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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would say the reliable timeframe is not 8 days away thats in FI. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You could call it home grown surface cold.... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
850 temps have little bearing on surface temperatures under a strong high during Winter, especially during December ,January ,with little solar output. Clear skies at night will likely produce fog ,so the inversion will create temperatures colder at the surface then 5000 ft up..... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Borefest for you maybe, but for most a welcome change from rain. Cold nights with sharp frosts ,and the caveat of freezing fog for many, keeping daytime temperatures below freezing. Whilst it's not a snow maker ,which many would like ,it will produce some gentle Wintry weather and at least some time for the ground to dry out -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, just like ‘Umpteen other Winters did -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice to see a drying trend, and becoming more settled as we move towards Christmas. I'm not really bothered about supercold synoptics right now ,more importantly a settled more drier period would be welcome by all ,as otherwise if the rains keep continuing, we will be using boats as a mode of transport as we move into the festive period. ... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
John Holmes favourite term -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For me personally, it's good to see things drying out somewhat next week with high pressure building , at least it won't be raining what seems like forever. ,! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The way you are painting the synoptics is a bit ott . If you take the gfs 12z at face value even at T+240 ,that would be surface cold ,very cold in fact ,probably very foggy as well with ice days for many...... and at least it would allow the ground to dry out from the high rainfalls this Autumn and Winter, and releave people with the worry of flooding.... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes from a very Leaky and Arkaic Water Infrastructure -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's been raining more or less all the time since Saturday night here, it's Tuesday morning and it's still raining! Hopefully Ecm shows a drying out period ,at days 9 and ten! I'm not kidding if they made a reservoir the size of the Uk, this Autumn /Winter we would have filled it! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Too many people despondent about the current Synoptics. A lot of people have already seen snow , many weeks before we get to the real meaty part of winter! There is lots of potential in the weeks ahead, but for now our first cold snap has delivered for many , where as some years people never see a snowflake, but have to accept a brief milder period which even happened in all the iconic winters past! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Whatever way you look at it, the Atlantic is going to be in full control in a few days time. Question is for how long? -
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ANYWEATHER replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The depth of cold modelled is certainly jaw dropping to our east , something akin to later winter rather than this early on. The effects that will have on populations will have serious implications. .....