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South West England Cold Spell Discussion


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Posted
  • Location: Frome
  • Location: Frome

It became every bit the nowcast issue we expected based on the 00z NAE we started the morning forecasts with and for the 0600z update, we were catering for the colder 'backwash' across much of Somerset and Wilts albeit not really relevant for our forecast purposes (not significant / disruptive snow - that was always signalled, correctly, for NE Glos and NE Wilts).

Tomorrow is effectively a wet one for most (WBFL's will be above 1000m by mid afternoon across much of our region.... phew, scorchio) BUT do note the geographic caveats outlined on my blog based on the very latest UKMO assessment. Still a snow chance for some of you, but it's not a widespread one at levels <100m AMSL.

PS pls note blog was updated a few mins ago

Cheers Ian,

Quick question if I may, but I'm sure I read somewhere on the forum that there's a possibility of the weather turning colder from Sunday onwards?? - I know in weather talk Sunday is a age away, but was wondering if you have any thoughts on this?

Thanks as always

Edited by theprophecyman
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Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003

ONLY if

That would be like 22cm! ( after the first melt )

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Edited by Lynxus
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Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003

Nice :cc_confused:

Check out Sat 6th March for your area as well !!

LOL 6th march is silly.

Just imagine 5cm + every hour for 6 hours!

Shame it will change so much by then.

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Posted
  • Location: kingswood Bristol
  • Location: kingswood Bristol

Evening all....some of you got snow then.....nothing here not even rain.unknw.gif

Met Office have issued alerts for heavy rainfall for us over the next couple of dayswallbash.gif

That should be an easy song for you DDgood.gif

Edited by Cashy Cornwall
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Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London

It's Yamkin here from the SE Thread. Here we go, the WMC 12Z and it is still going for colder uppers by the end of this week :rolleyes:

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Posted
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol

Evening all....some of you got snow then.....nothing here not even rain.unknw.gif

Met Office have issued alerts for heavy rainfall for us over the next couple of dayswallbash.gif

That should be an easy song for you DDgood.gif

Oh well, at least it was dry!!

I think I'd rather have that than bucket loads of rain!...

Bucklet loads of snow however is more than welcome! :rolleyes:

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Posted
  • Location: kingswood Bristol
  • Location: kingswood Bristol

Oh well, at least it was dry!!

I think I'd rather have that than bucket loads of rain!...

Bucklet loads of snow however is more than welcome! laugh.gif

Do you think you are going to get anymore snow over the next few dayscc_confused.gif

Hopefully it will stay dry for us but i think not !!mega_shok.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold in winter, snow, frost but warm summers please
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon

Friend just got back from Goa where it was a lovely 37C. Sucks eh.

0.1C/-0.9C here. What a difference a few thousand miles make.

Edited by Dartmoor_Matt
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Posted
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol

It's Yamkin here from the SE Thread. Here we go, the WMC 12Z and it is still going for colder uppers by the end of this week :cold:

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Hi Yamkin!

Hmmm, that would be good, but what are the chances?? :rolleyes:

Mind you, like I said earlier, the GFS has been playing with the idea (on and off!) of it getting colder again by the weekend...

Interesting Model watching for the past few days 'ey?!? :crazy:

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Posted
  • Location: kingswood Bristol
  • Location: kingswood Bristol

Friend just got back from Goa where it was a lovely 37C. Sucks eh.

Did you get any snow today Matt?

I read on Ian's blog tonight possible snow for Dartmoor and Exmoor tomorrow.blink.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol

Do you think you are going to get anymore snow over the next few dayscc_confused.gif

Hopefully it will stay dry for us but i think not !!mega_shok.gif

Dunno...

Wasn't expecting to see anything this morning, but did!...

We might see a little bit tomorrow morning, although Ian has said it's going to be places >150m ASL. I doubt there'll be any in Trowbridge, but might see some at work (about 210m ASL).

Then it looks like a nice load of rain for the rest of the week! :rolleyes: Luvley jubbly! (not)

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Posted
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold in winter, snow, frost but warm summers please
  • Location: Kingsteignton, Devon

Did you get any snow today Matt?

I read on Ian's blog tonight possible snow for Dartmoor and Exmoor tomorrow.blink.gif

Not that I saw, was pouring with rain late last night and was dry by the time I woke up this morning.

BBC forecast looked good for N Devon, but I guess it might clip Dartmoor to. Can't see it being much warmer up here than down there. All downhill from tomorrow afternoon, 9C on Wednesday in Plymouth.

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Posted
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol
  • Location: Emersons Green, Bristol

Friend just got back from Goa where it was a lovely 37C. Sucks eh.

0.1C/-0.9C here. What a difference a few thousand miles make.

I'll swap 37°c and sunshine for a snowy ski resort any day!!!

37°c??? That's insane!!! :rolleyes:

"Oh whats that I smell cooking?... Oh it's me!"

Well, it's past my bedtime!!!

Currently 1.0°c here with a DP of -1.4°c

Night all!

Edited by Schmac
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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

New Weather warnings out for heavy snow for just about all our region tomorrow, warnings were updated at 23.07.

Edited by Smartie
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Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London

New Weather warnings out for heavy snow for just about all our region tomorrow, warnings were updated at 23.07.

Map updated again Smartie 03.29++

South West England: Bath + NE Somerset

Bristol

Devon

Gloucestershire

N Somerset

S Gloucestershire

Somerset

Swindon

Wiltshire

Heavy Snow Tue 23 Feb

There is a moderate risk of severe weather affecting parts of England and Wales. Rain moving northwards will turn to snow giving falls of 2 to 5 cm in places, with perhaps as much as 10 cm over high ground of Wales and northern England.

Edited by dogs32
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Posted
  • Location: North Devon, All of 6M ASL :/.
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate suits me very fine.
  • Location: North Devon, All of 6M ASL :/.

Raintoday is showing some snow and sleet around devon and somerset. Shame this big band aint over us now, better chance of snow then.

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Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London

Raintoday is showing some snow and sleet around devon and somerset. Shame this big band aint over us now, better chance of snow then.

here is another update

South West England: Devon

Somerset

Heavy Snow 0730 Tue 23 1200 Tue 23

Outbreaks of sleet and snow will become heavier from the south for a time during the morning, before turning to rain. Temporary accumulations of 2 to 5 cm of snow are possible on ground above 150 metres.

The public are advised to take extra care and refer to the Highways Agency for further advice on traffic disruption on motorways and trunk roads.

Issued at: 0458 Tue 23 Feb

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Posted
  • Location: Somerset
  • Location: Somerset

Looking at MetO website it appears to be warming up by the weekend! I hope that trend continues.

The sky outside of my window does look very snowy. Rather that than rain though on my duty day.

Edited by dancing daisy
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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

Bit of a change that, looking at a bit of snow before turning to rain then?

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL

have just woken up to a dusting of snow out side! first time it has lay for a long time! drinks.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003

Well, Its INCOMING!

Anyone got reports from it yet?

Good sign that the net-weather radar is showing sleet and snow in it already..

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL

Well, Its INCOMING!

Anyone got reports from it yet?

Good sign that the net-weather radar is showing sleet and snow in it already..

I have a slight covering here from an early shower which i was asleep for lol but looks like its getting close!

Shall keep you posted

yahoo.gifyahoo.gif

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Looking at MetO website it appears to be warming up by the weekend! I hope that trend continues.

The sky outside of my window does look very snowy. Rather that than rain though on my duty day.

Models are suggesting it will turn colder again by the weekend with the prospect of some

disruptive snow for the West Country. No sign of any mild westher

:)

Edited by BristolBaggie
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