damianslaw
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Posts posted by damianslaw
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Don Its the dank dampness of our climate in Nov- Mar that make it always feel cold. Not much difference in feel between a damp dank 5-6 degrees, and 9-10 degrees. Its the 'feel' of the weather that triggers a reaction to how we describe it. Many a dry day with no wind and sunshine in high single figures can 'feel' much warmer than a damp drab day in the low teens at this time of year.
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No posts in 7 hours, sense many are unenthused with what the models are currently showing, and feeling disappointed with easter now firmly coming into view ( if wanting predominantly dry conditions).
No sugar coating things, Easter 24 unlikely to go down as memorable from either a heat or cold perspective. Its all just a bit underwhelming.
Low pressure ruling the roost right through into April..Not a washout every day, some decent spells of dry weather possibly Sat and Sunday, but may be quite cloudy and breezy with it. Will firm up more tomorrow.
Into April, heights to the NW but also a signal for heights to our SE, with the trough squeezed through the UK again, back to square one more slow moving low pressure from the SW, need a shake up..
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Cold lovers would rank first half of 2013 highly, all 6 months below average, a rarity, then an abrupt change in July to hot and sunny and dry. August was ok. The autumn was wet though and Dec terrible, very mild and very wet and stormy.
July 13 marked a pivotal change from the colder more blocked southerly jet period that set in during May- June 07.. though the winter following was mild. We've been locked by and large into a mild period since.
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AWD I think it feels a very poor start namely because it has very much been more of the same mild gunk we've had since mid October with little variation. Lengthy dry periods have been by and large absent bar the spell in early-mid Jan which was relatively short but good for sunshine.
The dull dank skies have outstayed their welcome.
Spring growth is early this year, many trees don't look far off coming into leaf, probably 2-3 weeks ahead of average.
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Don Becoming the norm, months even just 1 degree above 61-90 are becoming rarer it seems.
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One of those days that on paper suggested a rather poor one, but, surprisingly its stayed dry all day, yes cloudy, but not of the dull overcast low sky nature, indeed tried to brighten for a time. Max 10.5 degrees.
Rain set to sweep through whole region in coming hours.
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Forgot to mention 2019. A late easter and it was glorious. Easter Monday especially warm.
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A very Monday morning weather wise, rain stopped by late morning, but its been a dull drab affair since, current temp 8.2 degrees. All in all a very Monday weather day.. and a big contrast to yesterday's feel good Sunday feel.
The easter 4 day period is looking more promising, may see a fairly decent dry and milder slot coinciding with Friday onwards, no heatwave or wall to wall sun, but if we can manage a couple of dry days and two showery/dank ones I'll take that, with Sat and Sun offering best chance of staying dry, my mood has been lifted with such prospects..
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Easter is looming on the horizon. Easter weather more so than christmas in many respects is a varied affair from one year to another, not least given the 5 week difference in timings it can occur.
Use this thread to share thoughts and memories of favourite Easter weather.
By Easter I mean the Good Friday to Easter Monday period.
My memories of Easter weather unlike christmas is far more patchy.
I do recall either 2011 or 2017 being very warm and very good easter periods.
Many have been either wet, cold, dull or just a bit average.
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Roger J Smith Interesting to see 1998 finished on 7.8 as well, the winter gone and March is following 97-98 to a tee... el nino years as well..
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Can't complain much about today, a much needed dry sunny one, chilly out of the sun and in the breeze, but pleasant in shelter and full sun. Lots of people out and about. Indeed first proper spring feeling day of the season, and good it has fallen on a Sunday.
Hope people have made the most of it, the week ahead looks thoroughly wet and dull sadly.
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dodge Whilst from a weather perspective my preference is for a late easter, more chance of warmer, settled and sunnier conditions, from a general state of mind preference, an early one, such as this year far more preferable, kick starts the year in earnest after a long winter hibernation, gives a early boost to how you feel, a late April easter is too long to wait in this respect..
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A sign the growing season in full swing, dandelion flowers popping out everywhere, taking advantage of the warming sun... is it worth 6 months doing battle with them?
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Quiet in here... sensing many are wanting something drier, warmer and sunnier than currently on offer, hence lack of posts.
From a weather enthusiast's perspective, the outlook is quite interesting, certainly not standard synoptic fayre, as offten the case hereon through to June, when cyclonic, northerly, easterly airstreams tend to show their hand more than any other part of the year.
In the short term, all models are aligning the deep trough just to our west, throwing in bouts of wind and rain, cool in the north, rather mild further south with more of a S/SW flow but won't feel pleasant in the wind, rain and cloud.
As we approach the 4 day easter period, more uncertainty finer details, but there continues to be a strong signal for heights to develop robustly to our north/north west, shunting the trough east after a slowly filling low, jet pulled south, chillier but drier air feeding in but perhaps too late to save most of the easter period. ECM showing a cold/snow lovers dream at least a month too late, long drawn easterlies from a cold source.. ah April and all its fickleness, the month that delivers perfect synoptics for winter cold fanatics, but all too late!
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As expected a day of dodging the showers, many of them, but thankfully not too long lasting or heavy. Most notable feature the cold wind, meaning winter woolies at the ready again.
Tomorrow promises to be a largely fine sunny day until later on, none too warm, but the wind will be lighter and it should feel quite pleasant in the sun.
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Lee Notts More April 1998, incidentally the winter of 97-98 was very similiar to 23-24, a strong el nino one. First half of April was cold cyclonic with northerly influence..
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ECM and UKMO show the trough inching further east in the days ahead, with strong heights to the NW.. GFS has shown this theme for quite a fun runs, all eyes on how far south it sinks, I expect it to be 'boxed' in so to speak thanks to stronger heights to our SE.. a slow sinking trough on a SE trajectory more likely direction of travel, possibly replaced with a drier feed sourced from a chilly source, but not in time to save Easter unfortunately. It is a very poor outlook.
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A day for wrapping up against the bitter wind and blustery showers.
Snow capping the tops.
Current temp 6.2 degrees.
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Don 2024-25 here we come then!
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2024 after 3 months probably already a non contender.
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Don Many a skier gets sunburnt for same reason, wind blowing on the skin makes you feel cool. Hill walkers know this, windburn effect, red face and sunburn despite cold wind on the skin. A windy sunny day is more dangerous than a still day in this respect, the wind fools you into thinking air temp is much colder than it is, and masks the sun affect. Even cloudy days can result in sun burn.
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The better summer of the 07-12 period, featured some warmth, more so than 2010 the other half decent summer of said period, but was wetter.
July brought alot of heavy thundery rain at times. June was pleasant. August very average.
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A few squally showers this eve, feeling very cold in a biting wind. Tomorrow a day for wrapping up and expecting fresh snow on the fell tops. Welcome to spring!
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This March likely to end up a milder slightly drier version of last March which was exceptionally wet. The mean pressure charts will paint a picture of a consistent low mb over the UK with barely any high pressure. Whilst March is not renowned for being prednominantly settled, on average its more settled than many other months including August (NW perspective)..believe me we don't ask for much here. April and May on average tend to be the driest and settled months in the NW, from a lakeland locale perspective unsettled weeks from here on in through to June eat into our 'dry window' and unnerve me somewhat in this regard.
Back to the outlook, a variation on something either mild and wet or average temp and wet, not inspiring me in the slightest.
Longer term, continued signal for strong heights to our NW with the low painfully slow in filling in situ.
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March 2024 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Up here in the Lake District a thick winter jacket is needed Dec to March not necessarily on account of temp but more the endless rain combined with wind at times, a light rain coat doesn't do the job of staying dry. Ive had my winter coat on most days, but should soon be exchanged for the lighter rain coat.. probably not until May fully..