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mulzy

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Everything posted by mulzy

  1. EPS mean not as good as the the GEFS - seems more progressive with the the low heights over the Atlantic - that in turn raises heights over Iberia and we never quite recover from that. The low heights over Central Europe not really in play. Still a very good profile to the north.
  2. Poor return for south west London but expectations were low! Let’s see if we catch a shower overnight. It just hasn’t been cold enough with temps between 1 to 2 degrees all day.
  3. Moderate snizzle here. Icing sugar cover on some surfaces! 1.3C
  4. Configurationally the mean eps days 12 onward look great - high heights to the north, low heights to the south.
  5. That looks very disappointing for quite a lot of the region including the populated London area. Those in the amber warning zone will most likely do well.
  6. (Snow) for the many, not the few. I hope that’s the mantra for this thread.
  7. Slight shift northwestward on the ECM 6z too. The 0z run was very east-based.
  8. Atlantic making no progress at day 6 on the ECM - similar to the GEM though not quite as good in my opinion.
  9. Potentially and even if not any less cold period may not last long.
  10. Big shift in the medium and longer range EPS - significant northern heights back in the menu!
  11. Am I the only one who thinks that the UKMO day 6 chart is decent? Significant wedge over Scandinavia. Also, for fwiw the ICON is cold throughout. The models have a bias to be progressive when encountering a pool of cold air. Anything after day 5 should be treated with a truck load of salt!
  12. Could be a temporary swing with this eps suite but days 7-9 mean is quite a bit milder than this mornings suite. Iberian heights the issue. The op is probably middle of the pack with regards temps.
  13. Day 9-10 mean EPS trending colder. Less ridging to the south with the jet cutting through the UK.
  14. Heavy snow in the south on the disrupting trough 168 to 192 on the ECM. Uppers should be cold enough.
  15. Very similar to the 0z run - margins here and there but basically the same.
  16. The medium range EPS mean has shifted the core of the cold further north - looks good for the northern part of the UK. However still decent in the south (though not as cold as this morning) so keep the faith folks!
  17. Pretty similar to now - except colder in the south. These charts are just for fun anyway - great entertainment but they hardly come to fruition.
  18. In contrast to the GEFS, the EPS mean rock solid. Very cold days 5-8. 850 Means of -9/-10 widely by day 6/7.
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