Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

El Gordo! - Spanish Plume Thunderstorm Discussion

Coast

By Coast
in Storms & Severe Weather

 Share

Recommended Posts

Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted

What do you guys reckon Estofex will go with for tomorrow - I am going to go with a Level 2 for much of England :good:

That would be my guess Paul. Certainly a strong upgrade on today's instability, and we have a L1 from them today.

I'll be visiting Wicken Fen tomorrow for my storm chase, a further east from your position. :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mikel Nimbus Explorer

Mikel Nimbus

Posted
  • Location: Barnet, North London
  • Location: Barnet, North London
Posted

wow! can you confirm your station is in the shade Mikel?

Half and half Rob. The sun shields are now in the shade but the black rain gauge isn't so I'd maybe take it with a pinch of salt.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Good luck tomorrow Steve!

Btw just in case you are wondering how are little Set-Up compares to some of the Set-Ups in the States, SPC Have Upgraded todays risk there to Moderate with 15% Hatched for Tornadoes. Cape there from Mid 60's to 70's Dps yielding 4,000jkg of Cape and an Upper Trough North of the Action area, obviously not the same Set-Up with a Lifting Warm Front but just wanted to Highlight how rare this is for the Uk to have Dp's this High and this much Strong Instability in the Uk. :whistling:

...CNTRL/NRN PLNS TO MID MS VLY TODAY THROUGH MON...

IN WAKE OF ELEVATED MORNING CONVECTION/STORMS...INCREASINGLY RICH

MOISTURE /WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S F/ WILL

SPREAD NWD FROM MO AND CNTRL/ERN KS INTO MUCH OF NEB AND SD AS SSELY

LOW LVL FLOW STRENGTHENS OVER REGION AND WARM FRONT LIFTS N AHEAD OF

AFOREMENTIONED UPR TROUGH. AT THE SAME TIME...A DEEP EML WILL

REMAIN PRESENT ALOFT AS WLY FLOW CONTINUES/STRENGTHENS ON NRN FRINGE

OF UPR RIDGE. COUPLED WITH STRONG SFC HEATING...SETUP SHOULD YIELD

SBCAPE AOA 4000 J/KG FROM SRN SD AND CNTRL/ERN NEB SEWD INTO MO IN

AREAS REMOVED FROM CONVECTIVE DEBRIS.

BY MID/LATE AFTN...ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH MAIN UPR TROUGH AND

WITH AFOREMENTIONED WEAKER DISTURBANCES SHOULD SUPPORT SCTD TO

NUMEROUS STORMS FROM NRN/ERN WY AND SRN MT...IN AREA NEAR/JUST N OF

COLD FRONT...ENEWD INTO SD/SE ND AND WRN MN. OTHER STORMS LIKELY

WILL FORM IN AREA OF STRONGER LOW LVL WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT NEAR

WARM FRONT AND/OR LEFTOVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM CNTRL/ERN NEB

INTO WRN IA.

COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING WSWLY MID/UPR LVL WSWLY FLOW ASSOCIATED

WITH APPROACHING TROUGH WILL COINCIDE WITH MODERATE TO STRONG

DESTABILIZATION...SUPPORTING NUMEROUS SUPERCELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF

LARGE HAIL...DMGG WIND...AND TORNADOES /ONE OR TWO OF WHICH COULD BE

STRONG/. THIS THREAT APPEARS GREATEST LATE THIS AFTN INTO EARLY

TNGT OVER PARTS OF SD AND NEB.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
Posted

That station might be slightly in the sun, what do the other local ones near it report?

I wondered that....

....mine is in the shade though @ 29.6 °C and it's normally quite accurate, so it's not far off - certainly hotter imby at the moment than it has been so far this summer !!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Richie V Enthusiast

Richie V

Posted
  • Location: Darton, Barnsley south yorkshire, 102 M ASL
  • Location: Darton, Barnsley south yorkshire, 102 M ASL
Posted (edited)

28.3C in the shade................ 26.6 at grass level SWEET :drinks:

47.7C on the garden wall in full sun.

Edited by Richie V
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted

Thanks Paul! I found a simple radar webpage from meteox that will load on my phone (its linked on ukww). I'll also be keeping tabs on this forum as well. Should be a fun day! :lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites
MikeUpjohn Aficionado

MikeUpjohn

Posted
  • Location: Macclesfield, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Lightning, Tornado, Hurricane, Heatwave
  • Location: Macclesfield, Cheshire
Posted

Can see a heavy shower on the radar at 1445, over Bootle/Southport way. Can anyone confirm?

Mike

Link to comment
Share on other sites
D-J-V Rookie

D-J-V

Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London
Posted

All the ingredients are coming together very nicely indeed! :drinks:

Going to give netweather extra a go see how useful it is!

Can not wait.........

Link to comment
Share on other sites
we1330 Apprentice

we1330

Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon, Cambs. (Formerly from Bristol)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, and Snow.
  • Location: Huntingdon, Cambs. (Formerly from Bristol)
Posted

Our Vantage Vue is now at 29.3, after falling from 29.6.

It feels very warm outside now, uncomfortable even. There's more CU around than there was earlier, and we've just seen 4 gliders off to our North circling using thermals...

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Biggin Rising Star

Biggin

Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted

Our Vantage Vue is now at 29.3, after falling from 29.6.

It feels very warm outside now, uncomfortable even. There's more CU around than there was earlier, and we've just seen 4 gliders off to our North circling using thermals...

Funny enuff just seen the Lancaster coming back into Biggin, is there a display on the south coast??
Link to comment
Share on other sites
paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

Its a very nice 29c here some wonderful dark clouds approaching. Even the dog cannot be bothered today but this is going to be a test of how she reacts to storms if they kick off later.

Edited by paul m
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

Showers now sprouting up around Tyne and Wear. Surprisingly it's all coming from sheets of cumulus and stratocumulus, of the sort that we often get up here from warm moist south-westerly flows at all times of the year- some cumulus cells are taking off into cumulus congestus particularly as they head into the North Sea.

Reached a surprisingly high 25.9C here earlier.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
loopydreamer Contributor

loopydreamer

Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
Posted

wow! its hot! my thermometer is well and truly in the shade and reading 28.6C! I hope i see a good storm here! Im thinking chatham is not a bad place to be to see a storm??

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Mike, could see a towering cumulus cloud to my west which gave a light shower, though it may have been the edge of a heavier shower towards Liverpool way.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted

Your going the wrong way! Lol! I'll let you know if you miss anything!!

Yea :/ Its for work though so I have to go down there lol. Maybe I might catch something whilst it's spreading up from the SW early afternoon. Still waiting for my first storm!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest Kent-Weather

Guest Kent-Weather

Posted
Posted

27.8°C calibrated and in direct sunlight. given others mentions of local temps - pretty spot on. Really looking forward to Monday nights potential and shall be out with a friend or 2 on a local area chase, not that a chase shall be required. Sit and wait for the storms to come to us :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

Off to the harvester tonight for some grub and alcohol. Not expecting anything today and I hope I get nothing today as I want all the energy to be in place for tommorow. :drinks:

Link to comment
Share on other sites
we1330 Apprentice

we1330

Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon, Cambs. (Formerly from Bristol)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, and Snow.
  • Location: Huntingdon, Cambs. (Formerly from Bristol)
Posted

Temp 29.4, falling, DP 17.2, Humidity 48%...

Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherobsuk Veteran

weatherobsuk

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

I'd be interested to see what TORRO has to say in all this. They've been ominously quiet even about this evenings potential, nevermind the runup to Mondays explosive affair. ESTOFEX should have something out by 5pm as was yesterdays forecast release.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted (edited)

Hot and superbly sunny. Could never think of a Sunday roast on a day like this. A BBQ by far takes priority!

Edited by Blizzards
Link to comment
Share on other sites
we1330 Apprentice

we1330

Posted
  • Location: Huntingdon, Cambs. (Formerly from Bristol)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, and Snow.
  • Location: Huntingdon, Cambs. (Formerly from Bristol)
Posted

Hot and superbly summer. Could never think of a Sunday roast on a day like this. A BBQ by far takes priority!

Ditto - we'll be firing ours up in about 45 mins :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...