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stewfox

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Posts posted by stewfox

    Model Output Discussion - Into 2024

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:

    Some of you are looking for perfection on every run and perfection ain't possible..close to it yes. Even an Olympic pole volter wouldn't clear the bar some of you have raised.

    Check the mean out its a cracker.

    EDH1-240.gif

    We had a Sausage. 

    Is this a Matt Mushroom ?

    We don't need egg on faces. Supporting chart attached 

     

    Screenshot_20240104_204448_Google.jpg

    • Like 3

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by stewfox

    My 10 day forecast in my location has a best minimum of 1c as the and the best max 4c. However usually hovering around 6c or 7c.

    I just not seeing where the model hype is coming from.

    A cool down and dry is forecast next 10 days temps marginally below average. 

     

     

     

    • Like 4

    The changing daylight hours thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

    today is the day we finally turn the corner..sunrise starts getting earlier from now onwards ..catching up to the latest sunset which happened on Dec 13th..so now gaining light mornings and evenings :snowman-emoji:

    Evenings start to get noticeably lighter by the of January.  

    • Like 2

    Model Output Discussion - Into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, MAF said:

    A question... why oh why are there so many post concerning things past 3-5 days that there may be a colder period of weather ?? After so many years here now I still cannot understand how the slide rule of FI goes from 5 days to 10 and yet no one ever, ever really thinks that at day 8-10 the models will materialise into what they are forecasting. I would just like to see a post that says come Thursday the 4th the weather actually matches the models and be it snow/rain/mild/cold/windy/dry/foggy/ or whatever type of weather, the models actually forecasted it. It really is beyond me that people are pinning their hopes on a computer model to predict the weather. Mother nature will do what it does regardless of a computer telling it what it might want to do. My whole point is that lets not get too far ahead of ourselves. day by day trends in the right direction will be the way ahead 🙂 not week by week 🙂 

    It's a model output discussion thread?

    In 1990s had the country file weekly forecast.  

    I know what I prefer 

     

    • Like 6

    Memories of 1989

    in Historic Weather

    Posted

    45 minutes ago, SummerShower said:

    I remember snow falling here on Tuesday and Wednesday 4th and 5th April but not laying.

     

    I also remember 2 really good storms on the afternoon of July 6th (homegrown) and overnight into the 7th (think from a plume).  Maybe a forgotten event this one, might have just been a local occurrence.

    I lived in Woking.  I remember it as it was so odd for April

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