Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

[J10]

Low ground not good, high ground maybe half a chance.

However this is dependent on the current track, this could completely change again, last weeks forecast was hardly spot on.

[Bethany C]

Hmmm I've just looked at the metoffice risk warnings and I am confused (not very hard). It says for tuesday we have the risk of both heavy rain and heavy snow. How can we have both at the same time. Or are they just covering their own backs?

No kidding

Apart from that I'm pretty intelligent. I have an IQ of 133.

Edited February 8, 2009 by sabrina2090

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Hmmm I've just looked at the metoffice risk warnings and I am confused (not very hard). It says for tuesday we have the risk of both heavy rain and heavy snow. How can we have both at the same time. Or are they just covering their own backs?

I noticed that to, and i'm going to go with a 'yes' - its the art of fence sitting again

[J10]

Just a quick note, the conditions for snow tomorrow night are better than they were for today's daytime event, and many parts of Wales has snow.

[jo200199]

I noticed that to, and i'm going to go with a 'yes' - its the art of fence sitting again

You are a total pro at that Just found this vid on another thread, not sure what it means in plain English, but it may be understandable to you weather wise guys

[Dartmoor_Matt]

You are a total pro at that Just found this vid on another thread, not sure what it means in plain English, but it may be understandable to you weather wise guys

Which might that be then?

[snowking]

I noticed that to, and i'm going to go with a 'yes' - its the art of fence sitting again

In fairness to the Met office though, would anybody on this forum at present like to come down either side of the fence at this stage

Now if we get to 30 mins before and they are still sitting on the fence i can understand criticism, however the situation is such that it may end up being down to PPN intensity to discover the snow areas. Ive maintained from the start of this event it will be M4 northwards, so for now im sticking with my guns on that, but that is based on nothing other than assumptions

I dont think it will be until tomorrows 12z that we really have a grasp of what will be coming up

SK

[jo200199]

You are a total pro at that Just found this vid on another thread, not sure what it means in plain English, but it may be understandable to you weather wise guys

P.S. if someone could translate, I'd be very greatful

[snowking]

Just a quick note, the conditions for snow tomorrow night are better than they were for today's daytime event, and many parts of Wales has snow.

An excellent point, the only advantage today had over tomorrow is the 850's....but with more of a continental feed i think we need to look more at thicknesses than 850's

SK

[dogs32]

Big time confusion now......

Jay Wynn was interviewed on BBC..........said lots of snow Basically as far as he is concerned nothing as changed.though this interview might of been earlier today

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Ir wasn't criticism persay, just commenting that its slightly incongruous, and impossible, to have a 60% risk of snow and a 60% risk of rain at the sametime.

Edited February 8, 2009 by Dartmoor_Matt

[jo200199]

P.S. if someone could translate, I'd be very greatful

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=beta1;sess= HAHAHAHA had a few to many already, forgot the add pmsl

[snowking]

Ir wasn't criticism persay, just commenting that its slightly incongruous, and impossible, to have a 60% risk of snow and a 60% risk of rain at the sametime.

I will admit the two percentages certainly don't add up in mathematical terms.....and they told me i needed A level maths

I think essentially what the SW could end up seeing is a mixture of the two, with snow for certain areas, and nothing but rain 5 miles down the road, given the mixture of air expected.......this could well be the Met Office reasoning

SK

[Dartmoor_Matt]

hehe, that makes alot of sense, and would certainly fit with the past week.

[dogs32]

new update....Jaay Wynn BBC.......

as follows

Monday there will be snow M4 NORTHWARDS,,,,,,,,,,BIG SNOW BRISTOL/WALES / CENTRAL.20-30 CM

blizzard conditions

HE WAS CORRECT LAST SUNDAY

edit and there was a few southern counties as well..Wiltshire ect.....

Edited February 8, 2009 by dogs32

[derby4life]

any idea's how far north ??

[Dartmoor_Matt]

jo: makes no sense to me other than no snow south of the middle somewhere

[smarty81]

new update....Jaay Wynn BBC.......

as follows

Monday there will be snow M4 NORTHWARDS,,,,,,,,,,BIG SNOW BRISTOL/WALES CENTRAL.20-30 CM

HE WAS CORRECT LAST SUNDAY

This has potential to be worse than thursday and friday SEVERE BLIZZARD WHITEOUT CONDITIONS could be on the menu tommorow.

[dogs32]

any idea's how far north ??

Derby /Shropshire was in there mate

Edited February 8, 2009 by dogs32

[jo200199]

jo: makes no sense to me other than no snow south of the middle somewhere

@ least you got that much lol

[Mattster1]

new update....Jaay Wynn BBC.......

as follows

Monday there will be snow M4 NORTHWARDS,,,,,,,,,,BIG SNOW BRISTOL/WALES / CENTRAL.20-30 CM

blizzard conditions

HE WAS CORRECT LAST SUNDAY

i am hoping that it will just be rain to be honest. i like snow as much as anyone but i need to get from bristol to swindon all week and lost two days last week. i might have to get some chains, has anyone tried snow chains and how effective are they?

roll on spring

Edited February 8, 2009 by Mattster1

[Jayfromcardiff]

Any snow for Cardiff?

[dogs32]

This has potential to be worse than thursday and friday SEVERE BLIZZARD WHITEOUT CONDITIONS could be on the menu tommorow.

he was good last Sunday.........seemed confident of widespread snow.Extremely heavy...quite wide spread

edit...you was in there JAY.........Also quite a few southern COUNTIES...a PART FROM cornWall/devon

Edited February 8, 2009 by dogs32

[Dartmoor_Matt]

@ least you got that much lol

and that was while watching top gear at the sametime...

On a totally side issue, anyone done, or doing a storm chase with NW? Im 'giving serious consideration to eating your wife'... no wait, I digress, going next year... looks like alot of fun!

[Marcus_surfer]

any idea's how far north ??

Id say this weather system will get as far north as south yorkshire