Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

A.J

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,708

  • Joined

  • Days Won

    40

 Content Type 

Everything posted by A.J

  1. A.J
    Cheshire gap effect already starting up in the west midlands...some decent returns showing up on radar (courtesy of NW Extra)
  2. A.J
    Yet again, for the 40,000th time of asking it seems in this thread, can members please read the thread title and post accordingly....It's not that hard is it?......Report any questionable posts, please don't reply to them in here!
  3. A.J
    Yep, we're a right bunch of breeders here in the west midlands...lol....seems to be a familiar pattern with Pm airmasses this time of year...roll on a few weeks from now with unstable southerly airmass interacting with an slowly advancing cold front from the atlantic...yeah I want to see plenty of that this summer!
  4. A.J
    replied back in the midlands thread, summary was based on 06z NMM output, 12z output differs considerably....and as just recently posted in the midlands regional....parts of the east midlands & east anglia look promising with good parameters in place for tomorrow....Apart from some late morning & early afternoon showers, the midlands looks quite dry IMO
  5. A.J
    not a lot IMO.....a few showers early on, then fairly benign by the looks of things.....energy shifts east & south eastwards during the day....the main action looks to be near east anglia, without looking into specifics, the basic parameters are there for that region, plenty of bouyancy, some surface CAPE, and nice converging surface winds.....not saying that this will be how it pans out of course, just based on NMM output
  6. A.J
    I wasn't referring to the temp differential, more the steering winds & earlier NMM surface wind charts which were showing low level convergences through the cheshire gap...The 12z run has put the kibosh on that though for my neck of the woods
  7. A.J
    with a west midlands IMBYism, stuck in the middle of no-mans land here, dry since mid morning.....but things look much better for the north west midlands tomorrow as steering winds are much more favourable (turn to north west which should enhance the cheshire gap effect, so IMHO, areas to the south of Brum should have a relatively dry day, areas to the north, more shower/storm potential .....(post copied across from the midlands thread )
  8. A.J
    stuck in the middle of no-mans land here, dry since mid morning.....but things look much better for the north west midlands tomorrow as steering winds are much more favourable (turn to north west which should enhance the cheshire gap effect, so IMHO, areas to the south of Brum should have a relatively dry day, areas to the north, more shower/storm potential
  9. A.J
    Already had one pokey shower this morning.....Convection really getting going over the past hour or so, some lovely Cu Congestus around now,
  10. A.J
    same here
  11. A.J
    What a thoroughly horrible day. steady rain & one look at the radar suggests the prospects of several more hours of rain thus a washout...Oh well, that's my day out with the kids gone for a burton!
  12. A.J
    I can't get the NMM model viewer to update..It's stuck on the Sunday 06z output.....Have cleared my browser cache but to no avail...any ideas anyone?
  13. A.J
    Drizzle & chilly today, plenty of rain forecast tomorrow, but then the tantalizing prospect of nice convective weather midweek
  14. A.J
    Not too sure about the tone is some of the posts today.....Whilst constructive criticism (provide of course that it's on-topic) is good for debate, it's the tone, manner and wording of said constructive criticism that can make or break a discussion....Might be worth baring in mind
  15. A.J
    Ooh Ooh, I know why there were thundery showers yesterday! It's because god needed to water his garden and the thunder was by god moving furniture about.....I'll fetch my coat :lol:
  16. A.J
    As I work outdoors I don't mind the lack of rain....and TBH with the usual SWerly prevailing winds, it does save us from having what would otherwise be a hell of a lot more wet days during the year!
  17. A.J
    Simple meteorology really, as the PPN is feeding in from the east, we are in effect in the rain shadow area with higher ground from the Leicester area up through into the Peak District leeching out ppn, and likewise PPN peps up further to the west over the Welsh mountains due to orographic lifting
  18. A.J
    snowing again increasing in intensity as the next band from the east encroaches over here....you never know, might actually get some settling snow
  19. A.J
    A nice idea, but to be honest with the wintry spell forecasted to be very short lived & due to the amount of posting in this thread overall, it doesn't really warrant splitting the regional thread further
  20. A.J
    yes, it is/will....it's spiralling around an shallow low pressure centre that is gradually sinking southwards...it al depends on your location in relation to the LP centre as to which direction your local ppn comes from...for me, for instance as I'm on the northern flank of the LP centre then ppn is coming from the east and just north of east (and looking at the radar there's plenty of rain/sleet/snow to come)
  21. A.J
    just to add, looks like plenty more wintry ppn to come, with an arc of heavy ppn over the NE Midlands gradually spreading west and south westwards, so looking like a very wet and potentially wintry day here
  22. A.J
    morning all....moderate wet snow here in Penkridge, with a slight slushy dusting, and a howling wind,
  23. A.J
    after some occasionally heavy rain, we now have sunshine here, and still feeling quite mild outside....hard to believe that there is a chance of wintry ppn in the next 6-12 hours, but the chance is there all the same!....The wraparound and cold air undercut is still a good 100 miles to the north but its sinking south following the track of the LP centre, so the temperature and wind strength/direction change should be quite dramatic later on tonight for this part of the world
  24. A.J
    12z GFS not so good so far for the midlands, especially the east midlands...LP seems to be further west on this run thus more mixing in of the milder uppers in the south and east flanks of the circulation....
  25. A.J
    My thoughts rhyme with the words "Oh Clucking Bell"!
×
×
  • Create New...