Eugene

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3841.png - Incredible end too with no end in sight with a very cold mass of air building up north ready to move south http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3842.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3361.png. Fantastic run IMO, as long as the cold spell lasts all February or most of it i`ll be happy, cvouldn't give a damn what happens after March 1st to be honest

I`m really liking GFS 12Z, slower retrogression means longer cold spell, bring it on and the high is not slipping south at all.

Sorry but in the far SW temps were always going to be around 7C, for the bulk of the country temps are 4C/5C or below, i hardly would call where you live representative of the country as a whole and it wasn't supposed to be that cold today anyway as its a slow turnaround from milder to colder weather. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1217.png http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/cgiaktgraph?ART=kartealle&LANG=en&JJ=2010&MM=02&TT=07&TIME=1430&TYP=temperatur&KEY=UK&TIME=1265554916 Anyway not far from you is reporting 4C. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/detail?SID=u3010752a417615d540639f2e024fbbee98a7&PROVIDER=anwendung&ART=temperatur&CONT=ukuk&WMO=u3010&LANG=en

LOL, nice misrepresentation of the facts aspire, let me correct you, the temps are 4C widespread today as shown here exactly what was being shown since thursday, last sunday the models were going for temperatures of around 11C and one poster was predicting a possible 16C/17C http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/cgiaktgraph?ART=karte&LANG=en&JJ=2010&MM=02&TT=07&TIME=1400&TYP=temperatursyn&KEY=MID&TIME=1265553786

My mood tonight is one of absolute joy, fantastic runs across the board tonight, only nit pickers are moaning because there is a slight difference in HP orientation :lol:

lol same trend small differences that can change on every run no reason to panic at all, if you expect carbon copies on every run then you have the wrong hobby i`m sorry to say. Mouthwatering northern hemisphere pressure patterns here i mean look how far north that blocking high stretches just incredible chart, fallen off my chair looking at that http://www.meteociel...16&mode=1&map=1

Stunning ensembles and believe it or not the OP one of the milder solutions around the 15th Incredible turnaround since last sunday. http://www.wzkarten3..._London_ens.png

lol i just love how GFS 12Z FI loses the plot and hasn't a clue what to do with all that northerly blocking, hilarious

UKMO 12Z T+144 hrs doesn't look too shabby either. http://www.meteociel...44-21.GIF?06-17 GFS 12Z really is an excellent run for the week ahead, just remember what the runs on wednesday morning were showing for the week ahead and then i dare you to complain Could see snowfall into next weekend on GFS 12Z yeah i'm sure someone will mention oh the uppers are too mild but you don't rely on uppers for snowfall in an easterly flow after an intial cold blast

lol trust me if GFS 12Z was to verify it would produce persistent heavy snowfall for eastern areas into the midlands and south thursday night into friday, can't believe you are trusting snowfall charts that far out http://www.wetterzen...s/Rtavn1381.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1142.png - Fab blo*dy tastic

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn963.png - Nice pool of sub 510 dam air just to our east, this looks another good run

Will hand mentions that Dartmoor in Devon is at it's coldest part of the winter now and cold patterns can be very stubborn once these cold blocking patterns get established, could last all month with LP systems trying to move north later in February but getting pushed back south.

Not sure if anybody has mentioned GEM 00Z but what an incredible run, this last chart would cause lots of excitement thats for sure. http://www.wetterzen...cs/Rgem2401.gif Not sure i agree with those saying cold can't be as cold in early to mid February as early to mid January, some of our coldest cold spells have been early to mid February, if i recall correctly February 14 is on average the coldest day of the year in the UK or somewhere around that day, solar input isn't as great as say early to mid march, cold arctic airmasses are at their coldest and the seas surrounding us are approaching their coldest.

It seems some people moaning are making the same mistake i did just before the early to mid January cold spell and calling it cold and dry, well we know what happened then don't we, snow can pop up in short notice, anyway i'm not sure why some are banging heads agianst the wall for dry and cold weather, surely thats the next best thing to cold/snow and miles better than mild wet and windy rubbish. Fantastic output btw across the board, lots to keep people interested in the next 7 to 10 days.

Overcast and 4C, feeling chilly. Much colder than forecast today in the midlands, winter returns after just a few days respite http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/cgiaktgraph?ART=karte&LANG=en&JJ=2010&MM=02&TT=06&TIME=1330&TYP=temperatur&KEY=MID&TIME=1265463626

Light winds, crystal clear skies, temps plummeting, down to 2C already, feels quite cold

Not for me it wasnt, i was very bullish about the cold winning, maybe overconfident but correct nonetheless :lol: Fantastic runs tonight every single model is great can't see anything to moan about at all, and ensembles great indicating a possible two week cold spell, not bad for a puny weak HP cell huh Get the cold in place first then worry about snowfall, pointless overanalysing runs too much yet.

A very narrow minded way at looking at it john lots of people love cold and seasonal weather in february and i hardly have my heating on anyway even when cold so it doesnt affect me money wise, i just put more layers on. Very happy with current developments as i was going for colder and drier weather next week. Yes i would much rather have a prolonged cold spell than have the risk of the atlantic breaking through, i walk alot in the countryside so i need weather you can rely on, with HP around you can always get retrogression down the line anyway, so much better than endless atlantic systems that runs were showing earlier this week. I love slow burning cold spell as they just go on and on

I wonder if she's anyway related to our ian More accurate forecaster though

All i`m gonna say is we would of killed for this run on tuesday night, just shows you what just one days of excellent runs does to people, makes them super fussy overanalysing every single detail

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=168&mode=1&map=1

Even since the very cold spell ended nearly three weeks ago, every week somewhere in the UK has seen snowfall esp the north and i saw a dusting on sunday night, i see people keep mentionng the last cold was three weeks ago but thats not the case, we had an easterly attempt around Jan 20th that gave some snow, Northerly late last week into the weekend and a very brief northerly mid this week which gave some heavy snow in the north when that front moved northwards into the cold air yesterday so it's been far from a mildfest.

Depends where you are most likely 1C to 3C generally in any sunshine esp in the west, temps dropping to 0C and below in any snow showers during the day, temps around -3C at night if breezy dropping more if winds calm down. Wind chill factor will be the main factor in how cold it feels and very low dewpoints.