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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why are you basing one model run on the eventual outcome ,when no one knows exactly what or where the boundary will be yet? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well what it's worth Matt Taylor BBC forecast said Christmas day will be milder in the south colder in the north, but he did say it's open to change and said other models show low pressure much more south so cold will come in quicker. Still got to go someway yet, before we know exactly probably Christmas eve -
And just as you don't think there is going to be more twists and turns and confusion thanks to the Ecm .....plenty more drama to come....
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As been posted on here milions of times....... computer models will flip and flop more times than a laughing Dolphin , the cold and snow is coming, we are this year on a cusp of something very special for you Winter lovers.... -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs will be back to normal tommorow -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
ANYWEATHER replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
If the high is minus 26c what is the low??. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why are folks getting hung up on every model run? The trend is there for cold ,as regards snowfall ,let's get the cold in and then let's talk about snow There's a fair chance some people will be the first to see a white Christmas day for many years ......let the weather unfold......☺☺ -
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Model output discussion - Christmas approaches
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very interesting battleground scenario shaping up for Christmas and beyond. With the PV in fragments it's ripe for severe wintry weather to develop in more southern latitudes such as ours. Ecm great this morning, gfs not so at the moment ,models will not model this correctly to much nearer next week but the trend from my point of view is clear..... -
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Now the models are showing some sort of battleground scenario between the Atlantic and the cold block to our East......who will win???
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The 12z gfs looks the best tonight for incoming cold for Christmas, the 06z gfs and ecm are still making there troubled minds up...! It really shows how hard models find it to model proper cold into the UK. ...
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It's not long now to the Big Day of the Year is upon us...Most on here want Snow, and as the run up to Crimbo is quiet and mostly dry with high pressure in control will Christmas Day deliver the goods...???
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Model output discussion 11/12/21
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like an increasingly settled and dry outlook to the run up to Chrimbo ,good news for travelling and getting about at least. The usual Caveats for fog and frost with high pressure over us, but I've got a feeling we will be chasing cloud as generally pressure building from the south retains a lot of moisture as it moves north....Anyway lots of time post Christmas for ice and snow ,when winter really begins....☺ -
Another Scaremongering terminology from the media. If you look back at history which I'm afraid A lot of times these "Mediatic Fish" don't bother looking at ,you will see there is nothing unusual in the weather we have had recently....☺
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Just a Normal Winters Low Pressure
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Post midweek seems something to watch ,after the deep low pressure system moves away ,how long will the block to our Northeast hold? Gfs keeps it there for much longer than the ecm..... -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
96hrs maximum of semi reliable. ....from all models....tbh does not get more volItile than that.....