ANYWEATHER

Why have folks not learnt , don’t take every model run has gospel. 06z gfs always looks different from the 00z .

A bit early to say that given the synoptics and time of year

What do you mean by game over?

For those people who think that the current cold spell coming up ,is going to be straight forward from the the models ,with out shortwaves ,warm sectors ,marginal dewpoints , etc better look away in the next few days .

Actually it can snow at 5c/41f if dewpoints are low enough!

Just a quick reminder ,the cold on the charts is still there , let's talk Snnaaawww when the cold becomes established ,and looking at the gfs and ecm this morning ,it looks an upgrade for some, but caution still needed, but nontheless some very interesting winter charts as we leave Autumn and slip slide into Winter....☺

Waste of time doing that BBC ten day forecast, was very uncertain past Saturday

Regardless of all the scrutinising over the models , to my eyes ,gfs and ecm ,today ,have upgraded the cold in the days ahead ,on the other hand ,caution is still needed, but coldies should be happy today of the output....☺

Nice pictures, it's amazing how flat Coventry is, sat in the Warwickshire basin......

Uninspiring output for who?

Two things stand out this morning. 1/ A blocked pattern , so an end at least for a while of flooding issues... 2/ Potential , for outbreaks of notable cold as we move into early December. Of course ,it's a very complicated set up and models always struggle with this scenario,and details will change daily ,but that is the trend for now, but the main thing I'm glad about is the break in the relentless rains of recent months, that alone is worth a mention!☺

Nothing to do with the network provider ......

Just had the Invision community sign come up again!

Well , looks very seasonal from the gfs, by the weekend and into next week. Plenty of frosts to come ,but more importantly a drying trend ,from the endless weeks of rain, great synoptics for a gentle ride into winter......!

Well just typical for the Gfs 06z, it’s now undoing the buttons as regards the phantom cold spell in true Gfs Style.

Cloud has cleared and left us in beautiful blue skies

It's all very tentative at the moment, there is a strong signal for cold, but still could go horribly wrong as it's done over the years. If the gfs is correct any part of the country could see snow ,but for now it's a case of seeing how things unfold this week, impossible at this stage to put any finer details on it...

Well if it's cold you're after then the Gfs 12z is for you.....

Anyway, the old saying on here is Get the cold in first and then then we can squabble about who gets the Snnaaawww and Wintry goods

Another year and another tease from the best bull sitting gfs .

Yes ,the Gfs

Ecm is still not interested in the Gfs amazing Christmas Switch On Synoptics..! You cannot dismiss the Almighty Ecm, To be honest as much as I like the Gfs predictions, I'm expecting a big climbdown from gfs......

Without putting to finer point on it ,gfs 12z is a cold lovers early winters dream ! What possibly go wrong! Snaaaawww ,frost and everything else wintry thrown in ,even for the south.....Will be interesting what ecm has to say , but are we on a wild goose chase or being led up the garden path, we have been here many times before, but IF these charts came off ,it would be an early Christmas presant for many.....❄

Stepped outside earlier and it felt positively balmy outside, around 14/15c ,very mild for this time of year....!

Yes, that will mean only one thing. ......