NorthYorksWeather

I think with your elevation any precip that falls will likely to be snow, heard the BBC mention last night the snowline will be around 200m in the North of England, potentially higher to start with but slowly dropping as the night progresses, would of thought there will be some snowy pics in the morning, favoured spots... Northern Pennines, Yorkshire Dales and North York Moors.

Uppers are currently -5/6c hence why most showers are falling as snow, when the precip arrives later this aft uppers are forecast to be between -2 and -4c, which will make it much more marginal. I think to start with precip will struggle to fall as snow under 400m asl due to falling during the day and during the warmest uppers, but as the evening progresses the snowline will drop gradually as nightime arrives and slightly colder uppers are mixed back in from the west. I heard on the BBC forecast last night that snow could start falling down to 100-200m for a time, so Id say Cowdog you will be in for a decent snowfall aslong as you get the precip. Id be feeling quite confident if I was above 200m for some sort of covering, between 100-200m snow may fall but may well struggle to settle and below 100m like me load your car up and drive up a hill cos you aint getting sod all . Good luck to you all, I finish work at 10pm and will have the camera, snow tires, shovel ready, will be keeping an eye on road cameras and if anywhere looks snowy I'm heading there. Got tomorrow and Friday off aswell so heading to hills to get my snowfix, its been over a month!!

Looking to buy a house in around 2 years time, elevation really is up there when it comes to priority, especially as I could be potentially spending the next 30-50 years there. Its just hard to remain practical when the most remote snowiest villages are miles away from towns, schools, shops etc. I do like the area I live in currently, the highest villages in the Howardian Hills and Wolds are around 170m asl. A bit further away in the Moors your looking at getting above 200m but its very remote. West/South Yorkshire has some very high towns/villages but growing up in York I've always felt fondly about this side of the Pennines. Luckily the fiancee shares the same passion as me and she wants to live in Braemar but I try to remain realistic

Look how slack that low is! A recipe for evap cooling, I think for people with my elevation that's our only hope. I reckon 200m is a safe bet currently, could go up/down. North York Moors go up to 450m so aslong as its not higher than that .

That is definatley a possibility, especially if the precip arrives say 3-6am, this morning was a good example with light winds and -2c uppers. Downloaded this snow radar app this morning on my phone, no idea how reliable it is but here's what it suggests for tomorrow and also for Thursday morning, certainly looks good if you have decent elevation.

Not even sure Terrington Bank will see anything this week, although it seems like a mountain compared to Strensall its only 100m asl. Terrington usually does well from any cold flow East of North, so fingers crossed UKMO is onto something. If it's not gonna snow at least it can dry up as Strensall golf course has been shut for a number of weeks now.

Looking at Thursday uppers are around -4c which isn't great for low level snowfall, however snow fell down to 150m last night with uppers of -2c so anything is possible. Whatever happens I'm in the car thurs/fri and going snow hunting if anyone's up for it!

Back to the more reliable timeframe on the NMM for Europe we see the -6c line heading South over our region on Tuesday evening, it's from here on we should look for snow chances and cold night minimas I've decided I'm sticking with the NMM from here on in to save any more dramas

ECM remains cold from 96 to the end of the run but snowfall is limited, potential for that Azores low to give some frontal snow in places. Funny how we were chasing a easterly a few weeks a go then last few days we've been chasing a Northerly and now we are back at square one with tonights ECM Goes to show how snowfall isn't guaranteed until it gets within the 72 hour period, I don't usually get excited about snowfall until its within range of the NMM model after 10 years on her but myself and many fell trap to the fantasy charts at +120. With the cold hanging around nearby I'm hopeful of something cropping up snow-wise in the next few weeks.

Yes it seemed yesterday afternoon all models were pointing towards snow and cold with a solid set of ensembles, and my positivity must of jinxed it. Although we still have cold air approaching from the NW next week with temperature below average, now no models are pointing towards any significant snow IMBY, which at the end of the day is all I'm after. As Steve posts above we still have snow chances if any disturbances crop up in the cold flow next week, and it will be nice to see some winter sunshine have a week where the temps are below average.

The 18z GFS is the worst run of the day, we still see cold weather next week and a brief period of snow that turns to rain before the cold air floods back in from the NE, however GFS is prone to swings and the accuracy is usually poorer than the UKMO and ECM so nothing to get too worried about for now, however it cannot be completely discounted. Hopefully it will be a warm outlier and we will see some model agreement tomorrow.

Its likely he will be remaining professional as if he says snowmageddon is coming and nothing happens he would just get a load of grief. JMA and ECM complete the full house for cold and snow this evening, we really are spoilt for sypnotics, just gotta reel them into the present now.

Ensembles for North Yorkshire (similar for rest of region) on the 12z are pretty solid for cold bar the odd peturb, with the mean below -5c from the 13th until the 20th, thats 7 DAYS!!!!!!!

Bit mental in MOD thread with alot of doom and gloom posts especially those in Southern England. For our region what a fantastic set of 12zs so far, UKMO, GFS AND GEM have all giving quite different outputs but the end outcome on all 3 is cold and snow! First off we have the UKMO which brings the cold in much quicker and the flow turns NNE/NE by day 6 which would bring convective showers well inland and also the chance of embedded troughs. Then GFS is a bit messy as we head into next week but it develops a much stronger Greenland High which would increase the longevity of the cold and likely to give us further bites of the cherry. From next Wednesday it remains very cold throughout with snow risk coming from systems moving up from the SW. Last of all with have the GEM which like the GFS takes longer than the UKMO to drag the cold air South but by Thursday we see a bitter NE wind set up likely to have convection and troughs involved as the cold air sinks South. Bare in mind that all these charts are 6 or more days out so alot can upgrade/downgrade until then, but CURRENTLY all of the 12zs so far point towards cold and snow for much of our region by the end of next week, fingers and toes crossed.... all eyes on the ECM!

We missed out in March 2013 here, the front was agonisingly close. Managed 7cm last winter from showers off the North Sea but places such as York/Hull haven't seen any lying snow since Jan 2013, so children between the age of 3-5 May never have seen/remember snow :O

Just checked on latest forecast and they are just showing the blue colours feeding over the UK next week saying gradual change to cold by the middle part of next week but stressing the importance that its due to be much drier.

A lot of Yorkshire didn't see much falling snow after the beginning of December 2010, that was certainly the case in York but 30cm lay frozen in my back garden for the rest of the month, the most I ever saw there. Hoping to beat that here soon as since I've moved rurally there has been no severe cold spell. Onto the current models it looks like a cold spell will arrive next week, how cold?.... no idea and how much snow is not worth worrying about at the moment. Looking at the GFS for my location I'm looking at a frost every night for the next 16 days. Good luck all

Use to love flood chasing when i lived in York, seen pictures from there today and I have never seen the River Foss that high before, incredible scenes. Its likely that the River Ouse will peak on Monday so it will be interesting to see how high it reaches.

A lot of scatter after the new year, OP looks to be one of the warmer members, plenty taking a nosedive to cold so will be interesting to see what the 18z shows. Still all to play for snow-wise but certainly not as straightforward as we would like.

A nice ground frost this morning after a low of 1.7c but thats as close as we got, nice to see the Northern Pennines seeing a decent amount of white stuff!

Looking pretty good for the Highlands, especially with elevation above 200m, same would apply for the Ochills I guess maybe a tad more elevation need due to being slighter further South. Drove back from Braemar yesterday and the snow covered hills of Scotland (Ochills/Trossachs etc) really are stunning!

Well worth it, we did it last minute as we'd already been on holiday in Northumbria during the week and saw snow was forecast for up there.

Haha no need to feel sorry for me, although its nice to have snow at home I've spent the last few days in Braemar and the Cairngorms hiking in a thick blanket of snow!

Coldest night of the season with bone chilling low of -1.5c. Yesterday's system reminded me of last years boxing days event, last year I was too far North, this year I just missed out to the South. Drove back from Scotland yesterday and took 9 hours due to road closures, amazing to see some decent accumulations at near sea level, this was scotch corner last night, yet 40 miles south even with 1000ft + elevation... Zilch!

Was tempted to drive upto Moors today to get my snowfix but looking at Chopgate and Sutton Bank road cameras there is no lying snow! I'm guessing it must just be the most northern parts of moors that held the lying snow.