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NorthYorksWeather

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Everything posted by NorthYorksWeather

  1. NorthYorksWeather
    North York Moors looks a good bet, also Yorkshire Wolds and Howardian Hills best placed. Still unsure for low levels and further inland, weekend will be coming into NMM range tomorrow so will be attempting some snow forecasting like last year.
  2. NorthYorksWeather
    Looks good for coastal districts. Is there a chart for 850hpa temps for the same time, not expecting much here at lower levels but I can imagine somewhere like the North York Moors will see some decent snowfall.
  3. NorthYorksWeather
    Yes a much better 6z with a straighter northerly with kinks in the isobars suggesting a higher chance of the white stuff in places. I would of thought with those 850s combined with the overnight period would mean any precip would likely to fall as snow to all levels.
  4. NorthYorksWeather
    A much better 6z GFS this morning which has a disturbance running down the UK on Saturday evening and the colder uppers lasting longer into Monday. Will have to see how the OP falls within the ensembles but certainly an upgrade. All post 120 hrs tho.....
  5. NorthYorksWeather
    I think away from North/West/East coasts with elevation it will mainly be a anticyclonic weekend with bright sunshine and cold days/nights unless we can get some disturbances in the flow to enhance snowfall potential.
  6. NorthYorksWeather
    A quick look at the short ensembles for my neck of the woods from this mornings GEFS show that the 0Z was one of the coldest for upper 850s. The OP shows it possibly being cold enough for snow at lower levels (-7/-8C) whereas the mean is around -6c which would only support snow over the hills especially off the still warm North Sea. Still time for upgrades/downgrades and will be waiting for the weekend to be within the hi res NMM range to firm up on details.
  7. NorthYorksWeather
    UKMO still the worst outcome in terms of cold and snow for IMBY , after being on here for 9 years now I've learnt to contain my excitement well untill snow possibilities are in the NMM 72 hour range, even in that time it can go pear shaped.
  8. NorthYorksWeather
    6z GFS very smililar to 0z so far although slightly warmer uppers especially in the east next Saturday due to the low sinking south closer to the east coast. Still a long way to go with more changes likely but all in all pretty happy with this chart in late Autumn.
  9. NorthYorksWeather
    On a different note whilst out at work this evening I noticed how high the River Ouse in York is and also the Wharfe in Tadcaster and this is all before this forcasted monsoon over the next few days, I can imagine we will see some severe and disruptive flooding across the region.
  10. NorthYorksWeather
    Don't know about you lot but I'm well and truly ready for the winter rollercoaster ride. I've have cut the grass nice and short to encourage frost, winter tires go on tomorrow, dashcam is ready for the snowchases which im hoping to make an edit with at the end of season. Got next Saturday/Sunday afternoon and evenings off so a chance of seeing something next weekend if the models don't downgrade. Fingers crossed for some scenes like this in the next few months. Jan 2013
  11. NorthYorksWeather
    Certainly not a boring winter! Alot of snow falling in January however doesn't look like much accumulated, also notable how much came from the west!
  12. NorthYorksWeather
    Where are you? Location in your avatar would help. Thanks
  13. NorthYorksWeather
    It looks as though Yorkshire will see its first snowfall this season, above 500m in the west however. Deff worth a ramp tho
  14. NorthYorksWeather
    GFS NH profile at 234 hours, getting closer to the reliable timeframe. Still a long way to go, could do with losing that pesky euro high!!!
  15. NorthYorksWeather
    6z 850hpa upper air ensemble temps in fairly good agreement upto around the 15th November for a gradual cool down as we head deeper into the month. The mean line is in and around the 0c line meaning more average temps for the time of the year and shows a possibility for something a bit colder later in the month as shown by the op/control run and a few other ensembles.
  16. NorthYorksWeather
    From a coldies perspective I'm quite happy with the charts being shown for mid November onwards, although no charts show snow IMBY it looks as if uplands in the North will see some snow and also a chance to receive my first air frost this season. Don't want to put my snow tires on too early as it wasn't until early December I had my first snow chase last year.
  17. NorthYorksWeather
    If it's berry brow it's about 100m asl
  18. NorthYorksWeather
    This Autumn has been very average here so far. Yesterday was warm with a max of 16c, today was much cloudier and cooler at just 13c, looking at the next 5 days temps ranging between 9-12c with not much sunshine on offer so carrying on the average theme temp wise. Had 2 ground frosts so far but no air frost yet with no sign of any more to come in the model output. Fog has been seen on many days in October and looks like November will start the same way.
  19. NorthYorksWeather
    We missed out on the March 13 event being too far east, was hard to see just 10 miles west of York with huge drifts but cant complain, anything close that this winter and I'l be more than happy, last 2 winters I've had 0cm and 7cm
  20. NorthYorksWeather
    Il take winter 2012/13 again this year please, 49cm of accumulating snow in total all from frontal events and a northerly toppler
  21. NorthYorksWeather
    The upper air temperature does show a sign of dropping around the 11th of November, maybe this is what Ali is referring to. This is likely to be when the Atlantic could break through the Euro block bringing in cooler uppers from the North/West. The 2m temps for London does show a gradual drop over time however the drop looks more dramatic on this graph.
  22. NorthYorksWeather
    Merry Christmas!
  23. NorthYorksWeather
    Chance of a ground frost tonight temp already 4.9c, hopefully the cloud cover will stay away.
  24. NorthYorksWeather
    Usually when you have a polar maritime shot in winter uppers are modified so it's hard to get low level snowfall, with the Atlantic being cooler this could cause less modification and be the difference between snow above 200m and snow to all levels.
  25. NorthYorksWeather
    First slight ground frost visible this morning after a low of 1.9c
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