legion_quest

Lovely this morning, damp, cold. Only 6months to go until the nasty humid warmth returns.

No, just across Soton. I never leave here, lol

They've been in storage as I moved since last winter

I've been airing jumpers all day! The cold is here!

I'm going to call lack of mad fires burning whatever anyone fancies a good thing...

The ECM has been a bit better at picking up the right patterns recently, but as a cold fan, I shall hope for the GFS!

So grumpy

The sun has come out here, but humidex is still near 90%, so it's really oppressive feeling. Hope this nice cold snap arrives this far South for the weekend to blow all that out.

Says me!

An Omega pattern again. The GFS and ECM have both loved that pattern recently, and we've seen it come off. But, it's also possible they are just presenting a pattern and something else could come along that means that pattern doesnt go that way given the time frames. We'll see, but that sort of Southerly draw at the end of October would make me cry. Halloween needs to be cold and misty/foggy. Not warm!

I love when posts like that happen. One chart is posted saying 'oh look,X is happening!' Then the very next post has a different chart saying 'limited x, have y instead!'

To be fair, there are also those who only post the hottest ensembles they can find. People like what they like, people hope cast, and many look for extremes for interest. The bias is strong in both directions, you just have to find the posts worth reading in amongst the rest and remember it's just the weather

It's warm out, but overcast. Feels humid, not oppressively so, but getting there. Not really pleasant. Would rather have had a nice crisp autumn day over this clag. Models seem to suggest we'll be keeping the above average temps in the South, but lots and lots of rain incoming. I'd have definitely rather had the GFS' cold blast over days of heavy rain

Above average temps but wet. July is here again, in October...

Dont think we should use the term at all. Sounds far too positive. It should be 'a worrying period of unseasonable warmth, much higher and longer than average, highlighting once again that the world is warming, dangerously faster than predicted, and being able to wear a t-shirt for an weekend extra is not a good trade off!' Doesnt quite have the same ring to it though...

Woohoo, new models showing cold! Now to see how that plays out over the next 9 days! Cant wait for the models showing any snow and watching that disappear too!

I think this is the new normal. Much more chance of heat earlier and later each year, lots less cold. Global warming for you!

Typical, had a nice bit of cold on the models showing, and now that gets watered down but the heat verifies.

So, we've gone from the models suggesting it's either extreme (for the time of year) heat next week OR a cold snap to the models now generally agreeing we're getting a blast of heat followed by what looks like the fastest turn around ever with the cold snap coming almost right afterwards. If that doesnt highlight the utter uncertainty and flip flopping weather caused by Global Warming, I'm not sure what will!

To go from unseasonable warmth to unseasonable cold in the span of a week would be extraordinary. Almost expecting it given the way the weather has been in the last few mths

Interesting to see all the models now lining up after their little disagreement. Not the outcome I was hoping for, worrying heat levels for this time of year, but makes sense really given just how much there is to our South. It has to go somewhere, and as it gets hotter and hotter in summer in the Med and Africa, heat is just going to be there for us longer and longer every year.

I think people are choosing the ECM because many want that to be the outcome. Though granted I want to believe the GFS because I want some cold! Hopecasting all round!

Hahaha, it's model fight time between a colder blast or a warm blast. Who will be right?!

October certainly feels like it's getting warmer and warmer with each year. The potential for heat later in the year, and indeed earlier in the year, just keeps widening.

The sun wasnt out. So even though the temps were around average due to the Southerly nature of the wind drawing up humid air, that air was accompanied by cloud and rain. People mentally associate warmth with the sun, if you can't see the sun because of cloud and rain, it doesnt matter what the temps are, you'll not feel it mentally. Equally, you're less likely to spend time outside and feel the temps, so all you have to go on is the 'look' of the day. Summer isn't just about what the stats say, but the experiences that come with it, and this summer, people were by and large unable to do many of the things people associate with a 'good' summer.