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El Gordo! - Spanish Plume Thunderstorm Discussion 4

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Bluebreezer54 Seasoned

Bluebreezer54

Posted
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl
Posted

Just back from a couple of hour stint on the cliff top just outside Hastings, where for an hour or so a storm in Northern France delivered some impressive c-g lightning. I honestly think all is not lost in this neck of the woods just yet. Recent posts from guys who's opinion I really respect seem to bear that out as well.

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MPfreeUK Rookie

MPfreeUK

Posted
  • Location: Home/Work: Crawley, West Sussex.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder & Lightning, Snow, Wind
  • Location: Home/Work: Crawley, West Sussex.
Posted

Anyone know of any webcams in france... that beast looks good, cant find anywhere to watch :)

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

Could you explain "Capped". I get the general idea that it means the conditions aren't right but I'm looking to learn a bit more.

Further more, what you saying is that the maoosive storm over West France may spawn some more activity north of that later on which may hit E Anglia?

Thanks for replying

Capped basically means that there is convective energy available but there's a lid on any of it being released - due to a layer of warm air aloft or subsiding air - both of which stop parcels of air rising.

I would think Sussex, Kent, London, Essex and Suffolk will likely see storms later maybe intially from a few storms developing ahead of the MCS and then perhaps a brush with the MCS itself if it continues intact on a NNE trajectory.

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Glideslope Newbie

Glideslope

Posted
  • Location: Leigh-on-Sea Essex.
  • Location: Leigh-on-Sea Essex.
Posted

I dont think its quite right to blame the forecasters, thats nature for you in all its fickleness, all the ingredients were there, a shame but there you go....

cheers,

Steve.

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bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

Nah - don't shoot the messenger. A careful assessment of what's happened shows that it is the numerical weather prediction models that have handled this badly. I mean really badly. It shows how fragile, even 3 hours out, the models really are. I guess their skill comes from the normal statistical certainy that if you have a high pressure over you today the chances are you'll have one there tomorrow.

(Yes, yes - I know I'm being a tad unfair)

i never said shoot him, i said death by lightning! however i am fully aware its not his fault, the weather is a fickle thing we can predict but not promise. it did have a good stormy 'feel' today for a while but it didnt come off. anyway, a kent clipper looks like it has a fair chance of happening, but dont shoot me for saying it!

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loopydreamer Contributor

loopydreamer

Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
Posted

I find that excessive quantities of wine help

lol! no wine in the house and i have downed 3 cans of stella! that maybe causing the headache but i suspect it is the humidity! the bedroom is so hot! i have moved everything downstairs and sleeping in the lounge tonight, if i do sleep that is!!!

Just saw a massive fork + thunder just West of Birmingham!

All is not lost!

wow! kool!!! nice to hear!!! :)

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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

http://www.autoroutes.fr/en/webcams.html

http://module2.autoroutes-trafic.fr/webcamApp/webcam.aspx?id=Cof_A10_4487&x=343.2&y=131

Good lightning on that second link!yahoo.gif

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bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

lol! no wine in the house and i have downed 3 cans of stella! that maybe causing the headache but i suspect it is the humidity! the bedroom is so hot! i have moved everything downstairs and sleeping in the lounge tonight, if i do sleep that is!!!

i would have left everything upstairs and just slept on the sofa. too hot for furniture moving really......:p

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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

Oh i feel sorry for you folks down in the southeast...

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Nice link some very good lightning there

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loopydreamer Contributor

loopydreamer

Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
Posted

i would have left everything upstairs and just slept on the sofa. too hot for furniture moving really......:p

:lol:

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Glideslope Newbie

Glideslope

Posted
  • Location: Leigh-on-Sea Essex.
  • Location: Leigh-on-Sea Essex.
Posted (edited)

Does it look to a trained eye that cells are developing slightly ahead of that area over Brest....? ( NW radar )

cheers,

Steve.

Edited by Glideslope
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Omg another deep rumble!!! That cell over doncaster!!

Nothing on the NW radar

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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

im sure the second link is a video? i cant see any lightning

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

im sure the second link is a video? i cant see any lightning

The 2nd link is on a loop look towards the top of the screen just above the tree line EDIT the video changed and not showing anything

Edited by paul m
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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted

Told my mate in South London that my forecast of potential severe thunderstorms was rubbish and they wouldnt materialise about 2 and a half hours ago, anyone think ive acted too soon?

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Craigers Seasoned

Craigers

Posted
  • Location: South Yorkshire Barnsley 66m ASL
  • Location: South Yorkshire Barnsley 66m ASL
Posted

Just seen flash of lightning and loud rumbler sounded soo goood yay!!!!!! :D

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knocker Maestro

knocker

Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
Posted (edited)

Yeh right, really reliable met office preciptation models :nonono:

Your are better presumbly? I never ceased to be amased at the number of experts on this forum. In fact it's bloody boring.

Edited by weather ship
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