A.J

yep, nice & warm outside Bish......summer here we come!

believe it or not, I know what you're talking about...many a time it's been sunny here in summer, but you can see a bank of strato-cumulus encroaching from the the west, it wouldn't surprise if this is the effect of convective cloud bubbling up over the welsh mountains in a westerly based air pattern, then air sinks (a la rain shadow effect) & warms, lapse rates drop and convective clouds flatten into SCu

On the contrary, I believe it will be a wonderful summer, with wall to wall daytime sunshine with lots of juicy night time thunderstorms for all of the Midlands (with one exception, as rumour has it that in Telford it will cloudy and drizzly every day from 6am to 9pm :winky: )

hurray, woke up to a covering of snow ..must admit I didn't expect that, I thought the cheshire gap effect was going to fizzle out....looking at the radar it looks like it was the heavy shower around 2:30 am that did the 'damage'

radar must be on the blink...as according to radar I've been under a heavy snow shower for over 20 minutes now, yet it's bone dry outside

showers were garbage, fell apart before reaching here....HP ridging in from the SW now killing off any showers to the NW...looks like a dry night after all I'm afraid

Nice clump of showers coming down through the cheshire gap now, might be a covering of snow in the offing

miserable out there currently as quite an active front passes through with steady, driving rain....all eyes then to our north west to see if a wintry cheshire gap streamer can develop this evening

no for me, 2010/11 was poor for snow as was 09/10

2/10 Bish, got an overnight dusting...last weekend 9/10....TBH after the disappointment of 2010/11 winter, I'm grateful for any snow....2010/11 was poor for me, despite it being really cold before Xmas, there was very little actual snowfall

very light snow here currently

yes it is Shaun...my quick forecast is based purely on GFS00z data

looking further ahead... A forecast based on the 00zGFS output..... It looks fairly quiet now for several days as High Pressure establishes itself to the west of the UK, blocking the atlantic, with the current modeled orientation of the HP I would expect a cool NWerly breeze bring in cloud & drizzle to western parts of the midlands, drier further east, but I think sunshine might well be at a premium... Next wekend as the model output moves into FI, the HP is forecasted to slip away SWwards allowing a much cooler showery regime with North Westerly wind pattern, good news for western parts as cheshire gap streamers are possible with snow accs on the cards as upper temps are very low and well supportive of wintry PPN.... looking even further ahead Day 11 shows a deep Low Pressure skirting the south of the region, this would have the potential for a big snow event for all of the region, and as it pulls away to the east, introduces a very cold northerly toppler, dry for most parts (the wishbone effect) with snow showers in the extreme west & east of our region.... So there you go, a quick forecast, and as a rough guide, and in terms of accuracy and verification, I'd knock 5% per day off percentage probability

Morning all, well it looks like the weather gods did feel a small amount of pity for me, as I've just got up, looked outside and everything's white!.......no real accumulations to speak of, just a light covering, but hey, anything is better than nothing.....the radar archive suggests it happened between 0200 - 0300 thiis morning as the frontal system pulled away to the SW allowing colder upper air to follow on behind

good point, and after having been spoiled rotten in snowfall last weekend, we should've know better this time around...Oh well, we're moving back down to south devon later on in the year, at least I won't be disappointed there as snow is never forecasted there...lol

Normally I'd have a moan at you having a moan...lol.....but I agree with you..Today's non-event has cost me a lot of money with cancelled customer deliveries, money I can ill afford to lose...So if the weather gods are listening, you owe me big time!

You need to have a word with your pantheon Bish, because the weather gods have pooped on us today! ...lol

or they're telling porkies :winky:

It's evaporating PPN Bish, nothing falling from the sky, I'm under it on radar

Blimey the crawly bum licking going on in here is making me nauseous :lol: Well, very poor for the west midlands I'm afraid with steady light rain for most of the afternoon with 5 mins of freezing rain....Mr Ian Brown would be proud...lol

It's you, I'm afraid.....nothing happening, time for bed I think...Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

freezing rain......crap....nuff said

ok, here's a new thread --------------------> http://forum.netweat...cussion-part-6/ closing this one shortly

Okey Dokey, with the imminent explosive snow development for the West Midlands, also known by the Met Office as Operation 'Yourhavingalaugh' .... here's a new shiny thread for the overnight period, So makes yourselves comfy and carry on here.... previous thread here ------------> http://forum.netweat...5/page__st__700

right then, I'll open a new thread for tonight shortly...links & stuff to follow ....