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June CET

Jack Wales
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Alex Apprentice

Alex

Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry summers with big thunderstorms.
  • Location: Chelmsford
Posted

16.9 please

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Jack Wales Apprentice

Jack Wales

Posted
  • Location: Tonyrefail (175m asl)
  • Location: Tonyrefail (175m asl)
  • Author
Posted

Not one prediction has come in below the 1961-90 or 1971-00 average yet. The prediction range currently sits between 14.3C and 17.2C.

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snowlover2009 Apprentice

snowlover2009

Posted
  • Location: leeds
  • Location: leeds
Posted (edited)

IMO i think those going a for a cool opening could be way off the mark, it would take a lot for the models to back track to a cool pattern, it looks nailed for a half decent start to the month, dare i say the perfect start IMHO.

On another note was June 1976 the warmest on record?

Btw my cet is changing im going from 16.7 to 17.2 please.

Edited by snowlover2009
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Gavin P Explorer

Gavin P

Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
  • Location: W. Northants
Posted

The problem I think we have this June and through the summer generally, is that low pressure will continue to run to the north of Scotland and into Scandinavia. This will have the effect of regularly pulling high pressure back into the Atlantic and keeping the air from an Atlantic based source. Even so, there will be some limited hot spells and with pressure high I think we're in for another very dry month away from northern Scotland.

Putting it all together I'm going for a CET of 15.4

A warm month, but not a classic June, and that probably goes for summer, too.

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

I think I will go for 15.8c please.

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Jack Wales Apprentice

Jack Wales

Posted
  • Location: Tonyrefail (175m asl)
  • Location: Tonyrefail (175m asl)
  • Author
Posted

IMO i think those going a for a cool opening could be way off the mark, it would take a lot for the models to back track to a cool pattern, it looks nailed for a half decent start to the month, dare i say the perfect start IMHO.

On another note was June 1976 the warmest on record?

Btw my cet is changing im going from 16.7 to 17.2 please.

T+168 is pretty far from nailed on!! There is plenty of scope for a downrgade as the signal for a mid atlantic ridge still persists IMO. It won't take much for the HP cell to position itself to our west with the jet tumbling over the top, this mornings GFS 00z hints at this. If anything I'll be making a dowward revision to my prediction.

See the opening post for June records etc.

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Gavin P Explorer

Gavin P

Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
  • Location: W. Northants
Posted

The problem I think we have this June and through the summer generally, is that low pressure will continue to run to the north of Scotland and into Scandinavia. This will have the effect of regularly pulling high pressure back into the Atlantic and keeping the air from an Atlantic based source. Even so, there will be some limited hot spells and with pressure high I think we're in for another very dry month away from northern Scotland.

Putting it all together I'm going for a CET of 15.4

A warm month, but not a classic June, and that probably goes for summer, too

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Ok I am going to go with 15.5 degrees so appreciably above average but nothing outstanding. I do foresee alot of warm weather for England and Wales especially the south but no really exceptional hot weather. The north will unfortunately be prone to atlantic sourced air with shortwave/frontal activity from time to time as azores high advects westwards from time to time. I suspect July and August will see a different pattern to June with perhaps much more of an atlantic influence for all.. not necessarily good for those predicting a long hot summer.. Best make the most of June..

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Milhouse Seasoned

Milhouse

Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

A warm spell right at the start is the month is always a good sign as it leaves plenty of time for another one later on in the month. Therefore i'm going for another above average month.

15.8c

Edited by Milhouse
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Ladyofthestorm Aficionado

Ladyofthestorm

Posted
  • Location: Isle of Lewis
  • Weather Preferences: Sun in summer, snow in winter, wind in Autumn and rainbows in the spring!
  • Location: Isle of Lewis
Posted

15.7C for me

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted

15.4C for me :)

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stewfox Accomplished

stewfox

Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
Posted

Hi all,

As time is getting on I thought would open a new thread for the June CET. The averages for June are as follows...

1961-90 14.2°C

1971-00 14.1°C

Mr Data , when was the last time we had a bang on average month ?

14.1c for me

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Koppite Rookie

Koppite

Posted
  • Location: North Worcestershire, Midlands. 158m A.S.L.
  • Location: North Worcestershire, Midlands. 158m A.S.L.
Posted

15.2C for me please. :good:

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