Still think things are looking good for coldies on the horizon into Jan. Plenty of charts showing retro to NW and cold pouring in down the NE side of the high into our shores.
Couple of old stalwarts, first Iceberg then Teits and even Mr Crewecold (coming on board tonight) are seeing the potential. I can smell it in the air.
When those deep low heights get dragged over towards Siberia and we see a split down the middle through the Pole. Game on.
72 to 96 on the ECM is interesting in that it's such a turnaround of weather type in a short space of time for certain regions:
ECM 72 hrs
ECM 96 hrs
The closure and filling of the Scandi high's influence might usher in more of a rainy windy Autumn pattern for a while. What would nearly be an exciting undercut for colder uppers if we were in those synoptics merges into mush and our excitement might fade ...for a while...
Let's hope for a return of the MOC
Hopes now turning to a bit of spring warmth, with BB off to Fuerteventura, CardiffJay to Dominican and I'm visiting Knocker's neck of the woods down in St. Ives, hoping that these kind of synoptics will make it to T24:
ECM
GFS
Pretty much sums up the Bristol winter. (actually it doesn't because that is the most snowy ppn radar I've seen for a couple of years).
Glad to see some others in the thread got luckier.
I think Bristol is gonna get hammered hard by a ton load of snow throughout the evening while that system pivots
A mini streamer will set up using the Severn as its energy source.
It's distance over time in a given vector (aka velocity). How else could you measure a warming of layers of air in any meaningful way?
You'll need to invoke the calculus if you want to take things further. Good luck simplifying that "when talking to people".
Wet Bulb Freeze Level down to 500/600m so not even much chance for Mendips at 325m (Black Down)
Edit: I'm not saying anything was expected recently. Just that it was back on Monday. So this is my own personal exercise in futility!