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NorthNorfolkWeather

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Everything posted by NorthNorfolkWeather

  1. I would think that the overall difference in pressure would be negligible compared to the pressure that's already there. I suppose it could be the "straw that breaks the camel's back" but I doubt it
  2. something on Camera 1 2 specks of light and both there a while Also something on 2
  3. Probably vain wishful thinking But Many of the quakes, although small, seem to have been at less than 5 km deep, that suggests that some magma is trying to feed to the surface. I think the biggest thing is how much gas is in the magma, if it's highly gassed then we'll have explosive decompression and that will rip the fissure. The other point that's been made is the strength of the quakes at the main Cauldera, if they have seriously weakened the surrounding geology, then either a flank collapse or a Caulera collapse coun't be ruled out There again, I could to completely wrong
  4. A master of understatement. I just think tonight could be the kickoff, how long to half time? I have no idea
  5. Definite uptick on the tremor graphs Can only just see it but it's there Sorry about the fuzziness, it's a screenshot of a youtube feed
  6. You'll be surprised how much stress these can take, there are so many factors that can affect the system, slip angles, ice cover, wedge shape. You could see as many as another 20 at M5, but remember that's only 8 at M5.3 or 2 at M6. The fact that earthquakes are measured on a log scale means that an M5 releases 1,000 times the energy of an M2
  7. I've noticed the cyclical cycle as well Tim, I was wondering about any Moon or Sun/Moon influence. As for the IMO website I agree -- but until 4-5 years ago the IMO and the Earthquake people were separate, brought together to save money, but they have done a fantastic job
  8. I think it's an amazing thing to even contemplate. The planning that went into this is phenomenal. To manage to get to, and match orbits with the comet in the first place is a stupendous achievement, to top it off with a landing will be even more so. As for the comet, ugly little beast isn't it?
  9. Nice here, sun now out -- wasn't earlier temp starting to come up a bit. Felt cool, but according to the weather station outside was almost 15C
  10. Saturday 30.08.2014 07:03:02 64.611 -17.457 2.9 km 5.4 99.0 4.7 km SE of Bárðarbunga The previous 4.2 was much deeper at 9.1 km.A quake over M5 at that depth (2.9km) will produce a lot of movement. JP was talking about a flank collapse yesterday, this would suggest the east side is vulnerable, but may be held together by ice -- until any mamga come through I see you beat me to it John (great minds -- I hope)
  11. Nothing exceptional overnight, a couple of quakes at M3 or larger but otherwise it's as you were I say that and another M4.2 pops up DOH!!
  12. Excuses excuses...... Thanks John for getting us ANY updates. There seem to be some strange things happening in Iceland at the moment, just goes to show that human recorded history is quite short, new situations happening all the time
  13. John, Which do you think is more likely, a Flank collapse or a Cauldera collapse as a lot of magma has flowed out to the North/North East? I think the latter (Cauldera Collapse is rather more likely if it's the ring faults cracking under the strain -- less pressure holding them up and a huge weight from the glacier pushing down. I almost prefer the idea of a flank collapse rather than the other
  14. Just seen that via my twitter account stunning picture, here's another also via Twitter
  15. From that report "The eruption fissure is about 5 kilometers from the Vatnajökull glacier. The fissure appears to be about 1 kilometer long. The lava is thin and flowing quickly southeast towards the glacier." I assume that means the lava on the surface is flowing southeast? Everything we've seen to date suggests it's moving north to North east towards Askja
  16. I agree about the ash updates. But they are right not to issue them if there isn't any :-) ANYTHING is better than TV..... But there again I'm working (from home thankfully) so TV is off the menu
  17. Volcanic ash advisory from teh UKMO not expecting anything for a while via twitter http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/aviation/vaac/vaacuk.html 536 FVXX01 EGRR 291100 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20140829/1200Z VAAC: LONDON VOLCANO: BARDARBUNGA 373030 PSN: N6453 W01650 AREA: ICELAND SUMMIT ELEV: 2009M ADVISORY NR: 2014/003 INFO SOURCE: ICELAND MET OFFICE AVIATION COLOUR CODE: ORANGE ERUPTION DETAILS: NO OBSERVATION OF VA IN THE ATMOSPHERE. OBS VA DTG: 29/1200Z OBS VA CLD: NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +6HR: 29/1800Z NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +12HR: 30/0000Z NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 30/0600Z NO VA EXP RMK: NO VA OBSERVED. OVERFLIGHT CONDUCTED AND NO LAVA WAS OBSERVED FLOWING FROM FISSURE N OF DYNGJUJOKULL. REPEAT NO VA OBSERVED. NO FURTHER ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED UNLESS CONDITIONS CHANGE. NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES
  18. Could be either, or it could just go back to sleep. Time will tell Have the cameras gone offline? I'm getting a "Server not found" on all the Mila cameras. Probably crashed due to people like me wanting to look.....
  19. Yes, I agree, I suppose it's also important to see how deep they go In the meantime the water is going somewhere and we wait.....
  20. Shame there's no idea of scale. They aren't small as they are taken from a plane. The suns shadow on the slip looks impressive at about 1:18 into the video
  21. So we have a few more M4+ quakes, then it all seems to settle for a while. After that 'Rinse and Repeat' But all the time the fissures are moving apart. I wonder whether we will have weeks of this before the final outcome. At least the jet stream isn't coming straight at the UK
  22. My thoughts exactly Things seem to be starting to move now, if much meltwater gets down into the magma there will be real fireworks. Can only watch and wait
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