damianslaw

Yes uncanny how the change to dry and sunny coincided exactly with the lockdown day of 23 March. I remember the 22nd Mothers Day I think it was being warm, dry and sunny, sitting outside. The slight lifting of restriction, meeting another person outside happened on 14 May and the weather held through to about mid June. However late June saw a change to very wet.

Low cloud to valley level 4 days on the trot, feel sorry for any tourists who are wanting to take pictures of the fells.. haven't seen ground above 250m. Feels akin to the dark gloomy depths of December.

This March is fast entering the bin titled 'forgettable', what a tedious uninteresting month its turning into.

Mmm jury out on whether we can tap into a lengthy dry spell courtesy of high pressure, as suggested by GFS. In the reliable, more of the same, after a cooler blip tomorrow, we continue to see a SW flow predominantly, frontal features bringing heaviest rain to the NW, the SE may see fairly dry but everywhere disappointingly dull.. and its the lack of sun forecast that makes the outlook very uninspiring. Longer term, some signs of a drying up, but also sign of heights either building out west heading north, or north, the eventual outcome could be a chilly showery or wet cyclonic spell in the run up to easter. March 2024 may end up notably wet, mild but also exceptionally dull, a poor combination.

A feature of the winter has been long drawn NE arctic winds into the north atlantic through Iceland, but they seem to only have generated low pressure to our west/sw held in situ by heights to our NE. Quite an unusual anomaly. how the cold was locked to our north but not over the arctic.

Dull, dull, dull..... uninspiring.

SqueakheartLW We experienced something similiar post Jan 97 until winter of 08-09, a long run of winters with episodic brief cold spells and the odd longer spell such as happened in 17-18 and 20-21, but the extent of warmth since winter 13-14 which seems a more obvious turning point than winter 15-16 has been more extreme. Conversely whilst we've had record breaking summer warmth and long dry hot spells in summer 18 and 22, our summers seem to be far more variable with as much in the way of very lengthy wet spells as well.

The PIT Becoming the norm? Question is when will our next below 61-90 month arrive? Sods law a summer month. We came very close last July.. this month will be the 15th above average month in a row, unprecedented I think? We had long runs in 2014-15 06-07 and 16-17.

The odd dandelion is out, by the end of the month they will be much more abundant, and I'm expecting an early season for tree leaf appearance.

Had enough now of nearly 4 and half months of little sun, lots of low cloud and rain. Sunshine and warmth can't come soon enough. This week is reaching a new low in this respect, but as the saying goes 'the darkest hour is just before dawn', 'dawn' being when the clocks go forward.

tricol The bbc forecasts and met office forecasts for here rest of the week show a few hours of sunny spells Saturday only, meaning we might only receive 3 hours or so total sun all week, abysmal and why I detest SW airstreams, even in summer here they just bring cloud or drizzle/rain.

Another drab day's weather, when will the next ray of sun burst through..

A significant rise in the days ahead, likely to be in the 7s going into the last third, but lots of uncertainty how the last third will pan out. Chances of a below average month looking very slim, but something closer to average still not out of the question.

Weather-history Complete reversal to what many long range forecasts suggested. A shocker of a month for cold.

After yesterday's non descriptness, today has produced persistant light drizzle, epitome of tedium. The week as a whole set poor for sunshine, no springlike feeling. Its all very uninspiring.

Frigid Still a long way to go, whilst may not bring notable cold, there are still signals for height rises to the NW and a colder end to the month, just in time for Easter!

Indeed it was a very topsy turvy season. March excellent. April abysmal..May abysmal until the last third which was excellent, bringing the best spell of weather for warmth, sun and dryness all year, June nosedived.. It was an odd year with quite a few marked switcharounds, first half of Feb and second half completely different, likewise December. Late October brought very cold conditions. Quite an interesting year.

In the winter months Nov - March SW airstreams always bring means easily a couple of degrees above norm, quite often 3-5 degrees thanks to very mild minima namely. What has been a theme of last 20 years has been less of the classic Ridge-trough, warm/cold sector with south westerlies then west/ nw airstreams, instead the azores high appears further north and the jet also locking SW flows in place for 1, 2 sometimes 3-4 weeks non stop hence all these super high CET values. Seems some truth in the azores high being displaced further north, can only think its due to warmer SSTs over tropics and warmer arctic ocean meaning less marked deep temp gradients which allows the polar air to kick the tropical air quickly aside. Polar maritime airstreams are much more fleeting features nowadays.

Very quiet in this thread generally recently, but not surprising I guess given how benign the synoptics have been and continue to be forecasted. This week sees heights to the south holding influence meaning very mild but also quite dull and wet for some. ECM keeps heights strong to the south into next week, preventing the trough cleanly moving east, GFS does move it east eventually but its all rather messy, with low pressure and fronts turning in on themselves as heights build strong to the NW a theme it has been playing with for some time now, possibly MJO and SSW induced. Its all just a bit uninteresting.

Derecho That would be a very high rise indeed if it verified, whilst a predominantly mild/ very mild week ahead looks on the cards, I'm not sure the extent of mild will prevail through the last 2 weeks, could be a big switcharound on the cards. Incidentally there has been a 1 degree rise in CET value 61-90 mean and 91-20 mean, depending on which value you measure against, a 8 finish would be 1.3 degrees above 91-20, appreciably above, but I wouldn't class it as exceptionally high, somewhere in the high 8s, yes agree. Long way to go still..

If ever a day be defined as non-descript weatherwise, today is that day. Nothing to comment on, bland and more so...

Metwatch Its a see saw period until the clocks go forward, on days like today, still a late winter feel, on clear days, no winter feel.

Last March was preety un springlike, wintry early on, and very wet. Spring tends to take until the end of the month to bed in, by then the sun has the same strength as it has in early-mid September. Easter and the clocks going forward will mark a significant change in feel..

Ah well my post from earlier in the day was a bust, expecting just dribs and drabs of rain, the afternoon deteriorated quick with a moderate spell of rain, and cold to boot, with temps down to 5-6 degrees and a quick descent into dusk, felt quite wintry and miserable.

In an average year, mid May cut off for frost, but some years May brings little, others early June.