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Everything posted by Liam Burge
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Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
Liam Burge replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Always happens in the UK! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I will send you pics if it comes here. It's gonna be sods law that it misses me too, but at least it gives me an excuse to stay up wrapping these presents! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
lets all watch it die out just before it hits me -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Liam Burge replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hey all! Not sure if anyone has posted this, but the 'Cold Weather Alert' by the Met has now been upgraded to a 99% chance of cold / severely cold weather, which is just 1% off a national emergency declaration. If we read what each region can expect, there's been some quite significant upgrades: What is also interesting to note is the Southeast/London discussion, "There is currently a 30% risk of up to 5cm of snow on Sunday 11th December around London and the Southeast, please keep a watch for any National Severe Weather Warnings that may be issued by the Met Office if confidence on this event increases." -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Liam Burge replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
However NOAA does say significant development of the system will take place and hurricane force wind warnings are in affect for the seas. 'significant non-tropical development of this low is expected during the next couple of days, and additional information, including hurricane-force wind warnings' -
New NOAA outlook has dropped the chance of a tropical system forming from 50% to 30%, however the end of their outlook also suggests a possible rapid strengthening of the low over cold waters. Showers and thunderstorms have increased since last evening near a large non-tropical area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic about 850 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. However, the system remains embedded within a frontal zone, which is expected to become more pronounced later today as the low begins to move east-northeastward at 20 to 25 mph toward colder waters and interact with a mid-latitude trough. Therefore, while the system could show some subtropical characteristics today, its chances to fully transition to a subtropical or tropical cyclone appear to be decreasing. Nevertheless, significant non-tropical development of this low is expected during the next couple of day
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I love cold as much as the next person, but these temperatures would just be ridiculous and dangerous. -6c with a feels like temp of -11c. I know this is unlikely to happen but it just goes to show the true potential that this cold spell may have. Bear in mind, this is in Bridgwater which is very far south, so cities more north could expect to see temperatures much lower than we are being forecast.