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Costa Del Fal

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Posts posted by Costa Del Fal

  1. 18z NAE is very good bringing the West Midlands into the heart of tomorrows ppn. Posted Image

     

    C'mon Conor you still get a decent shout on that run and it will shift a bit more. Given todays runs the best of it is going to be somewhere in the Midlands. No recent runs are giving SW England a chance so we can probably rule them out.

    • Like 1
  2. lol I think Gavin has some sort of fetish thing going on for charts showing high pressure.

     

    You know that huge area of squally rain we were posting about earlier? I think it's safe to say it has arrived in Solihull right now Posted Image

     

    Bish

    Im all for high pressure in Spring and Summer but we did a bit of excitement so now is good. Dont want damage etc though. Sadly Gavin is abusing the like system like no other and just liking posts only which conform to his agenda. Sadly it borders on trolling even if he doesnt mean too imo.

    • Like 2
  3. Yep the 06z Euro4 model and the NAE going for snow over the Central and Southern Midlands tomorrow. Probably will be very marginal. Black Country and Birmingham areas probably have a better chance due to some extra altitude.

     

    Settling minimal if any. Hope I see something Or I may never see any this Winter otherwise!

    • Like 1
  4. A poor lower resolution GFS with the PV reforming into one blob to the north. It's imperative with this set up that you get that lobe of higher pressure into the Arctic to stop that from happening like the ECM at T240hrs. If you don't have that lifting out of low heights into Greenland then you lose some of the forcing to edge the jet further south.

     

    In the higher resolution we see a deepening low running east/ne from the base of the trough, always a possibility with this set up, there could be some wet snow on the northern flank of that as it runs into the North Sea if it verifies.

    FI is seriously windy however. Very deep low after very deep low. Now I know the GFS likes to go a bit crazy but these are some of the most unsettled charts I have seen in a long time. Very unstable. Could be one of the wettest and windiest Christmas for some time.

    • Like 3
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