Cold spell - general discussion

[Guest Viking141]

Again, looking athe hourly eumetsat loop wouldn't be surprised to see the feature on your doorstep come midnight

Excellent, moving fairly quickly then. Think I might be staying up tonight!

[rc28]

Lol our irish met just had their daily long range f/cast on the radio and it was clear they didn't have a clue what was going to happen past tomorrow, in fact they cut short their f/cast and didn't mention anything further than tuesday at all!

[Wosser]

Hi just a quick question for you very knowledgeable weather folks, im driving up from south wales to central london on thursday evening for a funeral on friday morning what are the chances of of the weather affecting this

Thanks warwick

[Mondy]

V141, quickly drew this up using the satrep and eumetsat loop. It's something like this.

[Paul]

Just posted this over on the model thread, but will do so here as it's for a good cause!

Just a quick plug for nw extra folks.

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All you need to do is register as a user here:

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And then at the online payment page, just call the number on the screen and we'll have you up and running straight away

Plug over!!

[Damp and dreary]

Advice: Dont spend your life analysing weather charts, its a waaste of time. Whatever happens will happen whether you know or not, and chances are the charts are wrong and you get excited about nothing. And besides, snow is a lot better when it is a suprise, rather thn you thinking it is going to snow days before hand. Also it is a lot worse thinking something is going to happen, and looking forward to it, and it not happening.

IT AINT GONNA SNOW

Please stop with these silly comments. They come across as very childish. I dont mean to come across as a grumpy old sod but it is spoiling my reading of 'some' interesting comments'. Reading the charts has always been an 'up and down' experience and there is no point in complaining about a chart because you dislike it. The reason you are complaining yourself is because you've been following the charts and they currently are not showing what you or most of us actualy want. Damn i hate moaning so sorry about that.... carry on!

[Guest Viking141]

V141, quickly drew this up using the satrep and eumetsat loop. It's something like this.

Lovely jubly! As I said looks set to pass right over me so I'll keep you posted.

[kold weather]

Already some cold with quite a few places already close to our at below 0C. By far the coldest place right now is the Cairngorm Mtns which is already down to -7.3C, they are certainly looking at some very cold temps tonight, probably down to -12C i'd guess given the time we are at today,and possibly the coldest night of the winter so far though I dare say tommorow night will take that.

Tommorow night looks utterly bitter IMO given the set-up we have, its a classic set-up for cold mins, if there was also snow cover, we'd be looking at widespread below -10C, but as ther eisn;t snowcover probably widespread -6/8C inland, frost hollows may get lower.

Edited February 5, 2007 by kold weather

[devon lad]

The forecaster on Radio 4's PM just said that there was some 'uncertainty' in the models, but that he was giving a 'heads up' for a substantial threat of snow for Southern Britain. Wait for listen again to become available and fast-forward to the last 5 minutes to hear it.

Hi Goatherd

Some uncertainty is a gross understatement.

Let us be warned that there are any numbers of scenarios that could occur over the next week (or possibly 2 weeks). We are caught in a very unusual set up and I am not going to post GFS, MO or any other SL charts, ensembles, 850 hts, dew points, details of 128 dams or anything else to demonstrate that those who have studied such situations in the past have more than a gut feeling that almost anything can happen (except for a heat wave that is!). One factor is that although we have patterns/records etc that indicate what has happened in the past when we have been in a similar situation, global warming means they are not reliable in forecasting what is going to happen for these shores anymore. They are a clue ….. but as we have learnt these last few winters ….. they are very unreliable.

There could be great snow events, there could be almost nothing of the white stuff we all enjoy in winter. In a weeks time we could experience relatively mild SW to West winds, fairly cold Northerlies or bitter easterlies. The air could end up a tad too dry, despite the temperatures - or much too damp ..... depending on where it's coming from.

The charts are struggling, the weather forecasters are getting braver and as each GFS produces its pretty pictures we all go wow, or blast or say something similar!

Read the posts on here and enjoy (as I do) but all the top weather kiddies and kiddesses will, if they are honest, admit that the outlook for tomorrow evening, let alone a weeks time is a nightmare to forecast this time around.

Hope nobody says ‘is it going to snow in ?’ !

dl

[pottyprof]

Looks like a bit of snow for the East/North Yorkshire coasts at the moment according to the 5 minute radar..

[Yellowbelly]

I cannot find any Severe Weather Warnings, even advance, on the UKMO site. Anyone know different ?

[James M]

For snow they only put warnings out 48hrs prior dont they?

Already down below freezing here now, -0.6C atm

Edited February 5, 2007 by CatchMyDrift
It's "put" not "but" :lol:

[robert]

I am looking forward to the coming chart tonight

I think I made a good choice in having extra supplies of cookies and hot chocolate delivered last Friday ! :blink:

Fantastic times ahead

Robert

[Andy Bown]

So much focus seems to be on Thursday, let's not forget tomorrow eve/night for areas in the South. For me the M4 Southwards could see some snow.

Interestingly, the main BBC forecast gave a better chance for snow than the local BBC forecast. Richard Angwin, on Points West, has a history of being wrong when it comes to snow. For tomorrow night he thinks only West Somerset of our region will see any snow because the front will slip down into the English Channel.

We'll see, at last a snow chance!!

[kippure]

Lol our irish met just had their daily long range f/cast on the radio and it was clear they didn't have a clue what was going to happen past tomorrow, in fact they cut short their f/cast and didn't mention anything further than tuesday at all!

They have a habit of not saying a thing when it comes to sernarios like this, at least they could do, is let us in on the bigger picture of whats going on.

[The PIT]

Well another good sharp frost should help get those ground temps down. So if the Snow turns up it might have the rare privilege to be falling on frozen ground.

[kippure]

Well another good sharp frost should help get those ground temps down. So if the Snow turns up it might have the rare privilege to be falling on frozen ground.

Indeed. its freezing away here, just had a shower of light rain and it frozze solid. The roads around here are in a bad way. Its rare to have the frosty red carpet rolled out for our friend the snow flake...

[forestpagan]

the met have got our temps on the south coast during the day on friday at 10 degrees C!!!! Shurely shome mistake.....I know we probably won't get snow, but 10 degrees? thats mad.....

[kippure]

the met have got our temps on the south coast during the day on friday at 10 degrees C!!!! Shurely shome mistake.....I know we probably won't get snow, but 10 degrees? thats mad.....

Been trolling through a load of weather services and no one is coming out yet to say its on. Just if,s and potentials.

[stormchaser1]

Above are the 850 temps and the Max temps ,looks like the South coast could be in low double figures friday dinner time

nigel

[James M]

Well its dropping very fast here -2.1C at 8:05pm

[Mondy]

Still watching the feature north of Shetland. Couple of different sat shots with descriptions (?)

Eutmetsat Loop

satrep

Edited February 5, 2007 by Mondy

[stormchaser1]

Mondy

and another one

nigel

[Teesdale]

Well its dropping very fast here -2.1C at 8:05pm

-5.3C 2000z at Shap

Mark

Teesdale,Co Durham

Edited February 5, 2007 by Teesdale

[Mondy]

Cheers, Nigel - need one with a sat shot a little further north than that. This website covers the area in question: http://met.no/satellitt/noaa_rgb_1.html

Edited February 5, 2007 by Mondy