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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As been posted on here milions of times....... computer models will flip and flop more times than a laughing Dolphin , the cold and snow is coming, we are this year on a cusp of something very special for you Winter lovers.... -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs will be back to normal tommorow -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
ANYWEATHER replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
If the high is minus 26c what is the low??. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why are folks getting hung up on every model run? The trend is there for cold ,as regards snowfall ,let's get the cold in and then let's talk about snow There's a fair chance some people will be the first to see a white Christmas day for many years ......let the weather unfold......☺☺ -
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Model output discussion - Christmas approaches
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very interesting battleground scenario shaping up for Christmas and beyond. With the PV in fragments it's ripe for severe wintry weather to develop in more southern latitudes such as ours. Ecm great this morning, gfs not so at the moment ,models will not model this correctly to much nearer next week but the trend from my point of view is clear..... -
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Now the models are showing some sort of battleground scenario between the Atlantic and the cold block to our East......who will win???
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The 12z gfs looks the best tonight for incoming cold for Christmas, the 06z gfs and ecm are still making there troubled minds up...! It really shows how hard models find it to model proper cold into the UK. ...
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It's not long now to the Big Day of the Year is upon us...Most on here want Snow, and as the run up to Crimbo is quiet and mostly dry with high pressure in control will Christmas Day deliver the goods...???
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Model output discussion 11/12/21
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like an increasingly settled and dry outlook to the run up to Chrimbo ,good news for travelling and getting about at least. The usual Caveats for fog and frost with high pressure over us, but I've got a feeling we will be chasing cloud as generally pressure building from the south retains a lot of moisture as it moves north....Anyway lots of time post Christmas for ice and snow ,when winter really begins....☺ -
Another Scaremongering terminology from the media. If you look back at history which I'm afraid A lot of times these "Mediatic Fish" don't bother looking at ,you will see there is nothing unusual in the weather we have had recently....☺
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Just a Normal Winters Low Pressure
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Post midweek seems something to watch ,after the deep low pressure system moves away ,how long will the block to our Northeast hold? Gfs keeps it there for much longer than the ecm..... -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
96hrs maximum of semi reliable. ....from all models....tbh does not get more volItile than that..... -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To be honest, it's not a mild outlook either, and given the disagreement from models at a rather short time span, it's far too early to call any reliable signal at the moment. Consensus ,from models now is the deep low to scuttle south east and fill midweek , that's all we know at the moment, but a High level of Shannon Entropy ,but interesting non the less -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Interesting model watching from the gfs so far, completely different from the last few days, the trend looks like low pressure going much further south ,the block holding place to our Northeast, certainly holds something interesting for coldies, it's amazing how many twists and turns there are at the moment......something is definitely brewing..... -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Ecm, is not perfect but it's moved it's way to the Gfs , it's much better this Evening than this morning, this morning where it showed no Scandinavian blocking, tonight it's back there -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Plenty of snow options available from late week onwards...the trend from the Gfs is still showing after several days now of blocking to our Northeast in about 5 to 6 days. Obviously it's a trend but for coldies it's a great trend to be looking at, details will change ,but the name of the game is on the cards....