Winter Discussion Video - Episode 3 Now Online

[Paul]

The third and final episode it now available, conclusions are drawn....

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=...iscussion;sess=

[Cookie]

have just caught up with the last 2 and it was really good and informative and having the charts helped a lot as well

thanks guys for you're hard work

[andy_leics22]

Once again brilliant. Around an hours worth of in depth winter discussion for nothing.

You could have easily charged for that but you didn't (Hopes he hasn't put thoughts into Paul's head)

Edited November 28, 2008 by andy_leics22

[Cookie]

Andy

[cj114]

Very interesting indeed.

Joe B, over at accuweather also thinks that December is going to be a "fast start", then calming down later. Which seems to concur with your broadcast.

Bedsocks at the ready.

[chionomaniac]

While my wife watches Strictly Come Dancing and the X Factor, I watch the latest NW discussion video! Thanks once again guys and I have a question probably best aimed to GP.

On the video you showed analogues for previous westerly QBO years for zonal wind anomalies at the 30hPa level. I think you suggested that on average this would add on 6m/s for Dec and 8m/s for Jan. When I look at previous SSWs, I see that the zonal wind (not anomaly) at 30hPa level only just about reverses ( 0 to -10m/s), whereas at a 10hPa level the reversal of zonal winds is often greater (over -10m/s). So firstly, do analogues for the 10hPa level for previous westerly QBO years, have greater positive wind anomalies and should we think of ruling out a SSW for this winter?

Also, if the stratosphere continues to warm and stay above average for the next couple of weeks would you reconsider your late winter forecast from mid January, where to quote you worry that things may go 'pear shaped'.

Many Thanks (in anticipation).

c

[Cookie]

Are their plans for more of these?

would be great after the storm chasing in the US is finished next year if the guys could tell us about their experiences etc

[andy_leics22]

I'm sorry but this has got to be bumped back up!