was to play off. The forecast cone was up off into Iceland on the last update, now it's shifted south. More southward adjustments could come, however it could also adjust more north.
  16. Liam Burge
    TORRO has issued a Tornado watch, with some very 'concerning' wording for our neck of the woods.
  17. Liam Burge
    The end of the GFS 00z run is very exciting!
  18. Liam Burge
    I'll go for the end of february into the start of march!
  19. Liam Burge
    That wasn't what I was trying to get at, sorry
  20. Liam Burge
    That's true. Looking at the CET we're on track to have the hottest on record: The last time I (and probably you) had a proper snowfall was during the BFTE in 2018. We've been so agonisingly close to having some proper cold spells over these past few years, however they just haven't happened. Take for example the 'cold' winter of last year that wasn't to be. We can remain in hope to have a cold winter, but it's really a guessing game at this point.
  21. Liam Burge
    yes.
  22. Liam Burge
    The *very* end of the GFS run is not something to scoff at if you're a cold lover! Admittedly, it's a few weeks out however it starts to show heights building towards Greenland! If this run continued for a few more frames I'm sure we'd see something special.
  23. Liam Burge
    Here's hoping we get something good today! Been quite the let down the past few days.
  24. Liam Burge
    I mean, just solely looking at the MetOffice rainfall forecast for the next 24 hours there looks to be plenty of chances for cells to pop up and give a good old thunderstorm.
  25. Liam Burge
    Got a good chance tomorrow of seeing a nice storm.
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