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kumquat

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Everything posted by kumquat

  1. Consistently seeing some West Country interest for Sunday night: tonight's GFS 18z:
  2. Alaskan ridge pushing through the pole. That's surely going to exert some forcing of cold into mid latitudes in our vicinity?
  3. Still think things are looking good for coldies on the horizon into Jan. Plenty of charts showing retro to NW and cold pouring in down the NE side of the high into our shores.
  4. Couple of old stalwarts, first Iceberg then Teits and even Mr Crewecold (coming on board tonight) are seeing the potential. I can smell it in the air. When those deep low heights get dragged over towards Siberia and we see a split down the middle through the Pole. Game on.
  5. Brilliant to see the snow today on Exmoor driving from Bristol down to Woolacombe.
  6. Yeah, it was just the one strike! Amazing how far the sound travels!
  7. Boom! Thunder, Lightning and Hail in Winterbourne!
  8. 72 to 96 on the ECM is interesting in that it's such a turnaround of weather type in a short space of time for certain regions: ECM 72 hrs ECM 96 hrs The closure and filling of the Scandi high's influence might usher in more of a rainy windy Autumn pattern for a while. What would nearly be an exciting undercut for colder uppers if we were in those synoptics merges into mush and our excitement might fade ...for a while... Let's hope for a return of the MOC
  9. Warm beach day down in St Ives. Nice cooling trough just passing through. More rain to come in a couple of hours looking at the radar.
  10. A perhaps somewhat rarer NE/SW divide at day 8 (according to GFS 18z) Hurricane Earl has blown up, who knows the consequences?
  11. Well I never! A touch of the white nectar dripping from the skies! It's the lightest snow you'll ever see - but it is SNOW!! Temp 2.0C D.P. -0.3C
  12. Hopes now turning to a bit of spring warmth, with BB off to Fuerteventura, CardiffJay to Dominican and I'm visiting Knocker's neck of the woods down in St. Ives, hoping that these kind of synoptics will make it to T24: ECM GFS
  13. Bristol Feb 2009 5th Feb 2009 January 6th 2010 A sad indictment when all I can do is hark back 6/7 years for any kind of snow at all.
  14. Pretty much sums up the Bristol winter. (actually it doesn't because that is the most snowy ppn radar I've seen for a couple of years). Glad to see some others in the thread got luckier.
  15. I think Bristol is gonna get hammered hard by a ton load of snow throughout the evening while that system pivots A mini streamer will set up using the Severn as its energy source.
  16. Has any of that ppn just North of Bristol been snow? Anyone? Cheers
  17. The Azores High really does have it in for us, doesn't it
  18. Wet snow / hail / sleet in Filton Gone pretty nuts here with all kinds of white and strong downdrafts
  19. Yeah - saw and heard that BB. Could be our winter happened right there, right then??
  20. It's distance over time in a given vector (aka velocity). How else could you measure a warming of layers of air in any meaningful way? You'll need to invoke the calculus if you want to take things further. Good luck simplifying that "when talking to people".
  21. Wet Bulb Freeze Level down to 500/600m so not even much chance for Mendips at 325m (Black Down) Edit: I'm not saying anything was expected recently. Just that it was back on Monday. So this is my own personal exercise in futility!
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