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mulzy

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Everything posted by mulzy

  1. Like a lot of people, I do like it cold in Winter especially as this increases snow chances. But cool from May onwards is a no-no - most of us want a bit of warmth and the sun on our back - I think it's a natural human instinct and we all know the sun plays a huge role in our mood!
  2. Heavy / Moderate snow for the last one hour here in Raynes Park. Accumulating on all surfaces bar the roads and pavements. Probably heaviest snow of the "winter".
  3. Winter is over! A low expectation winter at the start but lots of promise through the winter but ultimately failed to deliver.
  4. Wow - third best - just goes to show even in our region, some folk (a small minority) did well. Here in SW London, it probably wont make the top 50! For a winter that had some fantastic meteorological phenomena (3 warmings in the Strat, a very negative AO etc.), the outcome on the ground for most of the south of the country was desperately disappointing. Feb 2021 - a month that promised so much but delivered so little!
  5. Yes ensemble suites can flip just like the det runs. They do tend to be a little more stable though!
  6. No real change - we just the whole pattern a thousand miles further north!
  7. The mean eps having none of the day 10 tease from the op and para. Strong Euro high well into the extended.
  8. The “breakdown” sums up this cold spell for many - very underwhelming. With the AO being so negative through most of the winter as well as a SSW, to max out at 1.5cm snow depth is disappointing. One year, it will happen for us.
  9. Yes, a significant backtrack - I wonder what the Met Office were seeing?
  10. Universally poor output including the extended eps. Exeter still going for a cool down from next weekend but this is not showing in the NWP. Time is running out for a flip but it is still just possible. To coin a phrase “more runs needed”.
  11. Probably a 5/10 here in South West London. It was cold (with a biting wind) including one ice day. Snow albeit mostly light fell on four days which was nice to see. The big disappointment was the snow depth which maxed out at 1.5cm. Not a classic and will be forgotten if /when it snows heavily for a couple of hours here. The chase was fun but the end result was underwhelming. Best snowy months remain Feb 91, Feb 09, Dec 10, Jan 13 here in SW London.
  12. Pretty ordinary output this morning. There are indications that we might finally get there on the ECM and ECM para but it’s messy, tortuous and slow with lots of hurdles to cross.
  13. Disappointingly, the extended mean EPS has not moved much (yet). Need to get lower heights into Europe and we’re in business. Let’s hope for better tomorrow.
  14. Yes they have - should be taken with a truck load of salt. I am sure there will be a cold cluster in the extended period. Even though the mean suggests mild and dry, move the whole pattern north west by a thousand miles (!!) then cold and snowy especially for the southern half of the country could be the outcome.
  15. Fwiw, the extended mean eps continues the rather mild high pressure dominated scene. Early spring rather than late winter!
  16. The lightest of light dusting here. Maxed at 2cm here over the spell. A decent cold spell if rather underwhelming on snow depth. One day, London will be in the sweet spot but alas not this time!
  17. I hope so but have seen these type of showers die out by the time they hit the M25 over the years...
  18. Unlikely. Cold nights to look forward to then warming up from late weekend onwards.
  19. Looks like a wrap for most of London for *this* snap. Think I have done well with 2cm on the ground. Snow fell consistently for 3 days though accumulations were limited due to high temps on Sunday and light precipitation over the last two days. Best winter for three years but not a classic.
  20. Mean ext EPS paints a benign and rather mild picture with high pressure dominant.
  21. Light to moderate snow here in Raynes Park - getting up to 1cm depth now!! Hopefully this steamer can keep giving! -0.2C
  22. Indeed, Heathrow raw maximums from the ECM run between -1.1C and 2.1C over the next ten days with a -10C minimum chucked in too. That’s exceptionally cold for London.
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