NL

Those charts are for today and this potential is not from a 'Spanish plume affair but home-grown storms.

Flew directly over my house and luckily I'd just read where and when it would be approaching that morning. My daughter text me and asked what it was when I told her and why it was flying over she said how sad it would be to not have a Vulcan still flying. Hopefully of the 21 left worldwide it might fly again. There's a grounded Vulcan at Sunderlands small aircraft museum although it looks well looked after it probably has 0% chance of ever flying again.

I'm off into Northumberland tomorrow and instead of the usual route along the A1, we're going west to Hexham then up onto the A68 then over some of the hills on the B6341 as there's some great vantage points along that route. Hopefully will catch a storm on the way but more hopeful on the way back. will post photos if owt materialises.

The model thread in summer was such a peaceful place here on Net weather. Downgrades here upgrades there, its an evolving situation and one things for certain its going to get a lot warmer/hot. At least its not your normal scenario of 2-3 hot days then a thunderstorm or the relentless North westerlies. Some great weather to be had for us meteorological enthusiasts.

With CAPE values around 300 J/kg a small storm or two may rumble through parts of Norfolk into Kent this afternoon.

Nope, still nowhere near warm. Only reached 14.8℃ here on the coast today with a stronger 'breeze' than yesterday..!! The wind is now attempting to come from a southerly orientation as opposed to a straight easterly so maybe the temperature might pick up but now peak heating has come and gone its not looking likely.. I have enjoyed being out today gardening in wall to wall sunshine but i'm sure if the work was light I'd have felt that chilly breeze. http://www.southshields-weather.co.uk/Today%27s_weather.htm

http://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/

With quite a stiff easterly its not going to reach 20℃ here on the coast in fact 15℃ has just been out of reach with a staggering 14.8℃ recorded today. http://www.southshields-weather.co.uk/Today%27s_weather.htm

Wind direction at 500hpa, 700hpa and at the surface took at 1300hrs. 500hpa 700hpa surface. http://earth.nullschool.net/about.html

Away from immediate coastal areas. Temperatures here will struggle to reach 20℃ with the winds coming straight off a 'cool' north sea. http://www.seatemperature.org/europe/united-kingdom/south-shields.htm

Looking more widespread to me. My area was never in the firing line and still not, but a lot more areas look like sharing in this 'plume' event

A few years back there was a fantastic showing up here so I eagerly grabbed the camera/tripod and briskly walked to the coast to get some fine shots only to set everything up and find that I'd forgot to put the battery in the camera..!! If I'd not had a drink I'd have made sure I had everything before leaving.. The photos would have turned out blurred anyway..!! LOL

The UkMet O have 15 operational radars and all but one are doppler radar and have been since 2013. http://www.rmets.org/sites/default/files/abstracts/Mar/20032013-sugier.pdf

Looking highly probable of a MODERATE risk will be issued in the next SPC update for southern Oklahoma and Noth Texas and the enhanced area to be extended. https://www.facebook.com/NWSNorman?fref=nf

An upgrade of OpenSuse linux based operating system is causing an issue and preventing the site being available.

I see the team are close to the Oklahoma town Ryan... Thats where Chuck Norris was born..

Very cool indeed...

Bryan Valdez's view of the storm that the team are heading to. He is approaching from the NW and not to far away from the Texas/New Mexico border.

The 'tornado' in Wales today has not been confirmed, eyewitnesses have said that a fierce wind lasting over 5 minutes...seems like it may have been straight line winds along the squall line..

Tom has the US beer got to you or is it just the years catching up, you showed this on the morning of the 16th. https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/83139-chase-day-8-big-day-in-ok-ks-ne/?p=3202625

Serious lightning in the tornado warned storm. Kelley Williamsons stream is covering this very well.

Its up and running now..not really surprised considering the amount of chasers.. David Drummond has over 3000 watching his stream alone..!! lots going on with tornado watches popping up. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

MD issued from the SPC. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0657 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1055 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN/N-CNTRL OK...S-CNTRL KS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 161555Z - 161730Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OUT OF THE ERN TX PANHANDLE ARE MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS WRN/NRN OK. THE POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DMGG WIND GUSTS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT THE SHORT-TERM CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW. DISCUSSION...A PERSISTENT ELEVATED TSTM CLUSTER OVER THE ERN TX PANHANDLE IS MOVING NEWD AT AROUND 30 MPH....BUT IT IS STILL UNCERTAIN WHETHER THIS CLUSTER WILL BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS. HOWEVER...BREAKS IN CLOUDINESS ARE ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW 70S AMIDST A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL OK. THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT CONVECTION WILL BECOME SFC-BASED AND MOVE ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ORIGINATING FROM MORNING CONVECTION...IN WHICH CASE A THREAT FOR A TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL WILL INCREASE. VWP DATA FROM VNX APPEAR TO SAMPLE THE VERTICAL WIND PROFILE TO THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...AND SHOWS AMPLE LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR A SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT. OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. A MORE WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT IS STILL LIKELY TO MATERIALIZE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE SRN PLAINS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL WW/S IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. ..ROGERS/DIAL.. 05/16/2015

SPC still have uncertainties that the Mass Crud Scenario will clear but have gone with a MODERATE risk with a large area having a 15% chance of a tornado. Going to be a busy day.. Stay safe everybody, tornadoes could be spinning up in multiple areas today if the said cloud cover can break.. Tornado chance. ...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNDERWAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS STATES AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...AND EVOLUTION OF THIS CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE DAY MAY HAVE SUBSTANTIAL INFLUENCE OVER SUBSEQUENT AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION -- AND OVERALL DEGREE OF SEVERE RISK. WITH THAT SAID HOWEVER...THE SYNOPTIC/KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND SWD ACROSS OK INTO N TX APPEARS OTHERWISE HIGHLY SUGGESTIVE OF POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK. THEREFORE -- DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTIES...AN UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK APPEARS WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.

CG,s all over the place live on Leslie Spurlocks stream. https://tvnweather.com/live