May 2024 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[Summer8906]

Difficult to call right now with the way the models are, will probably add mine at the last minute.

[sunny_vale]

13C and 75mm please. Mild wet start, cooler drier middle, hot thundery finish. 

[stewfox]

12.1c 85mm

[rwtwm]

12.8c and 51mm please

[NeilN]

11.5c and 44mm

[syed2878]

11.9C and rain 85MM. Thank You.

[The PIT]

Going for 12.5C and 75mm of rain

[Derecho]

Another new month and it looks like the first week will be warm with the CET at an impressive 14.3C if the EC 00z Control is anything to go by. More typical temperatures for the time of year from the 9th though the control is on the cooler side of the mean here.

I think another above average month of temperatures is looking like a good bet.

[Summer8906]

OK, will go with 12.5 and 60.

Still can't call it but I guess it's typical for a month to be above average nowadays, so going with +0.8 above the 1981-2010 mean.

Perhaps I'm being optimistic but I'll go with the month being marginally drier than the 1981-2010 mean. An 11th consecutive wet month would be remarkable.

Edited April 28 by Summer8906

[Summer Sun]

11.9c for me please.

[Topclassweatherforecaster]

Will be a warm May for sure, just how warm, I don’t know. Precipitation will probably be around normal or maybe slightly wetter than normal.

Cet: 13.0

Precipitation: 53mm

[weatherforducks]

13.0c and 50mm please 

[BlueSkies_do_I_see]

14.0C please.   A CET temperature for May never recorded before.

Edited April 29 by BlueSkies_do_I_see

[reef]

13.2C and 72mm

Warm and slightly wetter than average.

[LetItSnow!]

13.7 and 66mm.

I think the month will be drier than we’ve known for a while but unsettled spells will mean it still comes out rather wet. I think it’ll be very warm with at least one spell of quite hot weather and that some of the rain will fall as severe thunderstorms at times. 

Edited April 29 by LetItSnow!

[Roger J Smith]

I foresee another run at records, hoping this one sustains into second half ... 14.2 C and 93.5 mm be my call.

[emmett garland]

13.2 and 64mm please Roger 

[Stationary Front]

13.1 please with 72mm

[Wade]

13.3 and 21mm, perhaps me being a bit too over the top in terms of dryness but it has to flip some time and when it does it is usually instant for example the record wet February 2020 and the very dry, sunny spring that followed it.

[Roger J Smith]

Please note, I am on a road trip (in Utah and Nevada) and will not likely be able to produce a table of forecasts until around 0600h Wed 1st or possibly later. Data collected below will be edited out of post. 

Forecasts for May 2024

15.2 _ 48.0 __ shillitocettwo (7)

14.3 _ 40.0 __ WYorksWeather (21)

14.2 _ 93.5 __ Roger J Smith (35)

14.0 _ -- -- ___ Blue_Skies_do_I_see (32)

13.7 _ 66.0 __ Let It Snow! (34) 

13.5 _ 32.1 __ Polar Gael (4)

13.3 _ 21.0 __ Wade (38)

13.2 _ 72.0 __ Reef (32)

13.2 _ 64.0 __ Emmett Garland (36)

13.1 _ 72.0 __ Stationary Front (37)

13.0 _ 75.0 __ sunny_vale (22)

13.0 _ 53.0 __ topclass weather forecaster (30)

13.0 _ 50.0 __ weatherforducks (31)

12.9 _ 76.0 __ dancerwithwings (12)

12.8 _ 56.0 __ SteveB (1)

12.8 _ 51.0 __ rwtwm (24)

12.7 _100.0__ Methuselah (5)

12.5 _ 57.0 __ snowray (11)

12.5 _ 70.0 __ Jeff C (17)

12.5 _ 75.0 __ The PIT (27)

12.5 _ 60.0 __ summer8906 (28)

12.4 _ 54.0 __ summer blizzard (10)

12.4 _ -- -- ___ Typhoon John (15)

12.2 _ 73.0 __ virtualsphere (19)

12.1 _ 85.0 __ stewfox (23) 

12.0 _ 50.0 __ Leo97t (13)

11.9 _ 62.7 __ 1991-2020 average

11.9 _ 65.1 __ 1994-2023 average

11.9 _ 85.0 __ syed2878 (26)

11.9 _ -- -- ___ Summer Sun (29)

11.8 _ 70.0 __ catbrainz (3)

11.8 _ 79.8 __ Kirkcaldy Weather (9)

11.7 _ 63.6 __ 1981-2010 average

11.7 _ 89.0 __ summer 18 (14)

11.6 _ 52.8 __ bobd29 (8)

11.6 _ 65.0 __ Addicks Fan 1981 (18, 5.5)

11.5 _ 44.0 __ Neil N (25)

11.2 _ 64.1 __ average of all data

11.0 _ 69.0 __ chilly milly (6)

10.9 _ 59.0 __ summer shower (20)

10.8 _ 45.0 __ Frigid (16)

10.5 _100.0__ B87 (2)

[Midlands Ice Age]

12.9c and 73mms please

 

MIA

[davehsug]

13.6c and 78 mm please.

[Metwatch]

13.4C and 53.5mm

The month that 'may' break records this year has finally arrived. Have had it in my mind for a while that this May could be a notably warm one, however at the same time don't want to overdo it so I have gone for something fairly sensible but still quite warm, similar to the warmest Mays in recent decades; 1992, 2008, 2017, '18 etc.

Majority of rain expecting to fall in the first week before entering a quite a long settled spell with the occasional brief thundery interlude.

Edited April 30 by Metwatch

[Frigid]

On 25/04/2024 at 15:05, Frigid said:

Quite a chilly month with a lot of blocking, potentially our first below average CET month. 

10.8C and 45mm. 

Lol what was I thinking... anyways let's push it up 2.5C.

13.3C. Rainfall unchanged 

[Don]

11 minutes ago, Frigid said:

Lol what was I thinking

Wishful?!