London & South East England - The Yamkin Ramper Thread

[95 Degrees]

Yep winter's been fun on here, maybe over in terms of winter weather now but look foward to storm tracking and sitting outside in 30C+ heat, bring it on! (hopefully):lol:

[95 Degrees]

Goodbye cold spell thread, goodbye amazing winter which wasn't amazing at the same time, but late nov/december, just.. special :cray:

[yamkin]

Goodbye cold spell thread, goodbye amazing winter which wasn't amazing at the same time, but late nov/december, just.. special :cray:

Yes, end of Nov into Dec was simply amazing, but the rest of winter was tame

Check out the 2011/2012 LRF http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/68787-exacta-weather/page__view__findpost__p__2052405

It's been a real pleasure writing my posts to all

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax120s.gif

saturday chlly and dry

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.21457489878543&lon=-0.2830188679245289

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

ensembles show dry to 9th

a few colder options showing 6th on for a few days

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1201.gif

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rukm1441.gif

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=6&ech=6&runpara=0&mode=1

could be worth seeing where this high goes

been a good winter in december

shame about the rest

been nice talking to you all

you never know winter may bite back, probably when we all

give up looking for a cold spell

bye all for now

Edited February 28, 2011 by john pike

[Blake7]

See ya all next winter !

Have a good one ;o)

[snow raven]

It looks as though I may have been a little premature - I believe the mods are planning on keeping the Regional discussions open until 21st March. Whether this brings any proper Wintery weather between now and then remains to be seen....

[john pike]

It looks as though I may have been a little premature - I believe the mods are planning on keeping the Regional discussions open until 21st March. Whether this brings any proper Wintery weather between now and then remains to be seen....

[Snow Obsession]

Hi everyone

Well maybe will see a few snowflakes today but I understand then thats it for this forum, I only really like the cold weather forum so will see everyone in the Winter!!!!

Thanks for all the intresesting posts and for being patient with us ones that always ask is it going to snow in 3 weeks time specifically down my road???

Hope the summer is a good one but not too hot will be expecting my 2nd baby in August!!!! I will say hope we have more thunderstorms this summer!!!

Take care x

Good luck with your August baby

I had my daughter in August 2003 - the record breaking one. It was not pleasant...

[john pike]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm1921.gif

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm2161.gif

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Recm2401.gif

long way out but would at least give us some interest again

[Blake7]

YAY ... are we still open for buisness ?

Come on ... one last deluge to see out the winter of 2010 / 2011

[john pike]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

dry and chilly to the 9th

scatter afterwards but more colder options showing up

no sign on the ensembles of the atlantic powering through

[Guest archiesmummy]

Good luck with your August baby

I had my daughter in August 2003 - the record breaking one. It was not pleasant...

Thats what am worried about!!!! Thanks for your message

Glad cold weather thread still open....Yamkin so when we gonna get loads of March snow...worth a shot and well done to you and JP for the colder weather predictions we are having, that wind is raw...very chilly indeed

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=1&ech=6

gfs very similar to ecm tonight

the jet stream is showing further south on the 18z against

the 12z which is allowing quite a strong nw flow

not the best location for the south east but it is a start

look at the temperatures further north west

still showing us losing the high pressure

around the 8th-9th on both models which will at least give

us some interesting weather.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?carte=2000&ech=0

high pressure all the way to sunday so dry but a couple

of degrees higher than today but then feeling cooler

again sunday with a north easterly flow

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.29554655870445&lon=0

Edited March 1, 2011 by john pike

[john pike]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

nothing warm here at present

http://www.weathercharts.org/wetterzentraleGFSforecast.htm

[snow raven]

It's lovely seeing the sunshine this afternoon. It's a real natural mood brightner after all the gloomy, dull, grey murk we have had recently

[JamesC]

Has anyone seen the 12z GFS?

http://www.netweather.tv/gfsimages2/gfs.20110302/06/93/h850t850eu.png

Surely if this high moves north or west we'll be right on the money?

If it moves north we get a bitter easterly and if it moves west we get clobbered by a cold northerly? Both would bring back cold temps.

Anyone care to comment?

[Neilsouth]

It's lovely seeing the sunshine this afternoon. It's a real natural mood brightner after all the gloomy, dull, grey murk we have had recently

No sunshine here, it's cold and depressing with a cold wind

[Kent Snow]

No sunshine here, it's cold and depressing with a cold wind

It's the same in Canterbury. This cloud just isn't breaking up here. A cool feeling 5C and brisk north easterly.

[Coast]

Sorry then! I have to report a light haze in what is otherwise a beautiful blue sky in Mid Sussex! Chilly, but lovely when the sun gets on your back.

[john pike]

Has anyone seen the 12z GFS?

http://www.netweather.tv/gfsimages2/gfs.20110302/06/93/h850t850eu.png

Surely if this high moves north or west we'll be right on the money?

If it moves north we get a bitter easterly and if it moves west we get clobbered by a cold northerly? Both would bring back cold temps.

Anyone care to comment?

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.29554655870445&lon=-0.2830188679245289

ensembles have picked up something around that day

only 24-48 hour but certainly is cold but dry

although that can change

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2402.png

http://91.121.84.31/modeles/gfs/run/gfsnh-0-180.png?12

10th looks interesting

http://91.121.84.31/modeles/gfs/run/gfsnh-0-240.png?12

12th looks better

was that a ramp?

Edited March 2, 2011 by john pike

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=1&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=1&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=204

lot of links but these show colder air coming down to the south

from the 10th onwards with plenty of precipitation from a north

westerly flow

the jet stream has taken a more north west to south position which

should help let the colder air head more southerly

what we need to watch is the high pressure to our south west

if this stays fairly flat this will let the cold air reach us

if it builds and heads north it will deflect the colder uppers away

from us.

a long way out but could be interesting.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php

ecm 12z a similar pattern

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?carte=2000&ech=0

fax charts look similar up to 120 with cold up up north ready

to head towards us

i only guide from the fax charts so i will go to monday

with chilly-cold to monday

the is a weak front going over us saturday night so could be a

small risk of light sleet or very light snow

i am surprised to see it so quiet here

[95 Degrees]

http://www.meteociel...hp?mode=1&ech=6

http://www.meteociel...?mode=1&ech=204

http://www.meteociel...hp?mode=0&ech=6

http://www.meteociel...?mode=0&ech=204

http://www.meteociel...hp?mode=5&ech=6

http://www.meteociel...?mode=5&ech=204

http://www.meteociel...hp?mode=2&ech=6

http://www.meteociel...?mode=2&ech=204

lot of links but these show colder air coming down to the south

from the 10th onwards with plenty of precipitation from a north

westerly flow

the jet stream has taken a more north west to south position which

should help let the colder air head more southerly

what we need to watch is the high pressure to our south west

if this stays fairly flat this will let the cold air reach us

if it builds and heads north it will deflect the colder uppers away

from us.

a long way out but could be interesting.

http://www.meteociel...deles/ecmwf.php

ecm 12z a similar pattern

http://www.meteociel...arte=2000&ech=0

fax charts look similar up to 120 with cold up up north ready

to head towards us

i only guide from the fax charts so i will go to monday

with chilly-cold to monday

the is a weak front going over us saturday night so could be a

small risk of light sleet or very light snow

i am surprised to see it so quiet here

Because we've seen this situation on the charts come to nothing all too often over the last couple of months, in saying that outlook does look good for both sun and frost , just can't see snow happening though now.

[yamkin]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=1&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=1&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=0&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=204

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=6

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=204

lot of links but these show colder air coming down to the south

from the 10th onwards with plenty of precipitation from a north

westerly flow

the jet stream has taken a more north west to south position which

should help let the colder air head more southerly

what we need to watch is the high pressure to our south west

if this stays fairly flat this will let the cold air reach us

if it builds and heads north it will deflect the colder uppers away

from us.

a long way out but could be interesting.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php

ecm 12z a similar pattern

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?carte=2000&ech=0

fax charts look similar up to 120 with cold up up north ready

to head towards us

i only guide from the fax charts so i will go to monday

with chilly-cold to monday

the is a weak front going over us saturday night so could be a

small risk of light sleet or very light snow

i am surprised to see it so quiet here

Hi JP,

Very good summary. GFS is going for a much colder theme ater next week and ECM is also behind GFS, but not as amplified at the moment. On that point, I will start ramping bit by bit Let's see how the big three models pan out by this weekend. I have a feeling that it will get much colder later next week with possible wintry showers :cold: :yahoo:

[john pike]

Because we've seen this situation on the charts come to nothing all too often over the last couple of months, in saying that outlook does look good for both sun and frost , just can't see snow happening though now.

i understand that

however the charts seem to be unreliable chasing easterlies but

these are cold north westerlys and tend to be picked up

more reliably by the models (only my opinion)

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rjma1921.gif

still worth discussing though and we only have

to the 21st on here to do so.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

certainly not dry from 9th onwards will it be cold enough for snow?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2010/mar/29/snow-forecast-british-summer-time this is for last year

nice to see you around yamkin

Edited March 3, 2011 by john pike

[snowydayz]

Now look at that, good job my soup stocks are high for the 12th If it could snow on the 12th that would be classic, where I am going that day is known for being bleak, windy, cold wet you name it. Pictures of my young people planting trees in snow would be great!

Thanks for your hard work JP

I thought the forum had gone which is maybe why it's been quiet here.

Snowy