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picog

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Everything posted by picog

  1. That's some big warm up! And that chart is just 8 days away.Edit: Just read some other posts saying about the warmth not propagating to the trop. Oh well ...
  2. Similar here. About 5mm rain and just breezy, not especially windy. Was expecting a deluge today, so pleasantly surprised:-)
  3. Was hoping to reach 200mm, currently 195mm, but rain band has gone through. I see rain off western Ireland, so could still make the magic 200mm mark.
  4. Rain has just arrived here — about 2 hours earlier than expected. Yesterday was our only dry day throughout January. Rain total could top 200mm this month, only need about 8 mm to fall today.
  5. The day has been completely dry here. If it stays dry overnight, it will be over 24 hours without rain. Cold too, just 2.4C max today.
  6. Turned cold, grey and wet here. Most of day was OK, and DRY — I love that word!
  7. Typically, tomorrow is the coldest day, and not a single drip of precipitation is forecast to fall. Just noticed that we have a sleet icon for Saturday at 3am in the morning. I won't be getting up to see if it happens — if it was snow I would.
  8. CFSv2 has consistently indicated a very wet January and February, and it's still showing a wet Feb for the west of England, Wales and Ireland. It seems very good at picking up trends, despite the critics. Looks like March or April may be a chance to dry out. April in particular has been looking dry for sometime now. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/euPrece1Mon.html
  9. For the second time this winter, the temp at the 30HPa level managed to reach "average", but in the last few days has returned to the blistering cold of December. http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/html_e/pole30_n.html
  10. On the subject of rain, our running total for January is now just over 175mm — very wet for here. Dreadful. There will be people who are truly enjoying the wetness and rain this winter, I wonder who they are.
  11. So much for the cold week — it's 6.2C here this morning, and wet of course. I just hope that Tamara is right in the model thread. She is the only one helping me to keep the faith right now!
  12. No snow here either, not even on Clee Hill (1700 feet) which I can see from the garden. A pleasant dry afternoon, with some nice winter sunshine.
  13. Saw plenty of wet snow when I drove through the Forest of Dean and Monmouth earlier this evening, around 5pm
  14. If they are blue, sleet. If they are green, it might be hail?
  15. Sun out here now, and the wind has dropped back. Bit like March and April.
  16. Two flashes and a couple of claps of thunder here as squall line passed though. Very gusty.
  17. Amazingly in California, despite the severe drought situation, there are no restrictions on water use — everyone is carrying on as normal!
  18. Most of the west mids is snowless on that, but it's still a ton better than what we have been having.
  19. "Proper" rain started here in the last few minutes — wet, dull and miserable. Yuk.
  20. CFS v2 going for a warm Greenland in February — to me that signals cold for the UK http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/euT2me2Mon.html
  21. Yes, I was also surprised to see how far south the rain was. Just misty/mizzley here. Fingers crossed for the week ahead. Goodluck to all fellow Midlanders, especially in the west;-) Edit: In fact just comparing the 0700 radar with the 0745 indicates (to my eye) that the rain is moving SOUTH, away from us!
  22. I see sun activity is still low, and NOAA are forecasting it to remain low over the next few days. Maybe that will help our weather?
  23. Yes, it does look like we are about to arrive at some sort of crunch point in that if the proper cold doesn't turn up in the charts early next week, it's a done deal — we can all go home. How sad is that?
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