METO UK Further Outlook 16 Day To 30 Forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 22 Feb 2012 to Wednesday 7 Mar 2012:

This period looks to be dominated by changeable, often unsettled weather, primarily moving in from the west. This means a risk of heavy rain and strong winds at times, and by the end of the period, rainfall totals, especially across southern areas, could be above average. Temperatures look to achieve around average values, but being late February/early March, there is still a risk of overnight frost, especially through any quieter, drier or clearer interludes. Near normal sunshine amounts are expected.

Updated: 1211 on Tue 7 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 23 Feb 2012 to Thursday 8 Mar 2012:

This period looks to be dominated by changeable, often unsettled weather, primarily moving in from the west. This means a risk of heavy rain and strong winds at times, and by the end of the period, rainfall totals, especially across southern areas, could be above average. Temperatures look to achieve around average values, but being late February/early March, there is still a risk of overnight frost, especially through any quieter, drier or clearer interludes. Near normal sunshine amounts are expected.

Updated: 1145 on Wed 8 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Friday 24 Feb 2012 to Friday 9 Mar 2012:

This period looks likely to be dominated by changeable, often unsettled weather, primarily moving in from the west. There are indications that there could be heavy rain in some places, with a possibility of above average rainfall for some. With winds likely to be generally from a westerly direction, temperatures are probably going to be around average for the time of year. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still possible, especially during any quieter interludes. Near normal sunshine amounts are likely.

Updated: 1244 on Thu 9 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[UV-RAY]

So the MetO are still having none of it then if it's a cold spell your after, I think I'll stick with their forecast rather than any teleconnections, as they have been very accurate for well over a year now.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 25 Feb 2012 to Saturday 10 Mar 2012:

The last few days of February and beginning of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be average or below average for the time of year. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still likely, especially during any quieter interludes. Showers and longer spells of rain are possible with an ongoing risk of snow, mainly in the north and east.

Updated: 1233 on Fri 10 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 26 Feb 2012 to Sunday 11 Mar 2012:

The last few days of February and beginning of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be average or below average for the time of year. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still likely, especially during any quieter interludes. Showers and longer spells of rain are possible with an ongoing risk of snow, mainly in the north and east.

Updated: 1151 on Sat 11 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 27 Feb 2012 to Monday 12 Mar 2012:

The last few days of February and beginning of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be average or below average for the time of year, particularly in the southeast. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still likely almost anywhere, especially during any quieter interludes. Showers and longer spells of rain are possible, with an ongoing risk of snow, mainly in the north and east. Rainfall amounts across southern and central England may end up being above average in places by the end of this period.

Updated: 1124 on Sun 12 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 28 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 13 Mar 2012:

The end of February and first part of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be around average for the time of year. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still likely almost anywhere, especially during any quieter interludes. Showers and longer spells of rain are possible, with an ongoing risk of transient snow, mainly in the north and east. Rainfall amounts across southern and central England may end up being slightly above average in places by the end of this period.

Updated: 1159 on Mon 13 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 28 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 13 Mar 2012:

The end of February and first part of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be around average for the time of year. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still likely almost anywhere, especially during any quieter interludes. Showers and longer spells of rain are possible, with an ongoing risk of transient snow, mainly in the north and east. Rainfall amounts across southern and central England may end up being slightly above average in places by the end of this period.

Updated: 1159 on Mon 13 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Frank Trough]

The "below average" possibility has been removed today. Good, frankly. It'll be march by then and my arthritic back can't cope with any further cold. If the operationals from today stick to their guns over the next couple of days with developments after the brief NW'ly i wouldn't be surprised to see that change further to "possibly above average" in time.

[johnholmes]

The "below average" possibility has been removed today. Good, frankly. It'll be march by then and my arthritic back can't cope with any further cold. If the operationals from today stick to their guns over the next couple of days with developments after the brief NW'ly i wouldn't be surprised to see that change further to "possibly above average" in time.

the wording is identical today and yesterday?

[Frank Trough]

Today:

The end of February and first part of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be around average for the time of year.

Yesterday:

The last few days of February and beginning of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be average or below average for the time of year, particularly in the southeast.

That's different isn't it? Mind you, if GP's thoughts are correct then "below average" could well be making a return. at least in the shorter term (early next week) after the weekend cool down it looks like milder conditions will return from the southwest.

Edited February 13, 2012 by A horse called man

[johnholmes]

many apologies, there were two posted for today I simply read them both thinking one was today and the other that from yeaterday-wrong-so I apologise-must read more carefully next time!

[nick sussex]

I think the key thing to note from that extended outlook is the suggestion of above average rainfall for central and southern England, you would not get this with a strong Azores high and a low track past Scotland so this would suggest the jet being further south with low pressure moving in at a more nw/se angle, some blocking would therefore be likely to the ne given this.

[Frank Trough]

many apologies, there were two posted for today I simply read them both thinking one was today and the other that from yeaterday-wrong-so I apologise-must read more carefully next time!

i did exactly the same when i went back to read it again - i thought i was beginning to lose control.

So Nick, that would suggest blocking where - to our northwest?

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 Feb 2012 to Wednesday 14 Mar 2012:

The end of February and first part of March are likely to see changeable weather. Temperatures are probably going to be around average for the time of year. Being late February/early March, this suggests that overnight frosts are still likely almost anywhere, especially during any quieter interludes. Showers and longer spells of rain are possible, with an ongoing risk of transient snow, mainly in the north. Rainfall amounts across southern and central England may end up being slightly above average in places by the end of this period.

Updated: 1200 on Tue 14 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 2 Mar 2012 to Friday 16 Mar 2012:

Some signs of a quieter, more settled spell of weather for a time during the first few days of March, but conditions are then likely to become more unsettled. Temperatures are probably going to be around average for the time of year, and being early March this suggests that overnight frosts are likely at times. As conditions turn more unsettled showers or longer periods of rain are expected to become more prevalent, perhaps with some transient snow, this most likely in the north. Rainfall amounts over the period as a whole are likely to be near average across the UK, though confidence in this aspect is not high.

Updated: 1222 on Thu 16 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 3 Mar 2012 to Saturday 17 Mar 2012:

During early to mid March, daytime maximum temperatures are likely to above average in northern areas. Some colder spells are likely during this period, with a small probability of being well below. Nighttime minimum temperatures follow a similar pattern, with mild nights most likely, occasionally some cooler ones, and some chance of it being rather cold. Further south, temperatures more likely to be around average, or perhaps slightly above, both by day and by night. Rainfall amounts look likely to continue being below average in eastern areas, particularly in the east of Scotland, but elsewhere average rainfall is most likely. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1137 on Fri 17 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 4 Mar 2012 to Sunday 18 Mar 2012:

During early to mid March, daytime temperatures may start off below normal across some northern areas, bringing an increased risk of some wintry weather. However, a recovery to near or above normal values seems likely. Nighttime temperatures follow a similar pattern, with frosts perhaps most likely at first. Further south, temperatures more likely to be around average, or perhaps slightly above, both by day and by night. Rainfall amounts look likely to continue being below average in eastern and perhaps southern areas, particularly in the east of Scotland, but elsewhere average rainfall is most likely. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1222 on Sat 18 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Monday 5 Mar 2012 to Monday 19 Mar 2012:

During early to mid March, daytime temperatures may start off below normal across some northern areas, bringing an increased risk of some wintry weather. However, a recovery to near or above normal values seems likely. Nighttime temperatures follow a similar pattern, with frosts perhaps most likely at first. Further south, temperatures more likely to be around average, or perhaps slightly above, both by day and by night. Rainfall amounts look likely to continue below average in eastern and perhaps southern areas, but elsewhere average rainfall is most likely. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1159 on Sun 19 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 5 Mar 2012 to Monday 19 Mar 2012:

During early to mid March, daytime temperatures may start off below normal across some northern areas, bringing an increased risk of some wintry weather. However, a recovery to near or above normal values seems likely. Nighttime temperatures follow a similar pattern, with frosts most likely early on in the period. Further south, temperatures more likely to be around average, or perhaps slightly above, both by day and by night. Rainfall amounts look likely to continue below average in eastern and perhaps southern areas, but elsewhere average rainfall is most likely. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1139 on Mon 20 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 7 Mar 2012 to Wednesday 21 Mar 2012:

During the middle part of March, daytime temperatures may start off below normal across some northern areas, bringing an increased risk of some wintry weather. However, a recovery to near or above normal values seems likely. Nighttime temperatures follow a similar pattern, with frosts most likely early on in the period. Further south, temperatures more likely to be around average, or perhaps slightly above, both by day and by night. Rainfall amounts look likely to continue below average in eastern and perhaps southern areas, but elsewhere average rainfall is most likely. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1137 on Tue 21 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 8 Mar 2012 to Thursday 22 Mar 2012:

Northern and some western parts of the UK are expected to continue to be affected by spells of unsettled weather. As such, rainfall amounts here are likely to be near average with temperatures often near normal or mild for the time of year. Elsewhere, conditions will tend to be more settled so rainfall amounts look likely to continue below average, especially in eastern and southern Britain, whilst temperatures are most likely to be close or just above average by day and near or just below average by night, leading to a risk of frost. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1144 on Wed 22 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 9 Mar 2012 to Friday 23 Mar 2012:

Northern and some western parts of the UK are expected to continue to be affected by spells of unsettled weather. As such, rainfall amounts here are likely to be near average with temperatures often near normal or mild for the time of year. Elsewhere, conditions will tend to be more settled so rainfall amounts look likely to continue below average, especially in eastern and southern Britain, whilst temperatures are most likely to be close or just above average by day and near or just below average by night, leading to a risk of frost. Sunshine amounts should be above average in all areas.

Updated: 1126 on Thu 23 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 10 Mar 2012 to Saturday 24 Mar 2012:

Northern and some western parts of the UK are expected to continue to be affected by spells of unsettled weather. As such, rainfall amounts here are likely to be near average with temperatures often near normal or mild for the time of year. Elsewhere, conditions will tend to be more settled so rainfall amounts will probably be average or below average, especially in eastern and southern Britain, whilst temperatures are most likely to be close or just above average, but still with a risk of overnight frost.

Updated: 1137 on Fri 24 Feb 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html