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16th Sept - 18th Sept 2011 Storm/convective Forecast Discussion And Reports

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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staplehurst Community Regular

staplehurst

Posted
  • Location: Norwich
  • Location: Norwich
Posted

No reason other than clockwise arrows to indicate the area within the black line to show where thunderstorms are moost likely. Though it maybe pretty evident anyway!

The Americans run a similar system I think, at the SPC?

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted

Storms were developing over the north sea yesterday,rather than the land, did the coast have local convergence to kick start them? , you would expect the daytime convection to be over land,the storms would of lost the boundary layer energy as they moved off-shore..

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loopydreamer Contributor

loopydreamer

Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
Posted

Storms were developing over the north sea yesterday,rather than the land, did the coast have local convergence to kick start them? , you would expect the daytime convection to be over land,the storms would of lost the boundary layer energy as they moved off-shore..

sorry im a bit dumb....so are you saying that we will witness more storms inland today??

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted

sorry im a bit dumb....so are you saying that we will witness more storms inland today??

hi, there is a chance of thunderstorms inland today yes, but yesterday alot of the storms were over sea, you would expect that at night this time of year, rather than daytime.

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Prolonged and often heavy to very heavy showers all night and morning have given almost 20mm rain since midnight.

Wales covered in an absolute rash of showers/ rain all morning!

Showers have reached South Shields to cool off the finishers in the Great North Run!

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted (edited)

Well I'd be more than satisfied, if like you said it was still laying on the floor an hour later then it must of been torrential, don't know what your expecting?

?

Why so anti-matey

It was the first decent rumble and (only)hail ive seen in what must me about 3 years now.

The image wasnt directly relating to "my" personal thoughts but more for the forums general feeling.

I do still want more storms? Whats wrong with that?

Im not "expecting" anything but it would certainly be nice to get more and certainly would be nice to have more than one or two cracks and a short ( but heavy ) shower.

Gone are the days of hour long thunder storms..

Thats what im expecting... Doubt it will ever happen again here in the UK..

Some people on this forum have had MANY big storms this year, So sorry for expecting to have some more.

Im a storm fanatic and tbh while it was great for the short amount of time that the shower was here. I need more.

Yeah, going to the states would be good, but that wont happen for a while.. So whats wrong with wanting more and more in the UK?

/rant

Edited by Lynxus
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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)

Wow some clouds are really building up as they head SE past me. Took a picture of how dark it looks. It seems to be heading in the Bristol direction, and I can hear distant rumbles going on high up or something. Theres some shower clouds heading for me as well from SE Wales but at the moment they don't look as impressive. Also seems to be fewer showers behind them so I'd have to be lucky in the next hour or so to see anything today before it all disappears.

Edit: Woah ok suddenly some very very dark cloud come right for me but no sferics detected at all so Im not holding out much hope. Looks like it will hammer it down soon though.

post-15172-0-97863100-1316347012_thumb.j

Edited by Bugganuts
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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

Showers starting to crop up in the north now.. let's hope for an interesting day.

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Purplepixii Enthusiast

Purplepixii

Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
Posted (edited)

Very heavy rain just started here, sounds deafening on the conservatory roof! Gonna have to switch the lights on too! No rumbles yet though more's the pity!

Edit: 12.7mm in less than 1 hour - the drains are very busy!

Edited by Purplepixii
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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

Distant rumbles of thunder

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Twiddles thumbs.

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Twiddles thumbs faster than Lauren

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

Storms beginning to get going now, a crop of sferics over central S England, Yorkshire and also E Scotland.

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reef Veteran

reef

Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
Posted

Theres a storm heading this way from the north-west, I can already hear quite frequent rumbles of thunder.

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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)

I'm not expecting anything more this afternoon except maybe the odd light shower. Most forecasts are now saying any potential thundery showers gradually becoming confined to the E/SE. It's been a pretty poor year here for any activity, either something crops up over the next month, or it'll be another wait until next year. sad.png

Edited by Bugganuts
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Aaron Community Regular

Aaron

Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

Oh dear, the storm heading my way suddenly shrunk and went west, what a surprise!

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Some pretty robust cbs to my northwest which will unbelievably move past too far north rather than too far south as they did yesterday. Not sure if there's anything from them but a lot easier to see now the lower cloud has cleared.

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Purplepixii Enthusiast

Purplepixii

Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Severe Weather events
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire
Posted

I *think* I heard a rumble in the last passing shower...

Interesting! Hubby asked me if I'd heard a rumble amongst the heavy rain we just had and I did think at one point that I had but wasn't quite sure...

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Wet'n'Dry Enthusiast

Wet'n'Dry

Posted
  • Location: Basildon
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Basildon
Posted (edited)

Interesting sferics from the IOW. A storm seems be heading my way, currently over Herts but it might have my name on it!!!!

*** NexStorm TRAC Report generated 18/09/2011 15:33:11 Tracking 1 thunderstorms

Thunderstorm ID E-3352 detected 15:08

Storm location bearing 28.2 dgr distance 91 mi

Last recorded activity 15:32

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 4/minute

Peak strikerate 5/minute

Total recorded strikes 33

Cloud-Ground strikes 8 - 24.24%

Intracloud strikes 25 - 75.76%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 3 - 9.09%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 5 - 15.15%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 13 - 39.39%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 12 - 36.36%

TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.8.0.7025:PCI

Edited by Wet'n'Dry
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Raidan Enthusiast

Raidan

Posted
  • Location: BRISTOL
  • Location: BRISTOL
Posted

Nothing here apart from a few blustery showers,Surrounded by black sky earliar really thought surely something is going to happen but NO the sun stayed out and not a drop of rain,As usual storms dying before they get here or pass over then get going somewhere else Typical,A disappointing weekend.

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Just had 3 rumbles.

Small storm ( can see its edges.. ) Fairly heavy rain.

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