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London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

snow raven

By snow raven
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Jayces Enthusiast

Jayces

Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
Posted

If it's still there Sunday night then I'll sit up and take notice.

It's come out of the blue for the GFS and all the charts have been pretty much going back and fourth since about 3 weeks ago.

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snowydayz Newbie

snowydayz

Posted
  • Location: Edgware
  • Location: Edgware
Posted

OH MY GOD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Top temp of -1 for me next weekend, where did they come from???

I have been glued to all conversations this week and been willing our Yamkins predictions to come true an now look at those charts. I'm getting excited!!!!!!!

Winter over? Not yet :yahoo::drunk::clap::cold::help:

I don't even care if they vanish, it's all part of the fun :good:

Off to the model thread for a read :good:

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Jayces Enthusiast

Jayces

Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
Posted

OH MY GOD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Top temp of -1 for me next weekend, where did they come from???

I have been glued to all conversations this week and been willing our Yamkins predictions to come true an now look at those charts. I'm getting excited!!!!!!!

Winter over? Not yet :yahoo::drunk::clap::cold::help:

I don't even care if they vanish, it's all part of the fun :good:

Off to the model thread for a read :good:

Hope you enjoyed it, back to normal now ;)

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yamkin Experienced

yamkin

Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
Posted

Hope you enjoyed it, back to normal now ;)

GFS has in the past showed a colder trend to start with, then back-tracks and then shows the colder trend again. I wonder if we will start to see colder trends setting in here and there. By the way, GFS 00Z is showing much cooler conditions than UKMO & ECM.

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yamkin Experienced

yamkin

Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
Posted

I doubted WSI's forecast for February back in January. They have been spot on so far, so they are now going for a colder month of March. Have a look at my signature :cold:

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Jayces Enthusiast

Jayces

Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
Posted

I doubted WSI's forecast for February back in January. They have been spot on so far, so they are now going for a colder month of March. Have a look at my signature :cold:

To be fair Yamkin, your old sig said it would be extreme cold for the 2nd half of Feb from various sources and that has so far failed to happen.

I'll give you the benefit of the doubt as we have only just started the 2nd half of the month and it may still turn colder but not for another week at the earliest by the looks of things.

I am off now for a week and wanted to go sledging with my kids in the snow you promised ;)

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yamkin Experienced

yamkin

Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
Posted

To be fair Yamkin, your old sig said it would be extreme cold for the 2nd half of Feb from various sources and that has so far failed to happen.

I'll give you the benefit of the doubt as we have only just started the 2nd half of the month and it may still turn colder but not for another week at the earliest by the looks of things.

I am off now for a week and wanted to go sledging with my kids in the snow you promised ;)

My sig was based on Piers Corbyn's forecast and not mine. I doubted WSI over Piers and I was wrong. I should have stuck with WSI as they got the severe period we had at the end of November correct to date.

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yamkin Experienced

yamkin

Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
Posted (edited)

Latest model outputs show Wed, Thur, Fri as being the ONLY milder days this coming week. GFS seems to be back-tracking towards ECM. GFS has some eye candy cold for beginning of March. Yes, I know it's in FI. Let's see what later models show and I'll get some charts up with possible ramping.

Edited by yamkin
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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted (edited)

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

gfs

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=50.97165991902834&lon=-0.2830188679245289

both show temperatures below average from the 27th

more runs needed though

Edited by john pike
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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

still showing a cool down from 27th onwards

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.45748987854251&lon=-0.37735849056603854

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax96s.gif

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

a couple of more days and the fax charts will show

the 27th to see where this cold option is coming from

assuming it is still there

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=72&mode=0&map=0&type=0&archive=0

going by the charts i cannot see the atlantic being in control

for very long :p

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3002.png

long way out but worth seeing

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.29554655870445&lon=-0.18867924528301927

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

quite a few members showing colder from 27th onwards

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php

if that went past 240 it would probably show a strong north westerly

the northerly cold air flow

at least it gives us something to watch

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=204&code=0&mode=1

http://www.weathercharts.org/wetterzentraleGFSforecast.htm

fi but cold and plenty of snow in these charts

where is everyone ?

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yamkin Experienced

yamkin

Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
Posted (edited)

Hi JP, Continuing from your post....GFS is still trending towards colder conditions setting in from this Saturday :cold: :cold:

post-2721-0-16933400-1298329425_thumb.pn

post-2721-0-49544800-1298329446_thumb.pn

post-2721-0-76424200-1298329457_thumb.pn

post-2721-0-82050000-1298329475_thumb.pn

post-2721-0-82699900-1298329488_thumb.pn

post-2721-0-49550500-1298329499_thumb.pn

Edited by yamkin
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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted (edited)

hello yamkin

thought everyone had given up

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

notice the 528 air coming in on the westerly

will be here sunday and will be cold :lol:

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=318&y=150 :blink:

Edited by john pike
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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

gave up hope on the the so called cold spell two fridays ago, that eastern block sadly can't overpower the strong atlantic flow and is too far east anyway, still thursday should be fun, warmest of year so far?

cold still could shock and break through though, nothings impossible :pardon:

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yamkin Experienced

yamkin

Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
Posted

gave up hope on the the so called cold spell two fridays ago, that eastern block sadly can't overpower the strong atlantic flow and is too far east anyway, still thursday should be fun, warmest of year so far?

cold still could shock and break through though, nothings impossible :pardon:

It will be a shock for many when the mild temps look like being short-lived and then it's back to cooler temps from Saturday. If the models still show a cooler period from Saturday, I wonder if the MetO will start releasing this in their updates.

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Jayces Enthusiast

Jayces

Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
Posted

It will be a shock for many when the mild temps look like being short-lived and then it's back to cooler temps from Saturday. If the models still show a cooler period from Saturday, I wonder if the MetO will start releasing this in their updates.

Can't see anything in the charts this morning to suggest the Meto will be changing their tune anytime soon i'm afraid.

Still, they do change their outlooks at a drop of a hat sometimes so we shall see.

It's good that you and John are ever the eternal optimists though, keeps this thread alive even when there is no interest in the main model thread :drinks:

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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

It will be a shock for many when the mild temps look like being short-lived and then it's back to cooler temps from Saturday. If the models still show a cooler period from Saturday, I wonder if the MetO will start releasing this in their updates.

They are, 1C everywhere in the region on saturday night after a highs of 9C, will it hold though :nonono:

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Jayces Enthusiast

Jayces

Posted
  • Location: South Norwood, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Cold Winters & Warm Dry Summers
  • Location: South Norwood, London
Posted

I'm dreaming, top temp for me on March 3rd of 3c with a 95% chance of snow Oooooo!

Things will liven up in here again if this trend continues :cold:

lol if that is still the forecast in 8 days time I will eat an assortment of hats.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

lol if that is still the forecast in 8 days time I will eat an assortment of hats.

179928071MUkHBg_ph.jpg

:unknw:

Cold is fine, but I can't see anything currently to indicate snow for the region - not even an ickle bit. Now I know snow doesn't normally show up until a few hours beforehand, but the general synopsis isn't really looking great. Sorry, I'd love it to be different, but I'm getting my Spring and Summer head on now! :yahoo:

http://www.snow-forecast.com/maps/dynamic/uk

Snowfall for 12 hrs ending Sat 26 Feb at 12am GMT

uk.snow.84.e179.jpg

rainandsnowscale.metric.gif

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