carinthian

No live shots then but The Polar Low of Feb 1969. 18" dumped on our farm between Knutsford and Macclesfield between 9am and 5pm. Temp was down to -7c just after passage. 4 foot drifts across our lane . C

Thought some of you might like these pictures of Advent Weekend on The Katschberg. Very cold and snowy yesterday. C

Fantastic first Sunday of the new season . Lifts open and some early skiers taking advantage of deep powder snow and low temps. Down in the village -10c and -15c on the top run. A break in the early Advent snowfall at the moment. Will get some photos later. C

Yes, slowly but surely and good to see the diving jet well south. Better orientation of that mother feeder low well out in the NW Atlantic. C

Yes, think you are right 96-120 t. As you pointed out earlier the main difference this morning shown by all models if the indication of some energy spilling SE from the developing Atlantic mother low. We need to see that development to continue during this weekend runs. If it does so, we can expect some exciting charts for cold lovers. C

Morning all, not exactly a flush out of the cold shown this morning. The latest UKMO run shows the cold air hanging around now until Thursday. So that in its self is an upgrade compared to this time yesterday. Again looks like the models struggling to remove the cold block to the North east. Many have the Atlantic eventually breaking through but the resistance is all to see this morning. I think the odds to a milder evolution has been reduced going by this mornings latest outputs. Looks like an exciting weekend of model viewing , especially now in the shorter term for you lot. C

Looks like latest ECM run joins UKMO to flush out the cold sometime next week. I still think ( 120T-144T) remains a period of uncertainty. Currently we have 60% snow cover across Europe at the end of November. That extensive amount has not been seen for quite sometime for so early in the season. So for the next 5 days the cold remains entrenched for quite a big part of Europe /British Isles and the snow cover looks like it could even grow further..Henceforth, the flush out of cold could be delayed if the Atlantic underestimates' the block of cold air but that currently appears not to be influencing the current medium term runs. We wait and see if the flip occurs . C

Morning , looks like this mornings runs show little respect to the entrenched cold to the North East. After several attempts The Atlantic makes in roads across most of the British Isles by the end of next week at 168T. The GEM model shows the greatest resistance and the UKMO again the most progressive to flush out the cold. Just waiting on ECM run. I would think period 120-144 T still remains problematical regarding the medium term outlook. Whether the waft of mildest is temporary we wait on or not at all ! C

I am just wondering what that cold block over Scandinavia is affecting the current model outputs. Looks like Sweden is going to have its coldest November for a few decades past with early ice formation in the Gulf of Bothnia already present. Copenhagen recorded its coldest November Day for 100 years earlier in the week. Cold pools reform quickly in Arctic Nordic Regions and tend to move SWly. Could the British Isles end up ion the Battle Zone ? Who knows but could be special if that cold block to the NE remains and expands . The models seem to show its persistence. Whether it dominants UK/ Euro weather over the coming weeks or even months time will tell as always. C

Obertauern over the valley from me, about 30min drive . Know it well. Never been to Solden but know its big ski-ing ! C

Must be the nearest thing to paradise gliding through virgin snow with no one else in sight ! Where are you going to in Feb ? C

First run of the season yesterday after a pole.. Lifts open in Zauchensee on Friday. Looking good. C

Morning all , compared to yesterdays 00z model runs looks like the main models this morning showing some resistance to remove the cold from the UK. The jet appears to be aligning further south again. Under cut and Scandinavian High to evolve ? Quite promising developments this morning. Hold on the your hats just a bit longer ! C

Maybe associated with that cold front approaching NE Scotland. Some very cold air following on from behind that out of Norway. DP -15c currently off the Southwest coast of Norway and spreading towards the Northern Isles this afternoon. C

Some serious amounts of snowfall in the higher regions of The Austrian Arlberg. Currently , the European cold front continues to deliver. C

Just to highlight the uncertainty for next week. The second chart from GFS (06 run ) already differs from earlier output (00t) first illustration below. The jet not as aggressive on latest run and hints at further amplification over Eastern Atlantic. Think at this stage we may well be looking at a extension to European cold spell. The longer it gets established the harder to shift but as always 10 days is a long way off. So for you lot back in Blighty enjoy the winter sunshine and long frosty nights for rest of this week. Any snow will be a nice bonus and good to see the first advisories being issued for the NE. C

Daughter sent me these pictures from early this morning in Stockholm. A real Baltic chill with a temp of -11c. C

Morning all. In the shorter term out to next weekend some extensive early winter cold about . In that period , the models have upgraded the cold this morning with some low values being shown across the British Isles and widely across much of Europe. It is now we can look for snow potential across The British Isles , probably of the convectional and trough formation type generated over the North Sea. Whether the longer term charts bring in the milder Atlantic flow as being shown this morning occurs or not , I think, for many just enjoy the seasonal offerings over the next 5/6 days or so and then see what develops ? C

Hi NWS, can you post 168T 850mb temp chart and 300mb wind flow for latest UKMO extended? For some reason cannot access over here at the present. C

ok its that time of the year. First snowman of the season built on the terrace. Hope it lasts . Won't be long now for a UK snowman appears ! C

There was very deep cover early Dec 2020. Could be the heaviest for sometime for November ending. Definitely more snow at altitude over the past 10 years or so compared to 1990s/2000 period. Unfortunately , most restricted to 500m and above these past winters. C

Fantastic Monday morning . Work in progress to get the runs open on Friday. Plenty of deep fresh powdery snow. All runs will be open from the top station in picture down to the village. C 05270_65646b47-8cfdVid.mp4

Yes, looks like Friday will see some snow showers move in from the North Sea as the colder air spread SE across most of the British Isles . At this stage the Low progged over Brest Peninsula may only affect the far south of the British Isles. Longer term, big difference between ECM and GFS . The ECM shows a renewed bout of amplification whereas GFS having none of this and blows up a big Mid- Atlantic Low. Can anyone show the 300mb jet profile chart issued by UKMO at 168T ? c

Some huge amounts of snowfall in The Austrian Alps over this weekend. Pictures from the Arlberg in the west of the region. C

I like the ECM run this morning. The chart below out at day 10 prolongs the cold over Europe with the block forcing the jet further south. C