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A.J

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Everything posted by A.J

  1. A.J
    will it get the snowman p****d though?
  2. A.J
    Good gravy, Monday's looking a bit tasty for us in the north and east of the region......
  3. A.J
    Worth noting on this particular run, the ppn signal seems weaker than previous runs albeit less marginal, more wintry in nature for more of the region
  4. A.J
    only 15cm?!...DOWNGRADE!....DOWNGRADE!
  5. A.J
    A bit of a daft post TBH and absolutley reeking of IMBYism....Please use the model mayhem thread for posts of this nature, or better still, your own regional...ta!
  6. A.J
    Well, I'm definitely biased, and your thinking is out....by about 10 miles....Lyneham's the sweetspot....lol
  7. A.J
    Quite a few posts in here are bordering on the realms of 'total garbage'......Please think before you post, as my Deleting Finger of Doom â„¢ is getting twitchy.....ta!
  8. A.J
    Relax folks, too many peeps getting far too stressed about frozen water. Spare a thought for me...I'm only going to get about 50cm of laying snow this weekend, hardly enough to kick start my bid to hold the winter olympics at Lyneham!
  9. A.J
    righty o then, new thread here --------------> locking this one in T minus 60 seconds and counting.................
  10. A.J
    Okey dokey then, a new thread for today's fun & games, so carry on here please! Old thread here --------->
  11. A.J
    I think we'll have a new thread shortly, in time to digest the forthcoming 06z output and it's ramifications for our neck of the woods....So please finish off any posts, and I'll post the new link shortly
  12. A.J
    yep, Ian's also tweeted to ignore the NAE raw output (in this instance the ppn charts being too progressive) 10 mins ago... ...and in the last 5 mins...." Ian Fergusson â€@fergieweather W COUNTRY Local nuances of Fri snowfall still uncertain but pragmatic approach now is to plan on increasing likelihood of a disruptive event"
  13. A.J
    To save any possible misinterptetation of social networking posts/tweets etc, it's probably best to let the original author to post them if he/she feels neccessary to, in this particuar case, no doubt Ian will update the thread on the latest news when he gets chance
  14. A.J
    Nice post Tony, with lovely use of coloured text...lol
  15. A.J
    behave!
  16. A.J
    new thread here -------------> locking this one shortly
  17. A.J
    Ok, carry on here please old thread here -------------->
  18. A.J
    new thread coming up shortly
  19. A.J
    Hi, the dew point temperature is the temperature at which water condenses out of the air, if you have dew points and wet bulb temps of above 0C then as a general rule that means rain, if you have dew points & wet bulb temps below 0C then that means frozen precipitation (which providing upper air temps and thicknesses are favourable, means snow)
  20. A.J
    Welcome aboard!
  21. A.J
    Yes, for Devon/Cornwall, based on my interpretation of one model run.....The reality is, all to play for, still plenty of modelling and reality checks to go through before Friday!
  22. A.J
    Southampton, especially near Kate's abode.......balmy, almost sub-tropical....with a UV index of 8, get the sun cream out!
  23. A.J
    purely on 12z GFS output, it would be very marginal for snowfall most parts in our region. Forget the GFS PPN type charts to be honest. Even at T+6 they're about as much use as a choclate fireguard!....The reason it's marginal IMO is due to web bulb temps, dew points, and lower atmospheric thicknesses... based on GFS (and only GFS) output then.. Cornwall/Devon - rain only, apart from the moors, and some wintry ppn on the Blackdowns Somerset/Dorset, - Rain/Sleet Mix, snow at times due to evaporative cooling especially with any elevation Gloucestershire/Wiltshire - Marginal, but heavy wet snowfall likely, substantial accs especially to the east and north of the counties and with elevation. Just my blind stab at the weather, based on one model run
  24. A.J
    quality chart and quality line mate.....
  25. A.J
    hmm.......Nah! just kidding folks!
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