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Scott Ingham

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Everything posted by Scott Ingham

  1. Scott Ingham
    Kasim the signal is overwhelming for cold and snow you can’t give one GFS run credit over all the other evidence. We can up this bet to £100 if you want?
  2. Scott Ingham
    It’s just one GFS cannon model fodder run Nick the models are just toying with the direction but the 500 means are rock solid as are the ensembles. The evidence for cold over mild is overwhelming
  3. Scott Ingham
    One gfs ensemble lmao we’re under cold 850s from 144 onwards with low pressure pushing into this cold air. Are you on a wind up?
  4. Scott Ingham
    The air is cold over us from 144 hours onwards and we can’t forecast snow at this range it’s a great run
  5. Scott Ingham
    The 15th onward still looks rock solid the support for it is the same.
  6. Scott Ingham
    We’ll see Nick my confidence due to the ensembles is sky high the only people who potentially could miss out are those on the far south coast
  7. Scott Ingham
    The northerly is counting down to the 15th with variations on a theme. Again the means etc are rock solid. Relax and wait for the snow from a battleground No I’ve been rock solid on this spell for 3 weeks and I still am it’s rock solid
  8. Scott Ingham
    It’s great for us up in Yorkshire
  9. Scott Ingham
    Cold and snow is pretty much nailed on and has been for a while it’s just how cold and how much snow now. Every morning there a little clan of negative posters. I don’t get it charts are incredible
  10. Scott Ingham
    Yes everything is going to plan I noticed you over reacted to another gfs run
  11. Scott Ingham
    Are you insane have you seen the ecm run its unbelievebaly cold and snowy everything is going perfect to plan! I think lack of sleep sends you morning boys insane
  12. Scott Ingham
    Very interesting many thanks Seb!
  13. Scott Ingham
    Thanks for the advice appreciated!
  14. Scott Ingham
    Quick question Blue as the Strat is an area I struggle with. Why do you think we’ll see reversal waves for the next 6 weeks after these current round of warmings? Just trying to improve my knowledge
  15. Scott Ingham
    Good to see the Scandi height options are on the table now to give me some more confidence in the methods I’ve used this past 9 months which has resulted in a winter forecast that couldn’t have gone a lot better as far as direction of travel is concerned! As ever if we don’t go to Scandi next the fun bit will be doing an autopsy and working out why to add into my scrap book of learnings these past 10 years! Whats your call Mike? Where do you see us going next?
  16. Scott Ingham
    Yeah if any newbies run ecm 168 - 240 on the 192 the upper air becomes milder coinciding with the shortwave/trough then 216 and especially 240 become Baltic as the flood gates open following this shortwave heading southeast. Pretty logical and we need these features if it’s snow you want. Btw I think the pattern will edge south and we will all see some snow at some stage
  17. Scott Ingham
    The mogreps are fine. It goes up in 850s for one day only. That’s when the shortwave dives south over the uk with its warm sector but most stay under -5 850s as far south as London so that’s all snow. It doesn’t go to the 17th n 18th that’s when cold air follows in behind the shortwave again. This is the best post you’ve done I completely agree and just posted the same the mogreps are fine and logical
  18. Scott Ingham
    I’m glad this thread has posters with a level head that I can relate to like yourself
  19. Scott Ingham
    I agree! People are still over analysing individual operational runs. The means are solid all is counting down and will count down in my opinion it’s just how long it will be cold for and how much snow. It’s crazy the amount of over reaction sometimes in here it’s why I go missing for some days! Look at the increase in stragglers between -10 and -15! That’s the most I’ve seen up to yet
  20. Scott Ingham
    This is very very nearly back to the nirvana charts shown 5/6 days ago and goes to show how it’s important not to be reeled in by mild blips in operational runs when the means were rock solid! I think disruptive snow is a strong possibility some exciting charts to look at when we get to the back end of this week and we get snow charts in range!
  21. Scott Ingham
    Compared to 48 hours ago they have upgraded run to run! They looked a lot worse over the weekend. These are amazing charts you must be hard to please!
  22. Scott Ingham
    I have noticed the same hahah! These models are great for Yorkshire and that’s all that matters for me atm and you I’m guessing lol
  23. Scott Ingham
    Please tell me you now aren’t happy with the ecm chart that has come round full circle to cold again! There’s lots of snow on that ecm where I am in Rotherham and there’s still more room for upgrades it’s a fabulous morning!
  24. Scott Ingham
    Guys things are about to become VERY INTERESTING for us by this time next week. Ive seen enough in calling at least 1 week of notable cold and snow from next Sunday/Monday onwards. Will start to look at snow chances by the weekend!
  25. Scott Ingham
    It’s the model not being able to handle the Pennines it creates a shadow on it it always does this pal
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