Convective Outlook & Discussion Mon 6th July 09

[Defector]

Heavy shower here no signs of thunder yet.

[Methuselah]

There are thunderclouds mushrooming all around. Unfortunately the NE wind is undercutting them all here!

I think I'll move to Wrexham?

[Coast]

Love the look of that - see stormnut, day hasn't even begun for the SE yet - as the earlier posts suggest the decent weather probably won't start for us until the mid to late afternoon!!

... Parts of United Kingdom ...

An upgrade was performed due to the risk of tornadoes over S-UK, as shear at low and mid-levels is on a slight increase. In addition, 00Z soundings of Ireland already revealed some LL CAPE release, which will be seen, too in 12Z sounding data over parts of UK. Another reason for the level-1 was the marginal hail risk and locally intense convective precipitation

Its starting to get windy in Sussex... No structural damage or injuries though please!

So will the possibilities continue through until darkness?

http://aviationweather.gov/data/iffdp/2104.pdf

[Kain]

Another dead day for misrable shropshire storm enthusiasts.

Plenty of rain here, but thats about it.

Sigh..

[Carl46Wrexham]

Heavy rain and thunder now

Well thats you out of the NSC then...my congrats and my envy!

[Harry]

What roughly are the hours of development? I know it's not always easy to tell, but I was wondering if this set-up was one which required heating to initiate storms, or due to the proximity of the low pressure, storms/showers could develop well into the evening and overnight.

[Methuselah]

Its starting to get windy in Sussex... No structural damage or injuries though please!

So will the possibilities continue through until darkness?

http://aviationweather.gov/data/iffdp/2104.pdf

Don't want to sound picky, but that looks like a cervical smear.

[Carl46Wrexham]

Another dead day for misrable shropshire storm enthusiasts.

Plenty of rain here, but thats about it.

Sigh..

I really am beginning to believe that this part of North East Wales along with Shropshire is completely jinxed when it comes to storms.

Just not happening (at all) this year.

It's becoming seriously annoying now.

[NorthantsSnow]

Brief shower now the sun is trying to poke its way through the cloud. Good stuff!

[Mesosphere]

just heard a distant rumble of thunder here , currently have light rain

Edited July 6, 2009 by Calum

[Ross B]

The showers just aren't moving here, there must be a bit of flooding in places (not here because it's barely rained)

[Geordiesnow]

Nice litttle storm here quite a few flashes of lightning with quite a few rumbles, rain only at heavy stage with those big rain drops and its struggling to head eastwards thanks to the easterly breeze.

Another loud rumble just now!

Edited July 6, 2009 by Geordiesnow

[THE MISSFITS]

The South Bucks storm shield must be fired up at full power atm - everything is disappearing as it gets close to us or is skirting round us. We had a couple of minutes of stair rods at about 11am, which was enough to leave big puddles everywhere. 10 minutes of that and you would know about it.

I predict that we get clobbered just as it's time to leave work - the thought of driving through a storm petrifies me!

Mrs Missfit

[TEITS]

Wow what a day so far.

No thunder but some incredible tropical downpours.

Excellent day to take some photos which I shall hopefully upload later.

[Mesosphere]

Nice litttle storm here quite a few flashes of lightning with quite a few rumbles, rain only at heavy stage with those big rain drops and its struggling to head eastwards thanks to the easterly breeze.

Another loud rumble just now!

cannot beleive what i am reading there paul , newcaslte is getting it's 3rd day of storms :lol:

Out in the north sea just east of st abbs , there seems to be something very active , inching it's way slowy eastwards. Couple of IC strikes are starting to appear over the forth now

EDIT 1412 : Red return coming in of the 1400 met office radar for the cell just south of me , maybe only 5-10 miles away

Edited July 6, 2009 by Calum

[Lynxus]

Almost clear sky here.

getting warmer, still very windy though.

Im no longer holding my breath.

[Mark Bayley]

Two showers so far, one heavy with thunder, the other just a light

[Andy Bown]

I thought this set up would provide a better chance for Wiltshire but so far most of the county has had a mostly dry day and here the ground hasn't even been wetted :lol: . In fact there's been more sunshine than on a few of the hot/humid days last week :lol: .

However, it is a stunning clean convective day with TCu, CBs & anvils visible in most directions and with plenty of energy through strong sun, LOW pressure & troughs then chances are there for activity to be more apparant later.

[peterf]

Nice litttle storm here quite a few flashes of lightning with quite a few rumbles, rain only at heavy stage with those big rain drops and its struggling to head eastwards thanks to the easterly breeze.

Another loud rumble just now!

some beasts building up hereGS.ALL HEADING YOUR WAY MATE :lol:

[Stuart]

I dont beleive this i am still missing out just been rain :lol:

[Ross B]

cannot beleive what i am reading there paul , newcaslte is getting it's 3rd day of storms :lol:

Out in the north sea just east of st abbs , there seems to be something very active , inching it's way slowy eastwards. Couple of IC strikes are starting to appear over the forth now

EDIT 1412 : Red return coming in of the 1400 met office radar for the cell just south of me , maybe only 5-10 miles away

Yeah, there is a long line of red's and whites just to your south( i presume) on the netweather radar.

[Rainy]

Working ouitside and watching a gross big beast coming up from N Wales, through Merseyside and heard distant thunder when it got to W.Lancs about Southport way. Now seems to be making for Blackpool and the Fylde. We seem to be on the fringe so far, even had some patches of blue sky overhead. Temp 20.2C now. Very sweaty, Only a few drops of rain so far. All looking dead black to W and S. Taken some pics. Will upload before long provided the electric doesn't cut off.

[Rollo]

I just returned from golf after 9 holes-much of the time watching the storms gathering with thunder both to my east and west-I finally persuaded my partners at about noon to walk in and about 20 minutes later the storm broke,first with heavy rain then both sheet and fork lightning-some of in very close by-it all ceased about 30 minutes ago but I reckon there is more to come today.

[Geordiesnow]

cannot beleive what i am reading there paul , newcaslte is getting it's 3rd day of storms :lol:

Out in the north sea just east of st abbs , there seems to be something very active , inching it's way slowy eastwards. Couple of IC strikes are starting to appear over the forth now

EDIT 1412 : Red return coming in of the 1400 met office radar for the cell just south of me , maybe only 5-10 miles away

Actually 4th day in less of a week!(Storms recorded on Wed, Fri, Sun and today), strange thing about this shower cell that its not heading in the circulation of the low, its actually heading from a WNW direction to a ESE direction which is strange(the radar will back that one up). Anyways since my last post 2 flashes were recorded and they appear to of died out now as i never heard/seen anything in a while now

Appears to be a cell around Teesside heading this way but with the easterly flow i suspect it will weaken or skirt around me, not that i will be all that dissapointed mind! :lol:

[dogs32]

shows the thunder heads nicely in infra red

http://www.sat24.com/Region.aspx?country=g...r&type=loop