StormyLincs

The way we’re going at the moment, by the time this SSW has any effect on our weather I’ll be laying on the beach in my budgie smugglers with a Cornetto in my hand.

Me neither, I’m too near the coast. I think folks well inland at elevation might do well though.

I’m not paying too much attention to each model run at the moment. They are so incredibly different each time that I think almost anything could happen from uncle Barty to auntie Arctic. One thing it definitely isn’t is “Nailed”. ????

If you have been affected by tonight’s gfs 18z and need help and support, please phone blah blah blah. Or better still just wait for the 06z

If this “nailed on” “oven ready” cold spell goes bottoms up this time they’ll have to double the staff on the switchboard at The Samaritans.

Ignorance was bliss!!

Surely you must remember the other cold winters as well. Jan & Feb 85, Feb 86, and Jan87. I worked outside in all of them, and whilst it was a novelty for a while, the feeling of cold wet feet, frozen hands and biting winds soon made you feel differently about cold weather. It really was very miserable.

I personally think too many people expect too much of these SSW events and need to take a reality check. With every southwards surge of cold from the Arctic there must be a warm surge from the tropics. Unfortunately this time around we didn’t get lucky.

Missing data perhaps

I used to love a good Siberian freeze and buckets of snow when I was younger. But as you get older the appeal diminishes. Personally I’d be happy with a mild and dry winter, it’s less disruptive and easier on the gas bill. I still totally get why the younger members like it though.

I think there’s certainly more optimism now than there has been over the last week or so. We all need to keep our sensible heads on though.

Have we had “nailed” yet?

Well what a surprise. I know what precipitation to expect then.

The warmth I could handle but the rainfall I couldn’t . The fields are all under water around here already without adding to it.

Yes it looks like any deep cold from vortex displacement will be in the States and deepest Europe. The cold in the US will likely fire up the jet bringing us the usual winter fayre of mild wind and rain for the foreseeable.

Well if you’re brave enough you can always go skiing in your budgie smugglers

There’s still a lot of winter left, so I wouldn’t hang up your skis just yet.

Don’t hold your breath though, you might suffocate waiting.

Exactly the same here on the east coast with barely a frost this winter let alone snow. Not a patch on the BFTE when it was sub zero day and night with bucket loads of snow.

That’s actually very staid and sensible for the MOD thread, unlike the usual snowmageddon posts.

Yes it’s amazing how they all leave the crime scene when it all goes teits up.

February 78 was horrendous in the Southwest with villages cut off for weeks and food being air dropped by helicopter. We certainly don’t want that again, especially as the vaccination programme is being rolled out.

This from the Met Office this morning. Matthew Lehnert is an Expert Operational Meteorologist with the Met Office. He said: “Although the prolonged cold spell and snow events in February and March of 2018 – dubbed the ‘Beast from the East’ by the UK media – were linked to a sudden stratospheric warming, the record warm spell that occurred in February 2019 also followed such an event.” Paul Davies is the Met Office’s Chief Meteorologist. He added: “We can’t completely rule out a signal for colder weather following this SSW event later in the month. However, evidence from model data and other drivers of the UK weather support a return to relatively milder and more unsettled conditions next week.”

Global warming is definitely playing a part now in these wishy washy cold spells. We’re surrounded by an ever warming sea and becoming further and further away from polar ice sheets and cold sources because they are shrinking every year. I believe the Met Office recently predicted that nearly all lowland locations in the UK will be completely snowless in 40 years time with only the very highest locations seeing anything vaguely white. It’s sad really but I guess it will stop a lot of people on the MOD thread desperately looking for cold charts that aren’t there.