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Posts posted by Paul_1978
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WYorksWeather Now that's what you call a measured and informative post, versus the ones that seem to delight in telling us we're getting cold rain and adding laughing emojis. Top post WYW
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northwestsnow To be fair the pros have simply said there will be high pressure around, but could not say where. I don't think anything is "unravelling" as there was no firm situation to unravel. Personally looking forward to what next week brings and then take it form there
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Just now, Lukesluckybunch said:Ukmo awfu! again!
Why? And why not post a chart with a bit more narrative?
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1 hour ago, TURNED OUT NICE AGAIN said:
Where is Matt Wolves when you need him
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1 hour ago, That ECM said:
Oh jeez, I don’t think I’m over the last chase yet!
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On 12/01/2024 at 20:06, ANYWEATHER said:
Thank you for your response! Of course , I'm fimiliar with the Meteorological tools , but at the end of the day it's all guess work, but thanks again for your elaboration. ☺
It’s extremely disingenuous to meteorologists to state their profession is all “guesswork”. I’m sure you don’t mean it exactly like that, and there’s better turns of phrase you could use.
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10 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
To be fair though, these only go up to 20th. The “breakdown” on the models is after this so would not show on these graphs.
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Model fatigue is well and truly setting in if @bluearmyand @Met4Cast are on the wane.
For me it's this - do we all chase cold because we want calm, cold, benign weather? Perhaps so given all the rain and flooding recently. But I think for most of us it's because we want snow, and for many of us our greatest weather memories are 1979, 1982, 1987, 1991, 2013, 2018 to name but a few. Are we getting snow next week? The answer seems to be yes (although we don't know exactly where), so that's a big green tick
Therefore the models are giving us what many of us actually want. I for one am enjoying the ride, and we are only on 10th Jan!
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Surprisingly negative vibe from some in here. Models look great this morning if it’s snow you’re after, with the snow line obviously yet to be determined, but the broad theme is the same.
Perhaps a relaxation of cold the week after but even then we can’t be sure - the cold may even hang on - and there’s still February to look forward to yet.
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1 minute ago, Harveyslugger said:
It's Tuesday today?
1 minute ago, Nick2373 said:It is Tuesday
Ha ha, updated my original post - losing track of days!
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29 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
EXETER UPGRADE ALERT
Still showing last updated Tuesday wherever I look - website and app.
EDIT - scrap that, it IS Tuesday!!
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15 minutes ago, Martz86 said:
It would be nice to have a model group just for those that know what their talking about, reading through this one is very confusing, shame really as I quite like reading the knowledgeable posts but it's becoming tedious filtering through it all.
Not if you mute the right people, and it makes for much more pleasant viewing.
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1 hour ago, sheikhy said:
Gfs o6z terrible!!!!!
1 hour ago, feb1991blizzard said:Yes, its all going wrong now - very wrong.
Am I in some kind of parallel universe here? I think most of us want snow, not something cold and dry. Lots of runs are showing snow for next week (exact placement to be determined). We know that there is likely to be a relaxation of cold after this before the next cold chase into Feb. Am I missing something here? If you are wanting snow I don't see there is a lot to complain about - it's quite exciting in my view.
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18 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
Who does the updates?
https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/uk/long-range/monthly
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2 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
Cold air coming back - it would be a historic event
VERY interesting output - as the low approaches from the south-west by T+192, there is clearly a lot of precipitation which could get interesting for many as it bumps into the cold air. THEN as it passes through by T+222 the cold air appears to start to dig back south again. Could be a snow-rain-snow or even a continual snow event for 24/36 hours or more.
We often talk about showers not cutting the mustard but this could be the holy grail of a frontal snow event. The million dollar question will be where the snow/rain line is and of course there is a long way to go before that is anywhere near being nailed down.
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5 minutes ago, Snow tyre said:
Surely there will be more!
Love your back garden!
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4 minutes ago, Zero Visibility said:
Interesting, Exeter already updated the extended extended, go take a look.
Says updated at 15:00 today and yet it is only 13:30!?!?
Regardless, a good update if it is cold/snow you are after.
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2 minutes ago, That ECM said:
They look pretty much identical?
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21 minutes ago, John Cox said:
I too was surprised to see this narrative on their website today.
I have great respect for their accuracy but just wonder where they got this one today from:
"NEXT WEEKEND: Current indications suggest that next weekend, there may be a change with our weather becoming milder and with rain developing."
The low to the south west as it moves in - forecast probably correct for Ireland, whilst mainland UK remains colder.
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2 hours ago, prolongedSnowLover said:
The FAX charts look mainly dry unfortunately. Even the Met Office site only shows cloud cover but no precipitation!
Totally expected - there’s never much precipitation associated with high pressure. Interest comes as low pressures potentially starts to encroach into cold air the week after.
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May be of interest!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
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winterof79 At least that’s at T+192, not T+384 like most other strat charts that get posted!