Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

[Dartmoor_Matt]

I like that warning from Nick F! another 25cm of snow would be ... interesting... South West UK's first Ski Resort shall be opening on Wednesday, all runs and lifts open with perfect powder conditions across the resort.

yeah dogs we had more snow today and i'm not far from you although I am on high ground. Got ambushed by the local kids tonight huge snowball in the road whcih i couldn't get past in the car stopped and then the snowballs came!! grrrrrr

Just run em over.

Edited February 8, 2009 by Dartmoor_Matt

[Barb]

The GFS 18z looks to have things a bit further south to me? Good news. Seems the ECM is further south too, and BBC sticking to their guns. Maybe will get it after all.

Edited February 8, 2009 by Barb

[jo200199]

yeah dogs we had more snow today and i'm not far from you although I am on high ground. Got ambushed by the local kids tonight huge snowball in the road whcih i couldn't get past in the car stopped and then the snowballs came!! grrrrrr

was loosing the will to live, but made me lol

[dogs32]

Dogs, have confidence..... I'm thinking positive thoughts here, and you're not helping LOL

i will try ...just a bit concerned about the temps..but i will try..llol

[J10]

GFS 18Hz out and virtually no difference in the event for tomorrow night, the track is very similar, and the temps are almost identical.

perhaps the precip is a little heavier across Wales.

The GFS 18z looks to have things a bit further south to me? Good news. Maybe will get it after all.

You are very much likely to get it tomorrow going by the UKMO anyway, right in the middle of the likely snow areas.

[dogs32]

if it does come off it will make the other events small compared to this....

could be the best snow storm weve ever seen

I reckon early evening when the rain turns to snow....or starts off as snow

Edited February 8, 2009 by dogs32

[smarty81]

I hope there are some surprises tomorrow...Like more snow in places that weren't forecast just like earlier in the week...It happened twice if I'm right so may be a third..who knows....

I know its looking more positive for t he M4 northwards,,,,

I personally think here it will be rain.For here!!!!

....Over the years Chelt hasn't done very well with temps around 5c

Even though there might be a cold East wind...just remembering past events and a gut feeling..

But its nice to wait and see who gets the Blizzards

Dogs your up and down like a yo yo at the moment after seeing mr wyne's forecast earlier we look to be in the firing line tommorow for the heavier snow?

[Barb]

You are very much likely to get it tomorrow going by the UKMO anyway, right in the middle of the likely snow areas.

I'm reasonably hopeful, 30 miles inland, 250m ASL, still got snow cover, had snow all day today despite being forecast rain/sleet. I expect it'll come down to nowcasting though, it's rolling a dice at the moment.

[dogs32]

Hi Smarty,,,,,,,,,,,lol.........its just sounds to good to be true....ferocious blizzards..Though Jay and Nick have given me faith....so I am more hopeful than not....

[jo200199]

6ft snow here....3ft in last 30 mins

[smarty81]

Hi Smarty,,,,,,,,,,,lol.........its just sounds to good to be true....ferocious blizzards..Though Jay and Nick have given me faith....so I am more hopeful than not....

I know it does I can't believe it either, but it does look to be an extremely unstable storm tommorow night with evaporative cooling a real possibility, maybe some thundersnow thrown in for good measure too

[Rich_Clements]

All the slush freezing here now, it's going to be deadly first thing.

[dogs32]

i thought it was a bout time we had a RAMP

[Rich_Clements]

The southern edge of the snow is further south than the M4 on that map, looks more like Yeovil northwards

[dogs32]

The southern edge of the snow is further south than the M4 on that map, looks more like Yeovil northwards

looks to be going to plan.everything coming together for the SNOW STORM OF THE DECADE..hope

[Nights King]

looks to be going to plan.everything coming together for the SNOW STORM OF THE DECADE..hope

Damn i hope your right! i am gonna try not to look at charts tonight im just gonna wait til mid day tomoro and then start bouncing off the walls with excitement i hope anyway.

[kaz]

hope you all have fun with your storm

its on SNOW STORM 2009 OF THE DECADE (only for some) time to throw in the towel.

Edited February 8, 2009 by kaz

[dogs32]

new update...............oh my god..........................MASSIVE UPGRADE

bbc laura tobin....snow heavy..just like the above chart....3 inches of rain turning tto snow

extending just like chart to devon south and north..more white on map than before.

its on SNOW STORM 2009 OF THE DECAADE

did anyone just SEE THIS ON the BEEB

Edited February 8, 2009 by dogs32

[J10]

I'm reasonably hopeful, 30 miles inland, 250m ASL, still got snow cover, had snow all day today despite being forecast rain/sleet. I expect it'll come down to nowcasting though, it's rolling a dice at the moment.

Still snow here but more restricted now to grass between 1-3 inches depending on shade amount, had a lot of wet snow today which didn't stick and conditions were more marginal than today than forecat for tomorrow night, really could do with GFS/UKMO pushing low a bit further south, as if all of that falls as rain, all of the snow will quickly vanish.

http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/gfs/precipitations/3h.htm this is an upgrade from the 12Hz run, for Wales.

new update...............oh my god..........................MASSIVE UPGRADE

bbc laura tobin....snow heavy..just like the above chart....3 inches of rain turning tto snow

extending just like chart to devon south and north..more white on map than before.

its on SNOW STORM 2009 OF THE DECAADE

did anyone just SEE THIS ON the BEEB

Was this on News 24 and was it live.

[dogs32]

Still snow here but more restricted now to grass between 1-3 inches depending on shade amount, had a lot of wet snow today which didn't stick and conditions were more marginal than today than forecat for tomorrow night, really could do with GFS/UKMO pushing low a bit further south, as if all of that falls as rain, all of the snow will quickly vanish.

http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/gfs/precipitations/3h.htm this is an upgrade from the 12Hz run, for Wales.

Was this on News 24 and was it live.

YES ON 24..........Not jay.............SO ITS NEW....laura tobbin....massive upgrade to me.its not on multi yet..sometime it will be on multi

its starts as rain.then snow spreads quite widely...she said the system is carrying 3 inches of rain which some of it will turn to heavy snow......even Devon was in white

Edited February 8, 2009 by dogs32

[Wilxy]

Is bristol gunna get any decent snow by tuesday morning plz reply?

[dogs32]

Is bristol gunna get any decent snow by tuesday morning plz reply?

if you go by BBC 24 YES

[J10]

Latest 18Hz UKMO is slightly north of the 12Hz version.

[Jayfromcardiff]

YES ON 24..........Not jay.............SO ITS NEW....laura tobbin....massive upgrade to me.its not on multi yet..sometime it will be on multi

its starts as rain.then snow spreads quite widely...she said the system is carrying 3 inches of rain which some of it will turn to heavy snow......even Devon was in white

Lol, don't have ramp it up do you dogs. :lol:

[03jtrickey]

I am not feeling very hopeful for Cheltenham tomorrow! I am expecting steady rain and wind with perhaps some wet snow in heavier bursts, while the hills get another pasting. Anything more will be a bonus and I'm honestly not bothered too much after all the snow we've had so far this week.

Take a look at this picture I took from Cleeve Hill, for example:

http://www.flickr.com/photos/jtrickey/3263508864/

:-D