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mountain shadow

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Everything posted by mountain shadow

  1. The EC32 backs up my thoughts yesterday of no cold and snow until at least mid January. Thats half the Winter. Precious little in the output to offer encouragement. At least moderating will be easier as their will be no one posting.
  2. It is zonal, although of a colder variety. The weather will be Atlantic driven, that to me is zonal. Chiono mentioned a possible SSW in around ten days, it can then take a further 21 days to impact us, if at all. That takes us to mid January.
  3. Well the Met Office have written off cold and snow until the 8th of January. What a turn around. The models are wet and windy for the foreseeable with perhaps slight height rises towards Greenland although Not currently strong enough to bring Arctic air. The waiting continues and could well take us into mid January before our next shot.
  4. Well the cold spell has disappeared thus proving that model watching is pretty pointless.
  5. The Pro,s are speechless because they forecast the longwave pattern. They have no way of forecasting the shortwaves so have to sit dumbfounded like the rest of us. The Pro,s are speechless because they forecast the longwave pattern. They have no way of forecasting the shortwaves so have to sit dumbfounded like the rest of us.
  6. So we hope that the models are wrong tomorrow and the anomaly Charts are right. Will we learn our lessons this time that model watching is pointless past 72 hours/
  7. Kind of shows as well that despite there super computers and super boffins The Met Office have about as much a clue as the rest of us. They chop and change as much as the models.
  8. So in summary. Model watching is pointless. The anomaly forecasts are pointless. The strat forecasts are Pointless as none of them can pick up on small features which can scupper the whole pattern.?
  9. Great charts this morning. Cold and snow for more eastern areas initially followed by the potential for more widespread significant snow as the Atlantic tries to push in. Some areas will stay cold throughout.
  10. Yes your worrying about nothing. It is unstable air, there will be features that cannot be picked out at this range.
  11. Much improved heights into Greenland should bring colder upper air and improve the longevity of the cold. Eastern areas should start to prepare.
  12. Agreed , too early to say where the snow will be. All dependent on wind direction and strength. Best chance for widespread snow will be as the Atlantic pushes in against the block in around ten to fifteen days. Will make the Run up to Christmas interesting.
  13. IMBY. There will plenty of snow the further east. Drier in the West, particularly County Cork.
  14. A bit of sleet in the wind today. High wind chill. Maybe a bit of the white stuff in the wrap around tomorrow before the big freeze next week.
  15. No complaints with overnights. It will be cold and snowy throughout the whole of next week.
  16. I here you Steve but Computers have moved on and i cannot see a possible spoiler as PV heads west. The beginnings are into the reliable as well.
  17. I wonder if the Met will come off the fence this evening?
  18. If the ECM tonight is at leadt half way between the UKMET and the GFS then i think we will be able to say that the easterly is locked in and the ensembles will start to lose the milder options.
  19. Cold this morning, already back in the colder uppers. Still hoping for a little something tomorrow night with perhaps a second bite at the weekend. We could be in the freezer after next weekend.
  20. The ridge to Greenland would merge with the Scandi high giving an easterly. In time the PV is expected to shift over to Siberia away from Canada allowing the Scandi high to retrogress to Greenland for a northerly. Shades of 2010.
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