Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

sunnijim

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,620

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

 Content Type 

Everything posted by sunnijim

  1. sunnijim
    Looks like the peak was 67mph here, unless I missed somthing. Standing on my own with the phone camera in one hand an Anometer in the other....ripe for comment about some weirdo on the South Downs on the local fb group #stormysussexsunset
  2. sunnijim
    Heathrow has clocked a 69mph gust. Normally making the news for the highest Summer temps! Impressive inland gust, when was the last time a gust that high was recorded there? #weatherhistory
  3. sunnijim
    The like minded, I have to bite my finger to stop a response out of keeping with the convivial atmosphere on the MOD sometimes unless it is likely to fall out of the sky and is white, we might as well spend winter under a Bartlett high with "no weather" seems to be the mood from a sizeable amount of contributions there. I am as enthused by today's weather type and the lead up to it as any snow chase! Who is with me? Hit the thumbs as they say
  4. sunnijim
    We are clocking gusts here with elevation on the coast around 67mph ( twice on my hand held ano) Might squeeze some 70mphs or so in the next couple of hours
  5. sunnijim
    Gusts around 70mph to 80mph around the IOW now. This makes it the strongest wind storm of the winter so far for Southern counties. A quite unique system in the "modern age' that it took so long for models to agree on the wind impacts. Hats off to the GFS ( often over reacts with wind strength) 4 or 5 days out from an event, but held its nerve while other models flipped and flopped between severe and benign on different runs. Not a surprise all of this given the nature of a small low developing over the UK, reasonably rare. Strongest winds here progged between 3pm and 6pm. IOW area just receiving 70mph + gusts now on latest obs.
  6. sunnijim
    Storm Henk named by Met Office WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Storm Henk will bring a spell of very strong winds to parts of the UK leading to potential disruption to travel and infrastructure.
  7. sunnijim
    Can someone edit this title. #Storm Henk named. A late naming but calling for 80mph gusts. No blame here, developments to firm up on this at the 11th hour with models only just getting on board in unison this morning. UK weather warnings - Met Office WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK
  8. sunnijim
    Questions will be asked this evening if there is no name for this one imo Gusts around the capital at 60mph during the rush hour later. Coasts 70mph +
  9. sunnijim
    No changes in wording to the current yellow warning and no named storm. I am reasonably certain that 'some' places will see their windiest spell this winter tomorrow, but it will be localised in that respect so may not meet the criteria for a name...?
  10. sunnijim
    Looks like they both viewed a rapid deepening on approach to Wales then. The more agreesive deepening may end up an outlier, but the lesser solution on the Met office warning of 70mph gusts is the one GFS has gone with on several runs now. I would imagine there are a few ensemble members at the very least on in house met office models that may agree with that. A more rapid deepening as it tears East across England. The more likely at the moment is the modest deepening as it crosses causing 60mph gusts with exposure. As I said earlier, little systems like this need careful watching for localised severe impacts.
  11. sunnijim
    What solutions in terms of high gusts were those two models showing? I would imagine the met office are taking a Conservative attitude due to the continued divergence but an overall trend with all models for 'somthing' to occur windwise. With a mass return to work tomorrow for those in England and Wales the concern is a set of 12z runs this evening that up the anti or perhaps worse still continue to show scenarios ranging from a breeze to hurricane strength.
  12. sunnijim
    Has been a rapidly developing scenario this one, coming a little out of the blue. A small feature crossing England that wasn't really a feature yesterday on the fax charts. We saw a shallow feature that was filling as it tracked East. The updated fax charts this morning show a clear LP centre over Central England that continues to deepen from 977mb to 974 as it Exits via the Wash. Some models produce some real havoc with wind speeds, and although the met office themselves have jumped on board a little with their warnings this morning, they are not buying some of the more extreme solutions...yet. This evenings runs will be pivotal imo to see what might play out and if we start the year with a named storm. My interest has been piqued on this system as historically these small features can really produce local extremes, especially those that continue to deepen as they cross and exit the UK.
  13. sunnijim
    Has been named by UK Met Office. #Storm Gerrit
  14. sunnijim
    If the dreaded Bartlett or similar does come to pass for Christmas,it will one of many occasions that this has been called in the far reaches of FI. Anyone known a freeze progged with such accuracy? It was explained to me here once why it is easier for models to nail the Mild dross.
  15. sunnijim
    I know,it is a nonsense I'm afraid based on nothing more than a hope that the cold will remain in the face of damnng evidence to the contrary! True,a strong block to our Northeast has put up more of a fight in the past than models factor in,but the recent cold snap was based on a tenuous rise in pressure that was holding off an Atlantic onslaught by a fingernail, not a strong block and frigid cold in place for weeks previous.
  16. sunnijim
    No met office warnings of ice down here but a major road traffic accident has just taken place on the outskirts of Brighton due to black ice forming after a short spell of rain and sleet past through Washed the grit off and the carriageway iced over and the result looks awful,multiple veichles involved
  17. sunnijim
    Thar said,it turned to sleet and rain near the Amex. It washed the grit off the road,black ice immediately formed on the A27 and there has now been a horrendous multi veichle pile up near the stadium. Looks awful, incredible no ice warnings here from the met office!
  18. sunnijim
    First November snow since 2010 here! Nothing more than a few flakes in the wind near Brighton. 2c,feels bitter
  19. sunnijim
    First November snow since 2010 here! Nothing more than a few flakes in the wind near Brighton. 2c,feels bitter
  20. sunnijim
    Thunderstorm on the coast here. One almighty clap and a few more distant.
  21. sunnijim
    A final roundup on some local stats and info on the coastline of England worst effected. I was more than a little surprised by some of the damage done locally considering my peak gust was 67mph and the nearest official station hit 62mph. Damage to beach huts,that normally stand your 60mphish gusts. Trees down in a fair few places,some quite sizeable ( due in part to saturated soil) Various fences and some damage to outbuildings. A few dislodged tiles. Nothing to compare with France and the channel Isles of course. There seems to be some evidence locally of gusts a touch up on the reporting between 4am and 7am. A couple of local observers say there Ano hit 71mph and 73mph respectively,one with elevation 2 miles inland and the other with some height on the coastline. Interested the geek in me,because the sort of minor damage seen is not in line with gusts maxing around 65mph from past experience. Around 70mph yes.
  22. sunnijim
    If you are to believe the M.O warning, then yes. They seem to bandy the word 'thunderstorm' around in these warnings all the time now. Time was that mentioning thunderstorm even during a Spanish plume set up was hard to use the word in warnings
  23. sunnijim
    Certainly cutting up rough on the seafront. Just got lifted and blown along by the wind at Brighton marina. A little scary even for me,went with a "it's not that bad attitude" Monster waves too. Will try and get some photos at the 1pm high tide
  24. sunnijim
    Agree,the margins were fine in the models until the 11th hour,and although it appeared obvious that the South of England would be spared the worst there was always "potential' for some of the 80mph + winds to sneak into the SW and SE of England coastlines. Three would have been hell to pay had those sort of winds struck under yellow warnings or no warnings. Anyone can see how close parts of England came to the worst storm since 1987. Just an aside on this,Feb 22 saw a notable storm that folk proclaimed was the worst in 50 to 100 years. I said at the time it was likely to repeat either in the following Winter or sooner, this every 50 years,10 yrs or whatever that might be trotted out is nonsense. We could well see a scenario like this repeated again this winter.
  25. sunnijim
    Live Weather Top Twenty - Highs and Lows - Netweather.tv WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Joint record for the lowest air pressure in Brighton at least. 953mb and no filling yet. Perhaps not as deep as some models predicted but still a record thus far South in November? Can anyone advise..
×
×
  • Create New...