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South West England Cold Spell Discussion

Methuselah

By Methuselah
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

GFS 12Z has reversed and has upped back again the precip in to Dorset, Wiltshire etc.

Very finely poised.

Looks like its gonna be a very much wait and see now.

Need to keep an eye on the low building and the ppn. I suppose it could kick off quickly and out of the blue. ( or not at all )

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Ian Fergusson Newbie

Ian Fergusson

Posted
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
Posted

Quick update from work - new NAE just arrived now wants to focus worst snowfall (20cm +) out of westcountry by around 50NM northeast, into Berks, Surrey and Bucks, including threatening Heathrow.

Some degree of wrap around back for parts of Wilts / Glos / Bristol / Bath areas around midnight onwards to 06Z in new run but I can't see the original totals being attained for our districts, frankly. I believe UKMO now considering amendments to the current flash warning to cater for new run.

About to hold conference call with UKMO so will hear the composite viewpoint soon.

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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted

Dogs, me and my step dad had a guess for a laugh on snow totals in Cardiff, he said 1 inch, i went for a laugh 1 foot lol.

lol....Ive been there mate many times....

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Iceberg Seasoned

Iceberg

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

I've tried to put on here whats likely to happen the big stream in the atlantic moves NE to N wards then circles around the LP that's formed (approx) over Dorset before falling south.

There is alot of precip out there it's just where it comes ashore, either over Weymouth to Bournmouth, or Ports/IOW region. The further west the better for me.

post-6326-12627069123752_thumb.png

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monkeyuk Newbie

monkeyuk

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham/Gloucester
  • Location: Cheltenham/Gloucester
Posted

Quick update from work - new NAE just arrived now wants to focus worst snowfall (20cm +) out of westcountry by around 50NM northeast, into Berks, Surrey and Bucks, including threatening Heathrow.

Some degree of wrap around back for parts of Wilts / Glos / Bristol / Bath areas around midnight onwards to 06Z in new run but I can't see the original totals being attained for our districts, frankly. I believe UKMO now considering amendments to the current flash warning to cater for new run.

About to hold conference call with UKMO so will hear the composite viewpoint soon.

Thanks for the update Ian, I guess you may share with us the outcome of the conference call? :good:

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Thanks Ian,

Shame for us.

Fingers crossed models change or something happens for us.

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Dartmoor_Matt Apprentice

Dartmoor_Matt

Posted
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold in winter, snow, frost but warm summers please
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon
Posted

Just checked the Spotlight forecast online and went for snow for this area pretty much all night after a Low forms over the channel islands.

Also -4c widely and perhaps an iceday for most tomorrow.

So perhaps all is not lost.

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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted (edited)

Lol, do you think i'll see anything?

Im sure you might get something later Jay,But Ian's more the expert than me mate.

hasnt stopped here since early dinner time

Edited by dogs32
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WESTERN SNOWS Newbie

WESTERN SNOWS

Posted
  • Location: bristol
  • Location: bristol
Posted

Lol, do you think i'll see anything?

the thing is this is what happens when you try to predict something that hasent developed yet i mean i just watched a weather update from the bbc online and they showed the us at 4pm with quite heavy snow lying across glous bristol somerset and devon now lookin at the radar theres nothing more than a few speckles across devon and alittle bit just north of glous nothing around the bristol somerset areas has usual anothe let down and it just goes to show even at this late stage ppl still get it wrong.

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Snowfan50 Newbie

Snowfan50

Posted
  • Location: North Devon, All of 6M ASL :/.
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate suits me very fine.
  • Location: North Devon, All of 6M ASL :/.
Posted

They is some pretty heavy snow coming from the north looking to hit Devon and cornwall id say in about 2 hours time.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

still looking good

Fingers crossed aye dogs.

Would certainly be nice for the weather to follow up on the predictions.

be interesting to see what the MEto and the BBC forecasters come up with.

still looking good

This would certainly be good.

10010606_0512.gif

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dogs32 Aficionado

dogs32

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Posted

Fingers crossed aye dogs.

Would certainly be nice for the weather to follow up on the predictions.

be interesting to see what the MEto and the BBC forecasters come up with.

I think its ok for us...with the wrap around...and some other places.

at present I cant see how the wrap around is going to miss..

Dont know what its like where you are but we ahve had Non stop snow here for hrs....a few times light.

but mainly heavy to moderate..

current temp 1.1...still falling

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Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

Fingers crossed aye dogs.

Would certainly be nice for the weather to follow up on the predictions.

be interesting to see what the MEto and the BBC forecasters come up with.

This would certainly be good.

10010606_0512.gif

Is the the latest run.

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Duane S. Veteran

Duane S.

Posted
  • Location: Weymouth, Dorset
  • Location: Weymouth, Dorset
Posted

I've tried to put on here whats likely to happen the big stream in the atlantic moves NE to N wards then circles around the LP that's formed (approx) over Dorset before falling south.

There is alot of precip out there it's just where it comes ashore, either over Weymouth to Bournmouth, or Ports/IOW region. The further west the better for me.

Following the track of the PPN out in the channel over the past few hours, I would say it will feed inland from around about the IOW area as opposed to Weymouth, I think the NAE and Ian has a fairly firm grip on where this is heading. I still anticipate a couple of cms but it looks like the bulk of the PPN will miss Dorset on this occasion. Shame.

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Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

Fingers crossed aye dogs.

Would certainly be nice for the weather to follow up on the predictions.

be interesting to see what the MEto and the BBC forecasters come up with.

This would certainly be good.

10010606_0512.gif

Is the the latest run.

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Dartmoor_Matt Apprentice

Dartmoor_Matt

Posted
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold in winter, snow, frost but warm summers please
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon
Posted

Looks good from the Met to be snow from 0300-0900 for here, we shall see!

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Is the the latest run.

yeah 12z I think is the latest.

10010603_0512.gif

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