Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Kentish Man

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    788

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Kentish Man

  1. Kentish Man
    Trouble is these little niceties are ignored by national forecasters thus raising up the hopes of our neighbours kids only to be let down again. Incidentally these Channel winds clearly extended as far "north" as our neck of the woods
  2. Kentish Man
    Total snow failure here (again) . I think we in the far south east have to accept a proper rather than transitory snowfall only occurs with two synoptic situations either a cold ENE continental polar airstream with previous cold pooling in Europe or an embedded polar low in a cold artic maritime flow (rare). Today a weak front by the time it got here from the WNW was the usual let down with just an odd snowflake seen in the cold rain.
  3. Kentish Man
    5C maximums as forecast on the GFS for Saturday don't cut it in my book. Chilly yes but not genuinely cold. The best you can say about this January is that it won't be as mild as in 2020 but it's still another let down after the model nirvana we saw at one point.
  4. Kentish Man
    I've been on this site long enough to rrealise that will not be the precise chart that verifies but I look for trends and the trends aren't good on any of the models unless you can see something I can't.
  5. Kentish Man
    Yes that's 10 days ago when it did get a bit chilly. Quite likely now we'll end up after an average December with only slightly below average temperatures in January in the southern half of the UK and I now have a suspicion Feb will be a warm one with La Nina doing its late winter worst.. Edit Bartlett alert on GFS at t+300. Time to go home.
  6. Kentish Man
    What a load of crap output on all of this morning's models for the southern half of the country. At least we'll be spared the worst of the flooding before the mild sets in from next week. And we might get a couple of frosts next weekend lol. So much for SSW.
  7. Kentish Man
    Yes in this far south eastern corner winter has surely once again flattered to deceive despite promising medium term model output throughout December and early January . Even the promised snow failed to materialise here this morning although I understand a couple of spots in east Kent got a dusting. Looking forward it just looks very wet with a southern tracking jet not far enough south to provide any real wintry stuff in southers areas but far enough south for endless more depressing cold rain.
  8. Kentish Man
    2.0C thanks. Happy New Year to all!
  9. Kentish Man
    3.8C thanks
  10. Kentish Man
    5.8C thanks
  11. Kentish Man
    9.6C please
  12. Kentish Man
    Wow a 0.3c drop is unusual at this late stage of a month. Could end up near to 1981 -2010 average of 14.2C.
  13. Kentish Man
    13.1C thanks
  14. Kentish Man
    I won't be listing August 2020 as one of the great Augusts. A week or so of hellishly high temperatures by day and night bounded by average or even decidedly chilly conditions, unseasonal storms and wind and dull skies does not as a summer month do it. Sadly the best of the weather down here was during the height of the lockdown from April to June.
  15. Kentish Man
    Yes we could end up as low as 17.5C with two chilly days and nights to add on plus the month-end adjustment to come.
  16. Kentish Man
    17.0C thanks
  17. Kentish Man
    15.7C cheers
  18. Kentish Man
    13.6C thanks
  19. Kentish Man
    Last night's 12z GFS forecasted 0C minimums in my area early next week - now up to 4C at the lowest as the true artic blast (as so often) heads further east in the latest models. Quite happy about that as late frosts are potentially very damaging but it also suggests it was unwise of some broadcast forecasters to over-egg the pudding too early. Of course things can change but I'm struggling to think of many occasions in the past where once a northerly downgrade kicks off it goes into reverse.
  20. Kentish Man
    9.9C thanks
  21. Kentish Man
    7.6C thanks.
  22. Kentish Man
    It's not the first time the forecast for "southern counties" is a bit off to put it kindly. If you listened to BBC forecasters bleating how this would be a much better week last Sunday you'd be forgiven for wondering why this is possibly going to turn out the wettest week of all down here just without the wind.
  23. Kentish Man
    5.1C please
  24. Kentish Man
    4.7C thanks
  25. Kentish Man
    I think with just 5 weeks to go and no signs of a SSW we can formally write off 2019/20 and consign it to the list of rubbish post 1987 winters from a cold viewpoint. Add in the endless rain apart from this last week of almost as miserable AC gloom then it becomes what I would consider as one of the top 3 worst winters of that period
×
×
  • Create New...