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mulzy

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Everything posted by mulzy

  1. mulzy
    You can’t fool us!! You’ll sneakily have a look!
  2. mulzy
    Yes @ICE COLD’s 850 Uk charts brought the 2018 BFTE in!!
  3. mulzy
    No point sugar coating it, 6z GFS is a poor run till day 7 (especially for the south). The phasing with the incoming Atlantic low is far from ideal.
  4. mulzy
    FWIW, Ext EPS mean fairly disappointing - jet too far north allowing heights to build in Europe. Near term EPS fantastic!
  5. mulzy
    No not missing anything at all. Though improved the ECM is still the poorest solution at day 6. Limpet low still has not cleared!!
  6. mulzy
    ECM day 5 is better but the limpet low is takes ages to clear but looks like it is getting there. We need a bit of luck on the phasing of the two Atlantic lows.
  7. mulzy
    3.0C and 58mm please.
  8. mulzy
    UKMO 12z a definite downgrade sadly.
  9. mulzy
    Yesterday's day 4. Correct one below.
  10. mulzy
    Early news on the EPS mean - a slight improvement on last night (days 6-8).
  11. mulzy
    ECM still says no at days 5-6. Wow! ECM / ICON vs the rest. Will it be decided tonight? - probably not!
  12. mulzy
    It’s all about the UKMO this morning - the most important model when it comes to cold. So important to have it on board!!
  13. mulzy
    EPS trending better days 6-8. Edit: days 6-10. Seems to be aligning more with the GEFS.
  14. mulzy
    No point sugar coating things, ECM is very underwhelming. FI probably at 96 hours.
  15. mulzy
  16. mulzy
    Early news on the mean EPS (days 6 to 9) - marginal improvement on last night - Med heights move east quicker and decline a little faster. Nowhere near as good as the GEFS but at least the trend has been arrested and even reversed a tad.
  17. mulzy
    Too much shortwave drama on the ECM - better than last night’s run but not delivering anything substantive. Potential remains but we need to see delivery now!
  18. mulzy
    They are not awful - just poor compared to this morning. Those damn Med heights!
  19. mulzy
    Medium term EPS trending the wrong way - let’s hope it’s just a blip!
  20. mulzy
    Fair to say the extended EPS mean is better than the extended GEFS mean. Approaching the perfect configuration that the EC46 had for week 3.
  21. mulzy
    Waiting for @ICE COLD to post the UK 850 charts from the ECM run this morning!
  22. mulzy
    Medium range EPS (days 8-12) colder than this morning. We may get a west based negative NAO in the outer reaches but the medium term has certainly improved.
  23. mulzy
    Way out in FI but east Med heights remain a *moderate* risk in the medium term. Just about got away with it in this morning’s ECM. Well signposted in the in the EPS for quite a while now. Needs watching.
  24. mulzy
    Yes, heights centred over the Greece locale spreading west into the Central Med is a fly in the ointment in the extended EPS If we can get rid of these nagging heights then it’s locked in cold.
  25. mulzy
    Western parts of London did ok yesterday. I topped at 3cm most of which had vanished by the end of the day due to melt. For a significant part of the population, this winter has been frustrating. Promised much but delivered little / nothing.
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