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Paul_1978

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Everything posted by Paul_1978

  1. Paul_1978
    Good tip - just tried it though (iPhone IOS 14) and it doesn't work. Must be an IOS thing.
  2. Paul_1978
    All excellent points - however a poster's location does not show when browsing the forum on mobiles. Would be good if this could be added to the mobile view.
  3. Paul_1978
    That's the 04:00 update. The "16:00" update usually arrives at around 3pm
  4. Paul_1978
    Why don’t you all wait? The GFS is only out to T+60!!!
  5. Paul_1978
    Wait, what? They look almost identical to me.
  6. Paul_1978
    Quite how people can complain at charts like these I'll never know. Sure the ECM is a slight concern, but everything else is a variation on a theme and we have a very cold week ahead of us. Interesting model watching for sure!
  7. Paul_1978
    South east it goes!
  8. Paul_1978
    I don’t think I’ve ever seen such a turnaround as the update from 16:00 Monday to 16:00 Tuesday - a completely different forecast, and a massive upgrade. Never seen a shift like that in the space of 24 hours.
  9. Paul_1978
    Charts for comparison?
  10. Paul_1978
    Wow, that’s one of the most glass half empty posts I’ve ever seen! I have personally been enjoying model watching more this year than any winter for the last 5 years, and we’ve had some decent snow to boot. With a weaker than normal Polar vortex, ongoing SSW effects and a southerly tracking jet stream, there’s plenty to look forward to in my book. It might not give us countrywide white outs but if model watching is your hobby, there’s plenty to keep us all interested over the next 6-8 weeks.
  11. Paul_1978
    And it just goes to show that 300+ hours is still only 31st Jan. Lots of fun and games ahead yet, with Feb still to come.
  12. Paul_1978
    Just for some context, we’ve had 2-3 inches of snow here in low lying Wakefield today, and the scene is repeated across much of Scotland and the spine of England - and this is the chart. You wouldn’t have thought it would you? By which I mean, you don’t need pretty charts for a brilliant snowy outcome as we’ve had today.
  13. Paul_1978
    I don't think so. It's 14th Jan, we are only mereologically half way through winter with lots to play for next week, with short notice surprises to be expected.
  14. Paul_1978
    I must be looking at different charts as I think it’s a great run. We’re quickly back into keen northerlies next week. Surely there’s going to be snow around.
  15. Paul_1978
    Still showing as last updated at 04:00 for me. This afternoon's update not on yet.
  16. Paul_1978
    ? Can we have some supporting words around this to explain what you mean by the emoji? Many thanks!
  17. Paul_1978
    Just wondered if anyone remembered one of the 18z GFSv runs about 10 days ago. We had a great run showing long fetch north easterlies way out at T+300, and true to form they were gone in the morning. Fast forward a few days and these reappear at T+240, now they’re within 170. It’s almost been like a countdown with a few bumps along the way. Overall the pattern is very favourable. The best model watching for years.
  18. Paul_1978
    Feb 1991?
  19. Paul_1978
    As others have responded, we are not sure what you’re looking at. The trough appears to be moving through the UK if you follow T+144 to T+198. Viz a viz it is not “stuck over us”????
  20. Paul_1978
    The main period of interest is T+180 onwards and the 06zGFS isn’t even out that far yet?
  21. Paul_1978
    Respectfully disagree. I’ve looked at the runs from 7/8 Jan and nothing has ever been on the agenda for 14/15 Jan. it’s always been 20/21 Jan as the landing point.
  22. Paul_1978
    You are a worrier NWS - chill out, you’ll give yourself a breakdown!
  23. Paul_1978
    Why the sad face? That chart is indicating 2m temps of -4C to 0C at 12 noon?!
  24. Paul_1978
    Yes I agree with this! Someone else mentioned it too a few days ago.
  25. Paul_1978
    He’s referring to the fact that in 66.6% of cases SSWs lead to cold, but in 33.3% of cases they don’t. (They might not be the exact figures but that’s the gist of it).
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